9 Behaviors That Adversely Affect Investors: Infographic

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In an earlier post I discussed how the enemy of investors are themselves. Following that same topic, the following infographic shows 9 investor behaviors that are detrimental to their decision making skills and ultimately leads to poor investment returns.

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Source: Unknown

“Narrow Framing” is one of the bad behaviors that some investors are prone to have. Under this theory, investors tend to frame everything narrowly without looking at the big picture or the overall implications. For example, an investor might sell out all British stocks because of Brexit fears when in fact most of the firms in the FTSE 100 derive their earnings from abroad and are not totally dependent on the domestic economy. Another example, is an investor that totally avoids Canadian and Mexican equities because of trade wars with the US. If the investor considers the overall big picture, it will be clear that these two countries are the some of the biggest trading partners with the US and hence avoiding firms from there is not a wise strategy.

Simply reacting to media without understanding the real implications of an event is also a bad behavior.

Crude Oil Prices Soar After “Game Changer” Attack on Saudi Oil Facilities

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The global oil industry got a wakeup call with the huge attack on two Saudi oil facilities on Saturday. Oil prices are soaring Sunday night as a result of this attack. Experts in the media are using words such as “game changer”, “crippling”, “big deal”, “big one” etc. to describe the attack. The use of drones by ragtag Houthi militants in Yemen or even by militarily insignificant Iran to successfully target one of the critical supply chains in the global oil market is indeed surprising. We can expect oil prices and oil stocks to rise as the Middle East gets hot again. Starting a war with Iran or other countries in the region will only make the situation worse and accelerate the global economy’s slide into recession. With that said, below are some of the news articles and oil resources that can help investors analyze the events and make informed decisions.

From an article in the BBC:

Oil prices hit their highest in four months after two attacks on Saudi Arabian facilities on Saturday knocked out more than 5% of global supply.

At the start of trading, Brent crude jumped 19% to $71.95 a barrel, while the other major benchmark, West Texas Intermediate, rose 15% to $63.34.

Prices eased back slightly after US President Donald Trump authorised the release of US reserves.

It could take weeks before the Saudi facilities are fully back on line.

State oil giant Saudi Aramco said the attack cut output by 5.7 million barrels per day, at a time when Aramco is trying to ready itself for what is expected to be the world’s largest stock market listing.

The drone attacks on plants in the heartland of Saudi Arabia’s oil industry included hitting the world’s biggest petroleum-processing facility. The US has blamed Iran.

Source: Oil prices soar after attacks on Saudi facilities, The BBC

From a piece in MarketWatch:

An intensifying Middle East conflict is threatening to throw the world’s energy market into disarray after weekend drone attacks destroyed parts of Saudi Aramco’s Abqaiq plant — one of the world’s largest processors of oil — and a separate nearby oil field.

On Saturday, the drone attacks, directed at Saudi Arabian oil facilities that account for nearly 10 million barrels of crude-oil production, resulted in massive plumes of black smoke emanating from the oil field, and a shutdown that could lead to about 50% of its production being at least temporarily thrown offline.

Prominent crude-oil strategist Phil Flynn at Price Futures Group told MarketWatch on Sunday that the drone strike was a “big deal” that could result in a major spike in crude-oil prices, because of the potential disruption to global supplies.

Source: Why the Saudi oil attack is a ‘big deal’ that could be a ‘game changer’ in stock markets and crude prices, MarketWatch

An excerpt from an article in WSJ:

Saturday’s attack on a critical Saudi oil facility will almost certainly rock the world energy market in the short term, but it also carries disturbing long-term implications.

Ever since the dual 1970s oil crises, energy security officials have fretted about a deliberate strike on one of the critical choke points of energy production and transport. Sea lanes such as the Strait of Hormuz usually feature in such speculation. The facility in question at Abqaiq is perhaps more critical and vulnerable. The Wall Street Journal reported that 5.7 million barrels a day of output, or some 5% of world supply, had been taken offline as a result.

To illustrate the importance of Abqaiq in the oil market’s consciousness, an unsuccessful terrorist attack in 2006 using explosive-laden vehicles sent oil prices more than $2.00 a barrel higher. Saudi Arabia is known to spend billions of dollars annually protecting ports, pipelines and processing facilities, and it is the only major oil producer to maintain some spare output. Yet the nature of the attack, which Iranian-supported Houthi fighters from Yemen claimed was the result of an attack by their forces, shows that protecting such facilities may be far more difficult today. U.S. officials blamed Iran and U.S. and Saudi officials were investigating the possibility that another Iranian-backed group carried out all or part of the attack using cruise missiles launched from Iraq. Iranian officials on Sunday denied responsibility for the attacks.

Source: Saudi Oil Attack Is the Big One, WSJ

Related Resources:

a) Oil Stock Lists:

b) Articles:

The Callan Periodic Table of Global Equity Investment Returns 1999–2018

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Callan is celebrating the 20th  anniversary of the publication of the widely popular Annual Periodic Table of Global Equity Investment Returns. The firm has published another great set of periodic tables as part of the celebration thru its Callan Institute. The following is the Periodic Table of Global Equity Investment Returns from 1999 thru 2018. It shows the annual returns of the respective MSCI index in the order of performance:

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Source: The Periodic Table Collection –  20th  Anniversary Edition,  Callan Institute

Emerging market equities are not for the faint of heart as their returns are volatile. For example, in 2017 they were the best performers with a return of over 37% but in the following year they were down nearly 15%.

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