European Telecom Stocks Look Attractive Now

Telecom stocks offer some of the best value picks in Europe currently according to an article byDavid Stevenson in MoneyWeek.

From the article:

Why? For starters, the estimated dividend yield paid out by the Bloomberg European Telecoms index has now topped 7.5%. For just about anywhere in Europe, that’s well above the rate of inflation.

In fact, as Neil Hume recently pointed out in the Financial Times, the gap between the European telecoms sector yield and that of the wider market is at an all-time high. Bloomberg data shows this to be almost 4% a year, as the blue line on the chart below illustrates. So you’re getting paid more than ever before to hold telecoms stocks compared with the rest.

Meanwhile, as investors have piled into commodity and cyclical stocks in the last two and a half years, European telecoms have lagged badly behind.

The red line below indicates the sector’s relative performance compared with the wider market. And since the March 2009 lows, this has slumped by around 25%. As a result, telecoms have now undershot the overall index by some 10% since 2003. But in ever more uncertain economic times, they’re likely to catch up again.



“European telecoms have joined a rare club – a sector dividend yield that’s twice the overall market”, say Jonathan Stubbs and Adrian Cattley at Citigroup. “Few sectors have been here before in the past 30 years. History suggests decent absolute and relative 12-month gains for investors who buy sectors at such points.”

Indeed, whenever a European sector yield has climbed as high as 7%, says the Citigroup team, the average 12-month total returns that buyers have achieved since 1980 has been more than 30%.

What’s more, “seasonality joins valuation as a key cheerleader for European telecoms. Since 1995, in relative performance terms, European telecoms have had a poor first half and a good second half. The sector has underperformed this year to date: we would buy into weakness.”

Twelve European telecoms trading on the US markets are listed below with their current dividend yields:

1.Company: Telenor ASA (TELNY)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.31%
Country: Norway

2.Company: Deutsche Telekom AG (DTEGY)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.55%
Country: Germany

3.Company:  France Telecom (FTE)
Current Dividend Yield: 9.23%
Country: France

4.Company: Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA (HLTOY)
Current Dividend Yield:2.09%
Country: Greece

5.Company: Koninklijke KPN (KKPNY)
Current Dividend Yield: 7.94%
Country: The Netherlands

6.Company: Magyar Telekom Tavkozlesi Nyrt (MYTAY)
Current Dividend Yield: 11.27%
Country: Hungary

7.Company: Portugal Telecom (PT)
Current Dividend Yield: 10.47%
Country: Portugal

8.Company: Swisscom (SCMWY)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.95%
Country: Switzerland

9.Company: Telecom Italia  (TI)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.48%
Country: Italy

10.Company: Telefonica  (TEF)
Current Dividend Yield: 8.43%
Country: Spain

11.Company: Telekom Austria (TKAGY)
Current Dividend Yield: 8.80%
Country: Austria

12.Company: Vodafone Group (VOD)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.43%
Country: UK

Disclosure: No Positions

China – A Dominant Importer of Many Commodities

China’s voracious appetite for commodities continues to grow and the country has become a major force in the global commodities market in recent years.

The graphics below shows the change in China’s share of global commodities trade:

Click to enlarge


 

As an export-oriented economy, China is a major importer of a range of commodities and exporter of finished products.  For example, in the importation of metals, per capita intensity now rivals that in advanced economies, increasing from less than 15 percent of the level of advanced economies in 2000 to almost 90 percent in 2009.

Source: The Spillover Report and Selected Issues, July 2011, IMF

Review: db X-trackers STOXX Europe Christian Index ETF

In the past few years ETF providers have listed many Shariah-compliant funds in Europe and U.S. exchanges. These ETFs invest in companies that follow the principles of Islam.

Today I came the another religious-themed ETFs named db X-trackers STOXX Europe Christian Index ETF that trades on the London Stock Exchange. This ETF tracks the performance of the The STOXX® Europe Christian Index.

STOXX® Europe Christian Index:

The Index is a free float market capitalisation weighted index reflecting the performance of the European Equity market in alignment with the moral and social teachings of the Christian religion (social, environmental, ethical and economical responsibility). Each component’s weight is capped at 20% of the Index’s total free float market capitalisation. The Index universe is defined as all components of the STOXX® Europe 600 Index which is a fixed component number index designed to provide a broad, yet liquid, representation of 600 large, mid and small capitalisation companies in the European region. To be included in the Index, stocks must pass a set of screens for compliance with Christian values and principles, which are conducted by an independent committee. Excluded from the Index are companies which do not meet predetermined tolerance levels for certain areas of activity such as, for example, pornography, weapons, tobacco, alcohol, birth control and gambling.

The ETF has 150 constituents from 16 countries. The Top 20 companies are listed below together with their ADR ticker and current dividend yield:

1.Company: Nestle (NSRGY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.29%
Country: Switzerland

2.Company: HSBC (HBC)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.63%
Country: UK

3.Company: BP (BP)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.65%
Country: UK

4.Company: Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.52%
Country: UK

5.Company: Vodafone (VOD)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.43%
Country: UK

6.Company: Siemens (SI)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.74%
Country: Germany

7.Company: Total (TOT)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.62%
Country: France

8.Company: Rio Tinto (RIO)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.49%
Country: UK

9.Company: BHP Billiton (BBL)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.35%
Country: UK

10.Company: BASF (BASFY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.26%
Country: Germany

11.Company: Banco Santander (SAN)
Current Dividend Yield: 7.55%
Country: Spain

12.Company: BG Group (BRGYY)
Current Dividend Yield: 0.94%
Country:

13.Company: Daimler (DDAIY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.58%
Country: Germany

14.Company: Anglo American (AAUKY)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.34%
Country: UK

15.Company: ABB (ABB)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.73%
Country: Switzerland

16.Company: BNP Paribas (BNPQY)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.18%
Country: France

17.Company: UBS (UBS)
Current Dividend Yield: N/A
Country: Switzerland

18.Company: Telefonica (TEF)
Current Dividend Yield: 8.43%
Country: Spain

19.Company: Standard Chartered (SCBFF)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.65%
Country: UK

20.Company: Eni (E)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.01%
Country: Italy

To download the complete list of holdings in this fund click here.

Disclosure: Long STD, ABB

Chart: Russell Global Index Sector Performance 2000-2010

The chart below shows the performance of the various Russell Global Index Sectors from 2000 thru 2010:

Click to enlarge

Source: Russell Investments

Some observations:

  • Due to the boom in commodity markets in the past decade materials and processing has been one of the consistent top performing sector.
  • Since the credit crisis, the technology sector has recovered nicely and is performing better than they did in the past.
  • From 2007, the financial services sector has performed poorly than other sectors.

Chart: Russell Global Market Cap Index Performance 2010

The chart below shows the performance of the various Russell Global Market Cap Indices from 1999 thru 2010:

Click to enlarge

 

 

Source: Russell Investments

Some observations:

  • In the period shown, emerging market small caps have been the best performers in most years.
  • For most years, developed market large caps have been the weakest performers.
  • Since 2001, emerging markets large caps have outperformed developed markets large caps.
  • At the height of the global financial crisis in 2008, emerging market stocks of all caps fell heavily than developed world stocks but rebounded sharply in 2009.