Long-Term Investment in British Stocks Pays Off

Holding an investment such as stocks, bonds or other assets usually yields higher returns over the long-term than short-term. The minimum long-term can defined as a duration of five years but depends depends on many factors including an individual investor’s situation. Stocks for the long-term must be high quality stocks that pay dividends, have consistent earnings and are well established firms in their fields. When such stocks are held for the long-term and dividends are re-invested returns are amplified due to the effect of compounding.

Here is a chart showing how long-term investment in British stocks performed very well:

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Source:

Celebrating the Diamond Jubilee: shares reign among the asset classes!, May 2012, M&G Investments

From the research report:

How has a £100 investment fared over 60 years?

If you had invested £100 in shares when Elizabeth became Queen in 1952, what journey would that £100 have been on during the 60 years? Well, over the period, according to the Barclays Equity Gilt Study (2012), £100 invested in UK shares would have returned £4,430 by the end of 2011, compared with £352 from government bonds and £249 from cash (taking into account the effects of inflation over this period, gross income reinvested). It is clear from these figures that shares provided the greatest protection from inflation, and at the same time, produced some real growth. At times during the period, inflation hit extreme highs, yet shares remained resilient compared to bonds.

The Diamond Jubilee of Queen Elizabeth II will be celebrated through out 2012 and the key events were held in June.

Related ETF:

iShares MSCI United Kingdom Index (EWU)

Disclosure: No Positions

For a list of UK stocks trading on the US markets click here.

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The World’s Top 40 Steel-Producing Companies

Earlier this month Nippon Steel Corp. and Sumitomo Metal Corp. of Japan merged to form the second biggest steelmaker in the world. The merged company had a combined production capacity of 46 million tons which is about half of production capacity of the number one global steelmaker ArcelorMittal (MT). Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal trades on the OTC market under the ticker NSSMY.

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Source: Steel’s New Number 2, The Wall Street Journal

The journal article noted that with this merger, nine out of the top ten steel makers are Asian companies.

Who were the World’s Top Steel-Producing Companies in 2011?

 

 

Source: World Steel Association

Some of the steel makers trading on the US markets include:

1. POSCO (PKX)
South Korea

2. ArcelorMittal(MT)
Luxemourg

3. Nucor Steel (NUE)
USA

4. Companhia Siderurgica Nacional SA (SID)
Brazil

5. Gerdau (GGB)
Brazil

6.Mechel OAO(MTL)
Russia

7.Tenaris (TS)
Luxembourg

8.Ternium (TX)
Argentina

Related:

A Review of the Current Global Steel Market  (June, 2009)

Download:

Worlds Top Steel Producers From 1970 To 2011 (pdf)

Disclosure: No Positions

Germany’s Sources of Electricity Generation

Germany has set an ambitious plan to move away from fossil fuels and abandon nuclear power in the coming years. As a major industrial powerhouse this a big challenge since the country has to find other sources of electricity to replace the power generated from fossil fuels and nuclear power. Germany is increasingly depending renewable energy sources to meet its electricity needs, By the year 2020, one-third of power produced is projected to come from renewable sources.

Germany’s Sources of power generation in 2011:

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Source: The Energiewende – Germany’s gamble by David Buchan, June 2012, The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, University of Oxford

Four companies dominate power generation in Germany. These firms include Germany-owned EnBW, E.ON(EONGY), RWE (RWEOY)and Swedish-owned Vattenfall which provides electricity generation in the former East German parts of the country. The three major German utilities noted above have seen their share prices plunge in the since last year due to the government’s decision to phase out nuclear power. However in the past few months their share prices have stabilized and have slowly started to crawl up. Up until now these three firms have been big players in the renewable energy market in other countries but not in their home country of Germany.

Vattenfall is one of Europe’s largest producers of electricity and heat. The group is 100% owned by the Swedish state. Vattenfall’s core markets are Sweden, Germany and the Netherlands  and has operations in Belgium, Denmark, Finland, Poland, France and the UK as well. The company’s share does not trade on the US markets.

The long-term performance of E.ON (EONGY) and RWE AG(RWEOY) is show below:

 

Source: Yahoo Finance

Related ETF:

iShares MSCI Germany Index Fund(EWG)

Related article:

German Energy Plan Plagued by Lack of Progress (Der Spiegel)

Clean Break: Germany’s Switch to Renewables (Bloomberg)

Disclosure: Long EONGY and RWEOY

Defensive Sector Stocks Offer Superior Returns To Long-Term Investors

Many investors consider defensive sector stocks to be boring and under-performing in both the short and long-terms. However contrary to their beliefs the defensive sector actually yields superior returns especially in the long-term, which can be defined as a holding period at least five years. Not only do these stocks offer higher returns they also also offer stability to a diversified portfolio during adverse market conditions such as the meltdown of global equity markets during the financial crisis.

A research report by Credit Suisse research report last year noted that from 1995 thru 2011, defensive sectors outperformed the broader market as measured by the MSCI World Index by about 130 percent.  Using the US market as an example of this strategy, the following chart shows the performance comparison of the S&P 500 and Consumer Staples sector ETFs:

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Source: Yahoo Finance

During the March 2009 lows reached by the S&P 500 index the defensive sector ETF held up well  and has continued to outperform. While the S&P 500 index ETF (SPY) has returned about 10% since 2001, the consumer staples ETF(XLP) has grown by about 40%.

Defensive sectors outperform over the long-term due to the compounding effect of dividends, stable growth and they are also relatively less affected by economic cycles. For example, regardless of the state of the economy consumers buy food, toothpaste, drugs and use electricity, mobile phones, etc. Companies operating in the sector are usually well-established and have strong cash-flows which helps to make consistent dividend payments and also dividend increases occasionally.

Investors looking to add defensive stocks to their portfolios can consider the foreign stocks listed below:

1.Company: Coca Cola Femsa SAB de CV (KOF)
Sector:Beverages (Nonalcoholic)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.46%
Country: Mexico

2.Company: Unilever NV (UN)
Sector:Food Processing
Current Dividend Yield: 3.34%
Country: The Netherlands

3.Company: Diageo PLC (DEO)
Sector:Beverages (Alcoholic)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.43%
Country: The UK

4.Company: Bayer AG (BAYRY)
Sector: Major Drugs
Current Dividend Yield: 2.42%
Country: Germany

5.Company: Vodafone Group PLC (VOD)
Sector: Telecom
Current Dividend Yield: 5.11%
Country: UK

6.Company: Danone SA (DANOY)
Sector:Food Processing
Current Dividend Yield: 2.98%
Country: France

7.Company: Henkel AG (HENKY)
Sector: Household goods
Current Dividend Yield: 1.53%
Country: Germany

8.Company: British American Tobacco PLC (BTI)
Sector: Tobacco
Current Dividend Yield: 4.01%
Country: UK

9.Company: Vina Concha y Toro (VCO)
Sector: Beverages (Alcoholic)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.41%
Country: Chile

10.Company: Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd (TEVA)
Sector: Biotechnology & Drugs
Current Dividend Yield: 2.45%
Country: Israel

Note: Dividend yields noted are as of Oct 9, 2012

Disclosure: Long HENKY