Ten British Stocks To Consider for 2013 and Beyond

The British equity market offers many excellent companies for investors looking to add some exposure to UK and also earn a higher total return. Five reasons for investing in British stocks are listed below:

  1. The current dividend yield for UK is 3.4% compared to 2.2% for the US market.
  2. Due to the tax treaty with the US, the UK withholding taxes on dividends paid by British companies to US residents is 0%. However there is a 20% withholding tax applied to distributions made by UK REITs.
  3. More than 60% of FTSE-100 companies’ revenue come from other countries.
  4. Many British multinationals have strong presence in most of the emerging and frontier countries due to strong ties dating back to the colonial times.
  5. Among the European countries, the UK economy is one of the few economies that is in recovery mode. More importantly, the private sector is adding jobs and the public sector employment now remains at the lowest level since 2002, according to an article in The Guardian.

The following chart shows the effect of reinvesting dividends based on UK’s FTSE All-Share index:

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Source: The case for income investing, Cazenove Capital Management

Ten British ADRs are listed below with their current dividend yields:

1.Company:National Grid PLC (NGG)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.54%
Sector:Electric Utilities

2.Company: Diageo PLC (DEO)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.38%
Sector:Beverages (Alcoholic)

3.Company: Centrica PLC (CPYYY)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.50%
Sector:Natural Gas Utilities

4.Company: GlaxoSmithKline PLC (GSK)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.31%
Sector:Major Drugs

5.Company: Unilever PLC (UL)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.95%
Sector:Food Processing

6.Company: Vodafone Group PLC (VOD)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.09%
Sector:Telecom

7.Company: Royal Dutch Shell PLC (RDS.B)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.83%
Sector:Oil & Gas Producer

8.Company: Imperial Tobacco Group PL (ITYBY)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.36%
Sector:Tobacco

9.Company: British American Tobacco PLC (BTI)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.17%
Sector:Tobacco

10.Company: Aviva PLC (AV)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.59%
Sector: Life Insurance

Note: Dividend yields noted are as of Dec 21, 2012

Disclosure: No Positions

U.S. Large-Caps With Rising Overseas Revenues

One way to gain exposure to growing economies outside of the U.S. is to simply invest in companies that generate a larger portion of their revenue from those economies. The advantage with this strategy is information about these firms is much easier to find and investors may already know most of these firms and their products. For example, many of the products of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Procter and Gamble  (PG) are sold in the country and investors may buy those products on a weekly if not more frequent basis. These companies sell some of the same products in other countries sometimes under different brand names.

Another important benefit of investing in these companies is that they are able to have stronger earnings as the sales in foreign economies helps offset lower sales in the domestic market. Investors looking to add U.S. multinationals with rising revenues from foreign countries can consider the firms shown in the chart below:

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Source:  SCALED TO SERVE: THE ROLE OF COMMERCIAL BANKS IN THE U.S. ECONOMY, July 2012, The Clearing House

Demand for Caterpillar’s (CAT) products is high in emerging markets such as China due to high infrastructure development there. Kraft’s (KFT) purchase of British confectioner Cadbury in 2010 gives it more reach in fast-growing emerging markets. Tech giant IBM’s (IBM) earnings has remained strong in recent years due to the increase in outsourcing of services by companies and government agencies to reduce costs.

Disclosure: No Positions

A Comparison of U.S. Banking System to that of Other Countries

The U.S. has the world’s largest economy with a GDP of about $15.0 Trillion in 2011.Finance, Insurance and Real Estate collectively known as the FIRE sector are the some of the major industries in the country.During 2008-2009 the financial and real estate sectors triggered the financial crisis bringing the global economy almost to its knees.

Though many banks failed and many are still struggling to survive, the U.S. banking system as whole has stabilized and is in a better position relative to the banking system of peer countries. Specifically, the banking system in the U.S. is less concentrated than those of other developed countries according to a research report by The Clearing House. For example, the U.S. banking system is small at 117% of the GDP compared to 332% for Germany, 373% for UK and 421% for France. In terms of assets as a percentage of GDP, the U.S. is the lowest among the G-7 countries as shown in the chart below:

 

The U.S. banking system is also less concentrated than the banking systems of peer countries. Based on assets held, the top five banks held 56% of the country’s total banking assets which is the least among the G-7 countries.When the largest five banks’ assets are compared as a percent of GDP, they are relatively small as well.

Source:  SCALED TO SERVE: THE ROLE OF COMMERCIAL BANKS IN THE U.S. ECONOMY, July 2012, The Clearing House

Another interesting fact noted in the report is that the banking system is also less concentrated relative to other industries such as telecom and auto makers.

After the crisis, the Dodd-Frank Act and scores of other regulations implemented have made the US banking system more stable and strong.On the other hand, the banking system in Europe is not only concentrated but also still fragile since banks failed to raise enough capital after the crisis and earnings have not rebounded strongly. The ongoing European crisis is also not helping the banks. Hence U.S. banks offer better investment opportunities than many banks in Europe.

Since hundreds of bank stocks trade on the markets, investors have to be very selective in picking potential winners. From a Zacks Investment Research research report this week:

Though the improving performance of banks seems already priced in and there remains substantial concerns, the sector’s performance in the upcoming quarters should not disappoint investors.

Specific banks that we like with a Zacks #1 Rank (short-term Strong Buy rating) include ViewPoint Financial Group (VPFG), BofI Holding(BOFI), Preferred Bank (PFBC), TriCo Bancshares (TCBK), Cardinal Financial Corp. (CFNL), M&T Bank Corporation (MTB), Macatawa Bank Corp. (MCBC) and Tompkins Financial Corporation (TMP).

Stocks in the U.S. banking universe with a Zacks #2 Rank (short-term Buy rating) currently include BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF), Texas Capital BancShares (TCBI), Central Pacific Financial (CPF), Fidelity Southern Corporation (LION), BankUnited, Inc. (BKU), First Business Financial Services (FBIZ) and Washington Trust Bancorp (WASH)

Investors may want to avoid developed European banks and instead focus their attention on banks in the Scandinavian countries.They can also consider the five Canadian banks trading on the US markets.

Disclosure: Long MCBC

Non-OECD Countries with Rising Coal Consumption for Electricity Generation

The following chart shows the non-OECD countries with increasing use of coal for electricity generation :

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Source: Medium-Term Coal Market Report 2012, IEA

Related ETF:

Market Vectors-Coal ETF (KOL)

Also checkout:

Should You Invest in the Land of Komodo Dragons?

10 Coal Stocks from the Russell Global Coal Index

Why Invest in U.S. Coal Companies?

Top Coal Exporters and Importers

Disclosure: No Positions

Year-to-date Returns of Exchange-Listed Oil and Natural Gas Producers’ ADRs

The chart below shows the performance of exchange-listed foreign Oil and Natural Gas stocks year-to-date:

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Data Source: BNY Mellon

Colombia’s Ecopetrol(EC) is the top performer this year with a return of about 32% so far.China’s CNOOC(CEO) and PetroChina(PTR) have also performed well with double-digit rises. Compared to these ADRs, Brazil’s Petrobras(PBR) has declined by about 22% YTD.

Disclosure: Long PBR