Keep Calm And Consider Buying These Ten Stocks

The U.S. equity market fell sharply today with the Dow down 1.47% and the S&P 500 off by 1.67%. Unlike the dramatic reversal in the markets yesterday, investors simply wanted to dump risky assets such as stocks.

Market participants are spooked by a multitude of fears including Greece, China, potential interest rate increase, global economic slowdown, commodity market collapse, etc. However all these fears are overblown and it is unlikely that a great collapse will occur in equity markets worldwide especially in developed markets. Hence wise investors should use this selloff as an opportunity to add high-quality companies to their portfolios at current levels. Plenty of bargains can be found in the markets of the developed world. Before we can get to the list of potential candidates for additions, let us review some of the reasons that dispel the myth that were heading towards a major equity market disaster.

1. Though the Shanghai Composite Index is off by over 30% so far this year and will fall further, the US and other developed economies will not be highly impacted. Sure there may be short-term declines in stock prices like today but China is not going to kill the economic recovery in North America and Europe. Moreover European indices actually closed green today ignoring the carnage in China.

2. The Greek debt drama may prolong for a few more months but Greece is most likely to be part of the EU. In the worst case scenario, the current debt will be restructured by the troika and by this weekend the EU leaders will iron out some form of deal agreeable to all parties.

3. Global commodities have been languishing in a bear market for the fifth year now. So commodity market collapse is not new as China did not all of sudden stop importing commodities in recent weeks. The fact the demand for major commodities have been soft for many years now and equity markets have flourished taking into this consideration.

4. The crash in Chinese equities is not going to push the US and European economies into recession. China is still an emerging market and such boom and busts are features of such markets. So simply because Chinese stocks collapse it does mean US stocks will follow as well. It should noted that during the last market crash, Chinese stocks fell by over 70%.

So from an investment standpoint, all the current chaos in equity markets presents attractive entry points for investors in developed equities. Many sectors such as utilities, railroads, healthcare, consumer goods, etc offer opportunities for long-term investors. For example, there is absolutely no major impact to US utilities from the chaos in China. They do not depend on exports to China and generate most of their revenues from the domestic market.

Ten stocks are listed below with their current dividend for consideration:

1.Company: Southern Company (SO)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.03%
Sector: Electric Utilities
Country: USA

2.Company: Canadian National Railway Co (CNI)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.74%
Sector: Railroads
Country: Canada

3.Company: DTE Energy Company (DTE)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.61%
Sector: Electric Utilities
Country: USA

4.Company: BASF SE (BASFY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.64%
Sector:Chemicals
Country: Germany

5.Company: Autoliv Inc (ALV)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.97%
Sector: Auto Parts
Country: Sweden

6.Company: Unilever NV (UN)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.39%
Sector: Food Products
Country: The Netherlands

7.Company: Union Pacific Corp (UNP)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.29%
Sector: Railroads
Country: USA

8.Company: Kimberly-Clark Corp (KMB)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.27%
Sector: Household Products
Country: USA

9.Company: Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.29%
Sector: Banking
Country: Canada

10.Company:Edp Energias De Portugal SA (EDPFY)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.67%
Sector: Electric Utilities
Country: Portugal

Note: Dividend yields noted above are as of July 8, 2015. Data is known to be accurate from sources used.Please use your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Disclosure: BNS, CNI and DTE

China ADRs: A Review Of Year-To-Date Returns

Chinese equities have plunged dramatically in the past few weeks. From being the top performer among emerging markets, the China equity market has entered the bear market with a fall of over 28% in the Shanghai Composite Index from this year’s peak. Despite the decline, the index is still up by just over 15% year-to-date.

Investors may want to consider the following points before investing in China:

  • The Chinese equity market rose more than 100% in the past 12 months even though economic growth was sluggish. Many individual stocks more than doubled or shot up more.
  • Unlike other emerging countries such as Brazil and India, retail domestic investors are the cause of the boom. Foreigners do not play a major role in China since the country has strong restrictions on foreign equity investors investing in the local market. According to one report, more than 90 million individual investors make up about 80% of the market.

From an article in the BBC:

  • Herd mentality

About 80% of investors on the Chinese mainland’s stock markets are small retail investors – or so-called mum and dad investors. Investing – and talking about their shares – is a national pastime for millions. And many have admitted that they are driven by what their friends and family are doing. “Retail traders are by their nature enthused by momentum,” says market specialist Chris Weston from IG Markets. “If the market is rallying, they feel like they need to be involved on fear of missing out. That momentum is now headed sharply lower and so they want out.”

  • Millions of individual investors opened brokerage accounts in the past year as the market soared. These inexperienced investors do not have the resources or the ability to ride out market volatility.

From Fuelled by greed, Shanghai’s stock market is a raging ox in Global Times in June:

In April, both of China’s two exchanges saw nearly 5 million new A-share accounts opened. In Shanghai especially, the passion for investing in the stock market is at an all-time high, and the greed that has overcome ordinary residents here is almost palpable.

Just a few floors downstairs from the Global Times, where a securities company happens to have an office, a high-spirited stream of retirees can be seen making punctual visits throughout the day to cash in on their portfolios or reinvest in new offerings. It’s comical to picture these gossiping grannies sitting in the doorways of their longtang debating the valuation of 1818-SZ or whether to hold or sell ICBC, but that’s exactly what’s occurring.

On morning metro commutes, nobody is playing Fantasy Westward Journey anymore; now the new trendy game is SSE. The faces of nearly every other passenger glow green and red from the real-time stock tickers on their tablet devices.

Every morning at People’s Square, near the Shenwan Hongyuan Securities office, droves of locals can be seen expounding investing advice and whispering supposedly “insider” secrets to each other. Though many of their claims are dubious, gauging from the animated atmosphere, trading stocks has become the city’s new obsession.

After many years of stagnation, the sudden reversal of fortune of the Chinese stock market sent everyone scrambling. Everyone was afraid of missing out on the next golden opportunity. Even people with absolutely no prior investing experience – or sufficient savings to spend – did not hesitate to get in on the latest hot stock.

A classmate of mine, who spent all her savings on a new apartment, recently borrowed an additional 100,000 yuan to invest in the market. On Thursday, when the Shanghai exchange plunged 6.5 percent, she lost 7,000 yuan in the blink of an eye.

China’s stock market is notoriously volatile, but over-confident new investors seem to be ignoring the potentially high risks. A friend’s colleague just sold his apartment for 300,000 yuan less than the market price so he could come up with the cash to make a “sure thing” investment.

  • Some 1,301 companies have been halted from trading on the mainland exchanges and IPOs have been suspended. In addition, the government is taking many other steps to halt the slide. Most likely such measures will fail.

Following the performance of common stocks listed on the mainland market, China ADRs trading on the US markets also declined today as investors dumped them in droves. Hot stocks such as Alibaba(BABA) plunged to their lowest level since the IPO a few months ago. BABA is down over 23% so far this year.

The table below shows the year-to-date returns of exchange-listed Chinese ADRs:

S.No.CompanyTickerPrice as of July 7, 2015Year-To-Date Change (%)Industry
121VianetVNET$16.395.95%Software&ComputerSvc
2500.comWBAI$17.883.05%Leisure Goods
351jobJOBS$33.05-7.81%Support Services
458.comWUBA$60.7046.09%Software&ComputerSvc
5AcornATV$0.91-45.83%General Retailers
6Actions SemiconductorACTS$1.44-25.77%Tech.Hardware&Equip.
7AgriaGRO$1.4217.36%Food Producers
8AirmediaAMCN$4.0056.25%Media
9Alibaba Group Holding LimitedBABA$79.62-23.40%General Retailers
10Aluminum Corporation of ChinaACH$9.86-14.41%Indust.Metals&Mining
11ATAATAI$4.9012.39%General Retailers
12AutohomeATHM$43.8620.63%Automobiles & Parts
13BaiduBIDU$187.54-17.73%Software&ComputerSvc
14BaozunBZUN$7.43-25.75%Software&ComputerSvc
15BitautoBITA$45.01-36.07%Media
16Bona FilmBONA$10.3145.62%Media
17Changyou.comCYOU$21.90-19.96%Software&ComputerSvc
18Cheetah MobileCMCM$22.1146.23%Software&ComputerSvc
19China Digital TV HoldingSTV$2.84-7.19%Electron.&ElectricEq
20China Distance EducationDL$14.26-13.00%General Retailers
21China Eastern AirlinesCEA$35.8247.77%Travel & Leisure
22China Finance OnlineJRJC$4.56-14.29%Software&ComputerSvc
23China Life InsuranceLFC$19.39-0.92%Life Insurance
24China LodgingHTHT$21.82-16.97%Travel & Leisure
25China Ming Yang Wind PowerMY US$2.294.57%Alternative Energy
26China MobileCHL$61.003.71%Mobile Telecom.
27China National Offshore Oil-CNOOCCEO$135.13-0.23%Oil & Gas Producers
28China Nepstar Chain DrugstoreNPD$1.9120.89%Food &Drug Retailers
29China New BorunBORN$1.07-16.41%Beverages
30China Petroleum & ChemicalSNP$80.99-0.02%Oil & Gas Producers
31China Southern AirlinesZNH$48.68103.68%Travel & Leisure
32China SunergyCSUN$1.5728.69%Alternative Energy
33China Techfaith Wireless CommunicationCNTF$1.03-8.04%Tech.Hardware&Equip.
34China TelecomCHA$54.48-7.20%Fixed Line Telecom.
35China UnicomCHU$14.366.77%Mobile Telecom.
36China Xiniya FashionXNY$1.85-16.29%Personal Goods
37China Zenix Auto InternationalZX$1.01-29.37%Automobiles & Parts
38ChinaCacheCCIH$9.422.50%Software&ComputerSvc
39CNInsureCISG$6.55-1.21%Nonlife Insurance
40Concord Medical ServicesCCM$5.99-6.55%HealthCareEquip.&Ser
41Country Style Cooking RestaurantCCSC$4.68-20.95%Food &Drug Retailers
42CTrip.com InternationalCTRP$71.1056.26%Travel & Leisure
43Daqo New EnergyDQ$18.42-30.07%Chemicals
44E-Commerce China DangdangDANG$6.68-28.09%General Retailers
45eHi Car Services LtdEHIC$13.0159.44%Automobiles & Parts
46E-House (China)EJ$5.41-25.28%Real Estate Inv&Serv
47eLongLONG$14.11-21.39%Travel & Leisure
48Guangshen RailwayGSH$22.13-8.29%Travel & Leisure
49Hanwha Q CellsHQCL$14.3130.09%Alternative Energy
50Homeinns HotelHMIN$29.36-2.20%Travel & Leisure
51Huaneng Power InternationalHNP$46.70-13.79%Electricity
52iDreamSky TechnologyDSKY$9.88-42.15%Software&ComputerSvc
53iKang Healthcare GroupKANG$15.633.92%HealthCareEquip.&Ser
54JA SolarJASO$7.02-14.29%Alternative Energy
55JD.comJD$30.6132.28%General Retailers
56Jiayuan.comDATE$5.9525.26%Software&ComputerSvc
57JinkoSolarJKS$25.5229.48%Alternative Energy
58JumeiJMEI$17.6129.30%General Retailers
59Kingtone Wirelessinfo SolutionKONE$3.7853.66%Software&ComputerSvc
60KongZhongKZ$6.1413.49%Mobile Telecom.
61Ku6 MediaKUTV$0.76-24.00%Media
62Leju HoldingsLEJU$6.96-35.32%Real Estate Inv&Serv
63Lentuo InternationalLASLY$0.08-90.80%General Retailers
64LightInTheBoxLITB$4.02-36.09%General Retailers
65Mecox LaneMCOX$3.04-18.50%General Retailers
66Mindray Medical InternationalMR$25.45-3.60%HealthCareEquip.&Ser
67MOMO IncMOMO$13.9616.33%Software&ComputerSvc
68NetEaseNTES$129.7830.91%Software&ComputerSvc
69New Oriental Education & TechnologyEDU$23.1113.23%General Retailers
70Noah HoldingsNOAH$22.989.95%Financial Services
71NQ MobileNQ$3.78-3.32%Software&ComputerSvc
72Ossen InnovationOSN$1.0021.95%Indust.Metals&Mining
73Perfect WorldPWRD$19.2422.08%Leisure Goods
74PetroChinaPTR$106.70-3.84%Oil & Gas Producers
75Phoenix New MediaFENG$6.51-21.66%Media
76Qihoo 360 TechnologyQIHU$58.632.39%Software&ComputerSvc
77QunarQUNR$36.8729.69%Travel & Leisure
78ReneSolaSOL$1.33-5.67%Alternative Energy
79RenrenRENN$3.4537.45%General Retailers
80Shanda GamesGAME$6.076.87%Leisure Goods
81Sinopec Shanghai PetrochemicalSHI$39.0133.00%Chemicals
82Sky mobiMOBI$4.066.56%Software&ComputerSvc
83Sky Solar Holdings LtdSKYS$7.99-37.19%Alternative Energy
84SouFunSFUN$6.90-6.63%Media
85Sungy MobileGOMO$4.14-17.03%Mobile Telecom.
86TAL EducationXRS$32.1814.56%General Retailers
87Taomee HoldingsTAOM$2.91-15.65%Leisure Goods
88TarenaTEDU$10.61-4.41%Support Services
89The9NCTY$1.24-20.00%Software&ComputerSvc
90Trina SolarTSL$10.3411.66%Alternative Energy
91Tuniu CorpTOUR$15.5129.25%Travel & Leisure
92Vimicro InternationalVIMC$8.9950.08%Tech.Hardware&Equip.
93VipshopVIPS$20.525.02%General Retailers
94VisionChina MediaVISN$8.59-11.72%Media
95Weibo CorporationWB$13.40-5.90%Software&ComputerSvc
96Wowo LtdWOWO$6.17-40.01%Leisure Goods
97WuXi PharmatechWX$38.5914.61%Pharma. & Biotech.
98Xinyuan Real EstateXIN$2.9324.15%Real Estate Inv&Serv
99Xueda EducationXUE$2.9322.59%General Retailers
100XunleiXNET$9.1124.79%Software&ComputerSvc
101Yanzhou Coal MiningYZC$6.13-27.28%Mining
102Yingli Green EnergyYGE$1.01-57.02%Alternative Energy
103Youku.comYOKU$19.117.30%Media
104YY Inc.YY$55.59-10.83%Media
105Zhaopin LTDZPIN$14.04-7.51%Software&ComputerSvc
106Zuoan FashionZA$3.341.83%Personal Goods

Source; BNY Mellon

About half of the ADRs shown above trade for under $10 per share.

The complete list of China ADRs including the ones trading on the OTC markets can be found here.

Disclosure: No Positions

Conventional and High Speed Rail Map of China

I wrote about high speed rail network in Europe and North America late last year. And before that I wrote another article on high speed rail network in 2013.

In this post, let us take a look at the high speed rail and conventional network map in China:

Click to enlarge

China Railway Network Map

Source: China’s Army Hauls Ass on High-Speed Rail, Medium

A few interesting facts about high speed rail in China:

  1. China has the world’s largest  high speed train network.
  2. In December, 2014 China opened 32 high speed train routes.
  3. The 1106-mile line between Shanghai and Guangzhou, near Hong Kong cut the travel time from 16 hours to just 6 hours and 51 minutes.

Source: China opens 32 high-speed rail routes in grand expansion, RT

  1. High-Speed Railway Map of China

Click to enlarge

China High-Speed railway map

Source: China Railway Map, Travel China Guide

 

Updates:

Click to enlarge

China-Rail-Density

Source: Building for the Future: Infrastructure in Emerging Markets, Franklin Templeton Investments

China Hi-speed Railway Map 2016:

Click to enlarge

china-high-speed-railway-map-2016

 

Source: China Discovery

China Hi-speed Railway Map 2017:

Source: The Economist

Emerging High Speed Rail Hub Cities in China:

Click to enlarge

 

Source: US Funds

Related Links:

  1. China Railway Map, Travel China Guide
  2. High-speed railways – Faster than a speeding bullet, The Economist
  3. HIGH SPEED RAIL AROUND THE WORLD, USHSR
  4. China to spend $438b on new rails over the next five years, Nov 27, 2015, The Guardian
  5. Cruising 200km/h on Xinjiang’s New High-Speed Train, Far West China
  6. China opens world’s longest high-speed railway line, Dec 26, 2012, The Guardian
  7. China’s ‘train hunter’ on a quest to chronicle its fast-expanding railway, Dec 25, 2015, The Guardian
  8. UPDATE: China Wants to Conduct the World’s High-Speed Rail Market, December 15, 2014. U.S. Funds

How Much Exposure Do European Banks Have To Greece ?

European equities have fallen heavily in the past few weeks from their 2015 peaks due to the Greek debt crisis. For example, the DAX has declined from 12,390 in April to 10,667 today.

As of July 7 close, the returns of the major indices are listed below:

  • S&P 500 Index: 0.5%
  • UK’s FTSE 100: -0.50%
  • France’s CAC 40: 10.3%
  • Germany’s DAX Index: 11.1%
  • Spain’s IBEX35 Index: 2.5%

Unlike during the past European sovereign debt crises, this time around many doom and gloom scenarios are being discussed by investors and experts alike. Some of these scenarios include the collapse of Greek banks, collapse of Greece, Grexit, Greece going back to Drachma, Greece aligning itself with Russia, other Eurozone countries like Italy, Spain, etc. quitting the EU, etc. All these are just hype and are unlikely to occur.

With respect to European banks’ exposure to Greece, it is not a doomsday scenario either. Russ Koesterich, Global Chief Investment Strategist of Blackrock noted this point in a post today. European banks have substaintially reduced their exposure to Greece in the past few years. Most the Greek debt is held by official creditors and not private banks. These major creditors include the troika – the European Central Bank (ECB), IMF and European Commission.

Click to enlarge

European-Bank-Exposure-to-Greece-Chart

Source: Does Greece Pose a Threat to Global Markets?, Blackrock blog

From an investment perspective, investors need not fear holding or investing in European stocks especially banks. Though short-term volatility is normal, European banks are good long-term investments at current levels.