Invest in North American Railroad Stocks for the Long Term

The railroad industry plays an important and critical role in the economic growth of North America countries. Railroads in Canada, Mexico and the U.S. are inter-connected for seamless and efficient transportation of freight across the continent. Due to the vastness of the U.S. and Canada, railroads move a tremendous amount of goods and materials cheaply from one place to another.

From an investment perspective, railroad stocks are excellent for long-term investment since only a handful of the major dominate the entire markets of the two countries. Unlike other industries a new railroad company is almost impossible be launched. From an article I wrote in 2013, here are some of the reasons to invest in railroad stocks:

  • “The railroad industry is a oligopoly as shown in the chart here.
  • Railroads are the best form of transportation to transport natural resources such as coal, minerals, timber, etc.
  • Other goods such as autos and petroleum products are also moved by rail in increasing quantities.
  • Railroads have pricing power since in many places only one railroad serves the area. For example, a former in Iowa may not have options to move his produce other than one single railroad serving his rural community.
  • Automation and continued investments in technology and innovation makes the industry highly efficient.
  • Railroads move goods economically across the vast distances of the country.
  • The majority of the U.S. and Canadian railroads are involved in freight transportation and not on passenger traffic.”

An interesting stat from American Association of Railroads:

U.S. freight railroads account for approximately 40 percent of intercity freight volume — that is more than any other mode of transportation. Each day, railroads deliver an average of 5 million tons of goods and serve almost every industrial, wholesale, retail, and resource-based sector of the economy.

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US Railraods Delivery of Goods Map

Crude by rail is another growth area that railroads are benefiting from in recent years. With the dramatic rise in shale oil production in the U.S. in the past few years and increased opposition to the construction of new oil pipelines, railroads are transporting a substantial amount of crude everyday.

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Crude by rail chart

Source: AAR

There are seven Class I railroads that control over 95,000 miles of track in the U.S. According to AAR:

Accounting for 69 percent of U.S. freight rail mileage and 90 percent of employees, America’s Class I freight railroads operate in 44 states across the country and concentrate largely on long-haul intercity traffic.

Of the 7 railroads only 6 are public companies since billionaire Warren Buffet took BNSF private in 2009.From an investment standpoint, investors should buy and hold railroad stocks for the long-term which is 5 years or so in order to earn solid returns on their investments.

The Class I railroad stocks are listed below with their current dividend yields:

1.Company: CSX Corp (CSX)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.90%

2.Company: Kansas City Southern (KSU)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.17%

3.Company: Norfolk Southern Corp (NSC)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.27%

4.Company: Union Pacific Corp (UNP)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.68%

5.Company: Canadian National (CNI)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.47%

6.Company: Canadian Pacific (CP)
Current Dividend Yield: 0.65%

Note: Dividend yields noted above are as of Feb 4, 2015. Data is known to be accurate from sources used.Please use your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Disclosure: Long CNI, CSX and NSC

A Note on the Top Life Insurance Companies in the World

Life insurance is a big business in many part of the world. For example, in many European countries life insurance policies are preferred by consumers over other financial products such as equities.In France and Germany people have more of their retirement in insurance products than equities.Similarly Japanese also invest in life insurance policies for their retirement needs. Outside of the U.S. some of the largest life insurance firms are based in Europe. In Emerging markets such as China, India, Brazil, etc. the life insurance industry is growing as the industry tries to raise awareness and try to gain market share.Many of the life insurers are solid well-established firms with millions of loyal customers. They also deliver decent returns to their investors.

While having life insurance is important one can also invest in stocks of life insurance companies for diversification and dividend income.

Some of the largest global life insurance firms are listed below with their current dividend yields:

1.Company: Prudential Financial (PUK)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.04%
Country: UK

2.Company: Legal & General Group (LGGNY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.99%
Country: UK

3.Company: Aegon (AEG)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.05%
Country: The Netherlands

4.Company: Manulife Financial (MFC)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.38%
Country: Canada

5.Company: Aviva (AV)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.11%
Country: UK

6.Company: China Life Insurance (LFC)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.25%
Country: China

7.Company: ING Groep (ING)
Current Dividend Yield: Dividends not paid
Country: The Netherlands

8.Company: Allianz SE (AZSEY)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.33%
Country: Germany

9.Company: AXA Group (AXAHY)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.73%
Country: France

10.Company: Sanlam (SLLDY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.11%
Country: South Africa

Note: Dividend yields noted above are as of Feb 3, 2015. Data is known to be accurate from sources used.Please use your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Disclosure: Long AXAHY, ING

The World’s Top 10 Companies by Market Capitalization

Its been a while since I wrote a post about the largest global firms.The Wall Street Journal published the following graphic showing the world’s ten largest firms by market capitalization in an article on Apple Inc (AAPL):

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Worlds Top 10 Companies by market Cap

 

Source: Apple Boosts Size of Bond Deal to $6.5 Billion, Feb 3, 2015, The Wall Street Journal

Apple’s market cap has soared in the past few years and it is now the largest company in the world beating Exxon Mobil(XOM). The market cap of the oil giant is less than $400 billion as the share price has declined recently due to the crash in oil prices.

Just two of the ten largest global companies are outside of the U.S.China-based China Mobile(CHL) and Industrial & Commercial Bank of China (IDCBY) are the only foreign firms in this list.

Disclosure: No Positions

Economic Growth: Asia vs. Developed Countries

Asian economies continue to grow outpacing the economic growth of developed world making a compelling case for investing in Asia, according to a report by Nikko Asset Management. Asian countries excluding Japan have more than doubled their GDP as a percentage of the world total GDP from 9% in 1998 to more than 20% in 2013. China has been a major contributor to this tremendous growth. To put another way, these countries have enjoyed strong economic growth since the Asian Financial Crisis of the late 90s.

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Share of World GDP for Select Countries and Regions

Source: The Asian Credit Market, Nikko Asset Management

While Asian economies grew, the U.S. economy’s share of the world GDP has continued to decline.

Five Asian growth stocks are listed below with their current dividend yields:

1.Company: HDFC Bank Ltd (HDB)
Current Dividend Yield: 0.60%
Sector: Banking
Country: India

2.Company: ICICI Bank Ltd(IBN)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.27%
Sector: Banking
Country: India

3.Company:Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co (PHI)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.38%
Sector: Telecom
Country: Philippines

4.Company:PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.16%
Sector: Telecom
Country:Indonesia

5.Company:Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.20%
Sector: Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Country:Taiwan

Note: Dividend yields noted above are as of Feb 2, 2015. Data is known to be accurate from sources used.Please use your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Disclosure: No Positions

Morgan Stanley: European Stocks Are 40% Cheaper than U.S. Stocks

In the past few weeks I wrote a number of bullish articles on European equities. You can find some of them here, here, here and here. Over the weekend The Wall Street Journal published an interesting piece on the same topic. The entire article is worth a read. From the article:

The Case of Europe

One recent sign of hope for European investors was the calm response to the recent triumph of the left-wing Syriza party in Greece, which wants to ease the terms of the European bailout.

Greece’s Athex Composite Share Price Index plummeted 15% in the first three trading days following the vote. But investors elsewhere shrugged, bidding the Stoxx Europe 600—akin to the S&P 500—to a fresh seven-year high in the days that followed.

There are other reasons for optimism.

The euro already has tumbled 19% against the dollar since March, and many analysts believe it has further to fall, particularly when the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, which could happen this year. A weaker currency should make European exports more competitive and boost revenues in euro terms.

European firms also are able to borrow on favorable terms due to low interest rates, and plunging oil prices have reduced energy costs in countries that often rely on imported fossil fuels.

“Recently, we seem to be running out of reasons to dislike Europe, and for us that signals that it’s time to buy,” says John Manley, the New York-based chief equity strategist at Wells Fargo Asset Management , a unit of Wells Fargo that oversees about $490 billion.

European stocks also are less richly valued than U.S. equities, which have appreciated more sharply in the aftermath of the financial crisis. European stocks currently trade at nearly a 40% discount to U.S. equities, according to Morgan Stanley, based on the cyclically adjusted price/earnings ratio—a valuation measure popularized by Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller that uses average inflation-adjusted earnings over the prior 10 years. The long-term average discount is 10%.

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Europe Stocks CAPE ratio

 

Morgan Stanley forecasts that European corporate earnings will outpace the U.S. for the first time since 2008, with 10% growth in 2015 compared with 6% to 8% in the U.S.

For many U.S. investors, the simplest and most convenient way to own European stocks is to buy a mutual fund or an exchange-traded fund offered by a major investment firm that focuses on Europe or includes a chunk of European stocks among its holdings.

Source: The Case for European Stocks Gets Stronger by Christopher Whittall, Jan 30, 2015, The Wall Street Journal

I agree with Chris on his view that an ETF or a mutual fund will be a better option to gain exposure to European equities. However for investors willing to build their own portfolio and monitor them for the long-term investment there are plenty of world-class companies that are based in Europe. European multinational companies are especially better since they gain from growth in both the domestic and emerging and other developed markets.

Investors can explore the following ten European multinationals from ten countries for potential investments:

1.Company: Nestle SA (NSRGY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.16%
Sector: Food Products
Country: Switzerland

2.Company: Siemens AG (SIEGY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.58%
Sector:Industrial Conglomerates
Country: Germany

3.Company: National Grid PLC (NGG)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.95%
Sector: Multi-Utilities
Country: UK

4.Company: Valeo SA (VLEEY)
Current Dividend Yield:  1.63%
Sector:Auto Components
Country: France

5.Company: Telefonica SA (TEF)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.87%
Sector: Telecom
Country:Spain

6.Company: Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.86%
Sector: Pharmaceuticals
Country: Denmark

7.Company: Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.65%
Sector: Beverages
Country: Belgium

8.Company: Swedbank AB (SWDBY)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.45%
Sector: Banking
Country: Sweden

9.Company:Telenor ASA (TELNY)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.43%
Sector: Telecom
Country: Norway

10.Company:Reed Elsevier NV (ENL)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.90%
Sector: Media
Country: The Netherlands

Note: Dividend yields noted above are as of Jan 30, 2015. Data is known to be accurate from sources used.Please use your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Disclosure: Long SWDBY