Gold vs. S&P 500 Long-Term Returns: Chart

Gold is a safe heaven asset class. During adverse market conditions for stocks gold tend to perform better and vice versa. To put it another way, bear market in stocks can be bull market for gold and vice versa.

The following chart shows the long-term return of gold vs. S&P 500:

Click to enlarge

Source: Is Gold a Good Long-term Investment?, Young Research

From the above article:

Since President Nixon closed the gold window in August of 1971, the price of gold has increased more than 37-fold. From a price of $40.65 at month-end August 1971, gold has risen to $1,528 today. A $1,000 investment in gold at the end of August 1971 would be worth over $37,000 today—a compounded annual return of 7.8%.

How Does Gold’s Return Compare to Stocks and Bonds?

Gold’s 7.8% return since August of 1971 compares favorably to the 7.4% return that intermediate-term U.S. Treasury securities delivered over the same time. More surprising to some is that gold has even appreciated more than stocks over this period. From August of 1971 through today, the S&P 500 index has increased at a 7.3% average annual rate. These numbers for the S&P exclude dividends and the reinvestment of dividends, but gold’s returns relative to stocks remain impressive for an asset that many consider to be the ultimate safe-haven. (emphasis mine)

Gold’s performance is comparable to stocks as shown in the above because it does not include dividend reinvestments. The chart shows only the price return of S&P 500. If total return, which includes dividends was used the chart would have looked different.

Going back to the main theme of this post, during the 1980s and 1990s owning gold was a bad idea as stocks soared in a long and strong bull run. However during the 2000s stocks return was modest while gold performed very well.

Related ETFs:

  • SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)
  • SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Disclosure: No Positions

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *