Union Membership in the U.S.: Public vs. Private Sector

The majority of the states in the U.S. are running deficits and hence are cutting government services when they are desperately needed by the middle and the lower classes in this sluggish economy. While the causes for the budget shortfalls are many, one of the main reason is that public workers at the state and local level are paid lavishly compared to their private sector peers. In addition to astronomical salaries, government workers get paid fat pensions when they retire, generous healthcare benefits during employment and after retirement,etc. The monthly pension amounts received by public workers are guaranteed regardless of the performance of equity/bond markets. In the private sector, most companies have eliminated defined pension plans in favor of 401-K and other contribution-type retirement plans.

Similar to the state and local public sector workers, Federal employees also receive above-market salaries and luxurious benefits. However despite being in deep debt like the states, the Federal government is able to “print” money of out thin air and pay such high packages to employees without any issues. States on the other hand have to depend on tax revenues in order to fund the massive labor costs. As tax revenues fall they find themselves in trouble and state workers who are used to the rich-benefits are unwilling to take any cuts.

Public workers are able to maintain the status quo because of the unions and their collective bargaining power. Unions fund politicians with millions of dollars in campaign contributions and then once in power politicians return the favor by agreeing to the demands of public workers and adding more burden on taxpayers. This is in sharp contrast to private sector workers where real wages have fallen for many years now and all the benefits due to productivity and technological advancements are reaped by a few at the top.

The following chart from a Journal article shows the rise of public sectors unions and the fall of private sector unions:

us-union-membership-private-public-sectors.jpg

Source: The Wall Street Journal

From the article:

“We first started running the nearby chart on the trends in public and private union membership many years ago. It documents the great transformation in the American labor movement over the latter decades of the 20th century. A movement once led by workers in private trades and manufacturing evolved into one dominated by public workers at all levels of government but especially in the states and cities.

The trend is even starker if you go back a decade earlier. In 1960, 31.9% of the private work force belonged to a union, compared to only 10.8% of government workers. By 2010, the numbers had more than reversed, with 36.2% of public workers in unions but only 6.9% in the private economy.

The sharp rise in public union membership in the 1960s and 1970s coincides with the movement to give public unions collective bargaining rights.”

With official unemployment rate hovering over 9% and falling wages levels in the private sector, it is high time that politicians take on the powerful public unions and abolish their collective bargaining power. Productivity and efficiency in the public sector have to be increased and the benefits and wages of public workers must be brought down to be in-line with the current market conditions.

Related:

Union Contracts, Not Pay, Are States’ Problem

CIBC: Canadian Stocks To Offer Best Returns This Year

Canada offers unique advantages over other developed countries. For example, unlike most European countries the country is blessed with many natural resources that emerging markets like China need,  a stable banking system, democratic political system and proximity to the U.S., the world’s largest consumer market.

An article in the Financial Times notes that the Canadian equity market is a good bet this year according to a research report released today by CIBC. From the article:

A new report from CIBC World Markets finds that Canadian stocks are likely to produce the best returns in light of what looks to be a longer-term bear market in bonds, and ongoing fiscal belt tightening in the U.S. and Europe.

“Relative to the U.S. or east Asia, Canada’s equity market carries more insurance against a worsening geopolitical climate in the Middle East, in the form of a larger basket of energy stocks and safe havens like gold shares,” said Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC, in his latest Economic Insights report.

In addition, Canada presents a good option given the ongoing spectre of inflation haunting emerging market economies.

“Inflation hasn’t run away to the upside, so the Bank of Canada can chart a more careful course of tightening than what might end up being seen in the emerging market economies,” Mr. Shenfled said. “The nation’s fiscal position, while still in need of growth-slowing belt tightening, isn’t as strained on either a deficit/GDP or net debt/GDP basis as that of the U.S. or Europe.”

Ten randomly selected dividend-paying Canadian stocks from different sectors are listed below:

1.Company: Transcanada Corp (TRP)
Sector: Natural Gas Utilities
Current Dividend Yield: 4.37%

2.Company: Manulife Financial Corp (MFC)
Sector: Life Insurance
Current Dividend Yield: 2.82%

3.Company: Telus Corporation (TU)
Sector: Telecom
Current Dividend Yield: 4.59%

4.Company: Encana Corp (ECA)
Sector: Oil and gas operations
Current Dividend Yield: 2.48%

5.Company: Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd (CP)
Sector: Railroads
Current Dividend Yield: 1.65%

6.Company: Teck Resources Limited (TCK)
Sector: Metals mining
Current Dividend Yield: 1.08%

7.Company: Brookfield Asset Management Inc (BAM)
Sector: Investment Services
Current Dividend Yield: 1.57%

8.Company: Enbridge Inc (ENB)
Sector: Oil Well Services & Equipment
Current Dividend Yield: 3.37%

9.Company: BCE Inc (BCE)
Sector: Telecom
Current Dividend Yield: 5.53%

10.Company: Magna International Inc (MGA)
Sector: Auto & Truck Parts
Current Dividend Yield: 1.99%

Note: Dividend yields noted above are as of Feb 28, 2011

Disclosure: No Positions

Why Invest in Dividend-Paying Stocks

There are many reasons to invest in dividend-paying stocks.One of reasons is dividends form the largest portion of the total return on an investment. This is especially true when stocks are held for the long-term. The following chart shows that “the contribution to total return for each of the components of equity returns for the period 1802 to 2002. The total annualized return for the period of 7.9% consisted of a 5% return from dividends, a 1.4% return from inflation, a 0.6% return from rising valuation levels, and a 0.8% return from real growth in dividends.”

Click to enlarge

Dividends-Total-Return-Long-Term

Which sectors have the highest dividend yields?

div-yield-by-sector.png

Source: Alphen Angle,  PSG Alphen Asset Manangement

Ten dividend-paying high quality stocks to consider are listed below:

1.Company: Westpac Banking Corp (WBK)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.07%
Sector: Banking
Country: Australia

2.Company: Royal Bank Of Canada (RY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.48%
Sector: Banking
Country: Canada

3.Company:National Grid PLC (NGG)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.41%
Sector: Electric Utilities
Country: UK

4.Company: Nextera Energy Inc (NEE)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.02%
Sector: Electric Utilities
Country: USA

5.Company: Telecom Italia SpA (TI)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.06
Sector: Telecom
Country: Italy

6.Company: Banco Santander Chile (SAN)
Current Dividend Yield: Banking
Sector: 3.25%
Country: Chile

7.Company: Telefonica SA (TEF)
Current Dividend Yield: 7.17%
Sector: Telecom
Country:Spain

8.Company: RWE AG (RWEOY)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.89%
Sector: Electric Utilities
Country: Germany

9.Company: CPFL Energia SA (CPL)
Current Dividend Yield: 7.28%
Sector: Electric Utilities
Country: Brazil

10.Company: Gdf Suez SA (GDFZY)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.53%
Sector: Gas Utilities
Country: France

Note: Dividend yield noted is as of market close Feb 25, 2011

Disclosure: Long NEE, RY, GDFZY

Economic Growth Does Not Always Lead to Higher Stock Returns

Some investors believe that economic growth always leads to higher stock market returns. However this is not always the case. A recent report in The Wall Street Journal by Peter Stein confirms this point again quoting research by Nomura and Professor Jay R.Ritter of the University of Florida.

From the report titled “Growth Doesn’t Always Boost Stocks“:

Investors buying stocks in China should be able to rack up gains comparable to growth in the broader economy. Right?

Wrong. Between 1993 and 2010, China’s gross domestic product expanded by an inflation-adjusted compounded annualized rate of 9.5%, while the real return on its domestic stocks clocked in at a far more modest 2.2%, according to a report by Nomura Holdings Ltd., even taking into account blowout years like 2009, when the Shanghai Composite index surged 80%.

So far, 2011 hasn’t been a great year for investors betting on growth in world’s fastest-growing economies. The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index, for example, has outperformed the MSCI Asia Pacific Ex-Japan index by nearly eight percentage points since the end of last year, and 12 percentage points since the beginning of October.

Yes, that is likely a short-term phenomenon. Research suggests, though, that long-term, revved-up GDP growth doesn’t translate into outsize gains in a country’s stocks.

Many of the emerging markets such as India, Brazil, China, etc. are lagging in terms of equity market performance so far this year relative to continuing economic growth. So investors have to take into factors other than just economic growth in evaluating countries for investment opportunities.

Tech Stocks Rally May Continue

Tech stocks have rallied strongly so far this year mirroring the broader U.S. market. While the S&P 500 is up 5.29% YTD, the technology sector in the index is up 5.89%. After the energy sector, the tech sector is the best performing sector YTD. Unlike financials and others, the tech industry has continues to rebound since the credit crisis. Strong demand for their products and services in emerging markets drives the earnings of technology companies despite slumping demand in the domestic and other developed markets.While most investors abandoned this sector after the dot-com bubble, in the current environment adding a few technology stocks to one’s portfolio is a wise strategy. Based one measure quoted by Bloomberg BusinessWeek the current tech rally has legs.

tech-no-bubble.png

Some of the large-cap technology stocks to consider are:

  1. Intel Corp (INTC)
  2. Microsoft Corp (MSFT)
  3. Cisco Systems (CSCO)
  4. Apple Inc (AAPL)
  5. International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)
  6. Oracle (ORCL)
  7. Google (GOOG)
  8. Dell Inc (DELL)
  9. Nvidia Corp (NVDA)
  10. Applied Materials (AMAT)

Disclosure: No Positions