Outstanding Student-Loan Debt Rises Following Soaring College Tuition

Going to college in the U.S. is an expensive proposition for most students. Unlike other developed and even emerging countries, college education is not free in the U.S.. Students take out thousands of dollars in student loans to get a degree. State colleges are funded by tax-payers. However they too charge tuition which in many cases is astronomical. The majority of the fees collected are used to pay atrocious pay to school administrators who sit around and push papers, sports coaches who are considered like some form of Hollywood stars, high salaries and lavish benefits to professors and others, sports facilities, five-star type student student accommodations, Olympic-grade stadiums, etc.

It should be noted however high-school education is still free and publicly-funded. Only when a student tries to get into college tuition becomes mandatory no whatever which college they go to. Not all the students are born geniuses to get a scholarship or skip college altogether and start their own business. In fact,  a recent article in Bloomberg discussed how colleges soak poor students to offer aid to rich students.

Much of the soaring college tuition can be attributed to the   government involvement in offering cheap and easy student levels. While the idea has noble intentions, in reality schools have figured out how to milk the system and dump as much as debt possible on unsuspecting students and their parents. Hence the little “angles” who run thousands of universities and colleges across the country as able to spend lavishly on everything mentioned above by increasing the tuition year-after-year like clockwork. Since students take out loans to pay tuition and not pay from their own pocket it seems like free money to them until they graduate.

I posted the following chart late last year showing how college tuition has been increasing relative to  other expense categories of a typical American:

 

 

Cost-of-College-Chart-BW

Source: Bloomberg BusinessWeek

As college tuition increases the outstanding student loans continue to rise as well as shown in the chart below:

Click to enlarge

Outstannding-Student-Loans-Chart

Apparently the Federal government is considering a plan to help students with their student loans according to a recent piece in The Wall Street Journal. From the article:

The White House proposes that the government forgive billions of dollars in student debt over the next decade, a plan that cheers student advocates, but critics say it would expand a program that already encourages students to borrow too much and stick taxpayers with the bill.

The proposal, included in President Barack Obama‘s budget for next year, would increase the number of borrowers eligible for a program known casually as income-based repayment, which aims to help low-income workers stay current on federal student debt.

Borrowers in the program make monthly payments equivalent to 10% of their income after taxes and basic living expenses, regardless of how much they owe. After 20 years of on-time payments—10 years for those who work in public or nonprofit jobs—the balance is forgiven.

Under the program, most borrowers with loans issued since October 2007 are eligible to participate. The budget proposal—which requires congressional approval—would let all borrowers with pre-2007 loans participate and would make tax exempt any debt forgiven through the program. (Loan forgiveness can be considered taxable income.)

Source:  Cutting Down Student Debt, The Wall Street Journal, May 10, 2013

The article noted that one student raked up  $300,000 in student loans to get a law degree. One thing that shocked me was that student loans seem to be an easy option Uncle Sam offers to students to use for all kinds of living expenses, even to fund a luxurious lifestyle such as spending on home improvements. This particular student apparently took “emergency student loans” to spend on home repairs, unexpected medical costs, health-insurance bills, etc. While spending on medical expenses is understandable it is not clear how student loans can be used to make home improvements. It appears that this Federal student program is riddled with plenty of loopholes. Obviously wise students are taking advantage of it while the going is good.

Related:

Dear Class of ’13: You’ve been scammed, MarketWatch

Ten Stocks To Profit From Emerging Market Consumer Sector Growth

The consumer sector is growing strongly in many emerging countries. The explosive growth in the middle class coupled with rising income levels is fueling the sales of consumer goods. Countries such as Indonesia, India, Turkey, China, Brazil and even Russia are undergoing a major shift in the economy where the consumer is taking the center stage. Until recently most of these countries primarily considered as commodity producers or cheap locations for manufacturing. However that is the not the case anymore as these countries transition to consumption-based economies. China is one classic example where consumption of goods and services is increasing. For example, China is now the largest auto market in the world. The Brazilian retail sector has experienced tremendous growth during president Lula da Silva’s administration and continues to grow under the current leadership.

A recent article in Fidelity Viewpoints discussed about the Chinese economy’s transition from investment-led to consumption-driven and some emerging market consumer stock picks. From the article:

In 2000, China produced about 10 million tons of steel each month. Last year, that number had grown to more that 60 million tons—a six-fold increase in a little more than a decade. The growth was dramatic, but it was also just one small example of how infrastructure construction drove demand for raw materials and helped shape the investment landscape in emerging markets during the last decade.

But a massive shift is underway in China that could change that investment calculus. With many of the highways, skyscrapers, and ports now built, China is trying to navigate a shift from an infrastructure-led economy to a consumer-driven one. Add to that rising wages, and emerging-market investors may benefit by shifting focus from commodities to consumers.

Source:  Can consumer stocks lead?Fidelity Viewpoints, 5/8/13

As China moves to a consumption-based economy with much of the basic infrastructure already built the demand for commodities will decline. The Fidelity article noted that energy and materials make up more than 23% of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. However these two sectors have been laggards in recent years relative to consumer staples and consumer discretionary sectors as shown in the chart below:

Click to enlarge

Consumer-Sector-Growth

Some of the ways to profit from the growth in emerging market consumer sector are: invest directly in domestic companies operating in the sector, invest in Western multinationals which have a big presence in these countries with popular brands, invest via ETFs that focus on this sector, etc. For investors who prefer to invest via individual stocks, the best option is go with developed stocks with high exposure to emerging markets. This way investors can avoid issues related to emerging companies such as accounting, lack of transparency, government ownership and control, majority ownership by powerful dynastic families all too common in these countries, etc.

Ten Western multinationals with high exposure to emerging market consumer sector are listed below for consideration:

1.Company: Nestle SA (NSRGY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.12%
Sector: Food Products
Country: Switzerland

2.Company: Unilever PLC (UL)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.02%
Sector: Food Products
Country: UK

3.Company:Colgate-Palmolive Co (CL)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.25%
Sector: Household Products
Country: USA

4.Company:Procter & Gamble Co (PG)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.05%
Sector: Household Products
Country: USA

5.Company: British American Tobacco PLC (BTI)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.70%
Sector:Tobacco
Country: UK

6.Company: adidas AG (ADDYY)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.63%
Sector:Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Country: Germany

7.Company: The Coca-Cola Co (KO)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.66%
Sector:Beverages
Country: USA

8.Company: Henkel AG & Co KGaA (HENKY)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.48%
Sector: Household Products
Country: Germany

9.Company: Heineken NV (HEINY)
Current Dividend Yield:
Sector:Beverages
Country: The Netherlands

10.Company:SABMiller PLC (SABMY)
Current Dividend Yield: 0.81%
Sector:Beverages
Country: UK

Related ETFs:

  • iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)
  • Vanguard MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (VWO)

Note: Dividend yields noted are as of May 10, 2013. Data is known to be accurate from sources used.Please use your own due diligence before making any investment decisions

Disclosure: Long HENKY

The Largest Japanese Companies By Revenue 2012

The largest Japanese firms by revenues from the Fortune Global 500 list for 2012 are listed below:

Country RankCompanyGlobal RankCityRevenues($ millions)
1Toyota Motor10Toyota235,364
2Japan Post Holdings13Tokyo211,019
3Nippon Telegraph & Telephone29Tokyo133,077
4Hitachi38Tokyo122,419
5JX Holdings41Tokyo119,258
6Nissan Motor42Yokohama119,166
7Honda Motor64Tokyo100,664
8Panasonic66Osaka99,373
9Nippon Life Insurance74Osaka90,783
10Sony87Tokyo82,237
11Meiji Yasuda Life Insurance96Tokyo77,463
12Toshiba97Tokyo77,261
13Mitsubishi115Tokyo70,492
14Tokyo Electric Power127Tokyo67,751
15Mitsui132Tokyo66,512
16AEON134Chiba65,989
17Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group144Tokyo62,706
18Dai-ichi Life Insurance145Tokyo62,462
19Seven & I Holdings151Tokyo60,668
20Fujitsu166Tokyo56,582
21Marubeni168Tokyo55,604
22Itochu172Osaka54,093
23Nippon Steel180Tokyo51,812
24Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group191Tokyo49,967
25Idemitsu Kosan199Tokyo48,828
26MS&AD Insurance Group Holdings209Tokyo47,684
27Mitsubishi Electric214Tokyo46,094
28KDDI220Tokyo45,241
29Canon224Tokyo44,631
30Tokio Marine Holdings236Tokyo43,264
31Sumitomo Life Insurance239Osaka43,086
32Sumitomo247Tokyo41,301
33Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings252Tokyo40,632
34Softbank253Tokyo40,559
35JFE Holdings256Tokyo40,104
36Denso259Kariya39,954
37NEC271Tokyo38,462
38Bridgestone276Tokyo37,943
39Mitsubishi Heavy Industries299Tokyo35,727
40Kansai Electric Power301Osaka35,607
41NKSJ Holdings306Tokyo35,343
42Medipal Holdings310Tokyo34,832
43Mizuho Financial Group316Tokyo34,394
44Cosmo Oil329Tokyo33,672
45East Japan Railway347Tokyo32,070
46Suzuki Motor350Hamamatsu31,817
47Sharp354Osaka31,104
48Chubu Electric Power356Nagoya31,020
49Alfresa Holdings371Tokyo29,551
50Aisin Seiki379Kariya29,183
51Showa Shell Sekiyu389Tokyo28,497
52Fujifilm Holdings400Tokyo27,804
53T&D Holdings413Tokyo26,649
54Maruhan418Kyoto26,333
55Sumitomo Electric Industries422Osaka26,082
56Japan Tobacco427Tokyo25,759
57Mazda Motor428Hiroshima25,749
58Komatsu436Tokyo25,099
59Sumitomo Chemical446Tokyo24,670
60Ricoh461Tokyo24,108
61Kobe Steel467Kobe23,617
62Suzuken469Nagoya23,556
63Nomura Holdings471Tokyo23,453
64Daiwa House Industry472Osaka23,415
65Yamada Denki477Takasaki23,246
66Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha481Tokyo22,896
67Mitsubishi Motors482Tokyo22,890
68Tokyo Gas496Tokyo22,218

Source: Fortune Global 500, Fortune

Related ETF:

iShares MSCI Japan Index ETF (EWJ)

Disclosure: No Positions

Under-Performing Brazilian Stocks Look Attractive Now

Brazilian stocks have been laggards so far this year. Compared the S&P 500’s rise of 14.0% as of May 7th the Bovespa is down 7.7%.  Investors’ attraction towards Brazil has waned in the past few years due mainly due to political reasons. As an emerging market with plenty of growth potential Brazilian stocks look attractive at current levels. While mining and commodity-based stocks can be avoided other sectors such as construction, financial services, retail, consumer goods, etc. can be considered for investment. A recent article in The Wall Street Journal noted the positive views of some investors on Brazil. From the article:

Shares of the 64 companies that compose the Ibovespa index are trading at roughly 11 times earnings, compared with a price/earnings ratio of about nine at the start of 2012.

Some investors point out that the poor performance of Brazil’s main stock index masks healthy demand for exposure to specific sectors, namely retailing and financial services. Even with slow growth, Brazil’s unemployment rate is near a record low and salaries have surged in past months.

The following three charts shows some of the positive factors of the Brazilian economy:

Click to enlarge

Brazil-banks-CAR-Chart-1

Brazil-Retail-Chart-3

Brazil-Unemployment-Rate--Chart-2

Source: Economic Chart Pack, April 2013, Banco Central Do Brasil.

In short, a strong case be made for Brazil based on the factors such as the three shown above. The manufacturing sector of the economy recently had the highest ever domestic auto production showing the demand for local sales and rising exports.

Ten Brazilian companies trading on the US markets are listed below for consideration:

1.Company: Itau Unibanco Holding SA (ITUB)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.29%
Sector: Banking

2.Company: SABESP (SBS)
Current Dividend Yield:  2.27%
Sector: Water Utilities

3.Company: Banco Bradesco SA (BBD)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.04%
Sector: Banking

4.Company: Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP)
Current Dividend Yield:  2.18%
Sector: Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels

5.Company: Embraer SA (ERJ)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.16%
Sector: Aerospace & Defense

6.Company: Braskem SA (BAK)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.35%
Sector: Chemicals

7.Company: Light SA (LGSXY)
Current Dividend Yield: 14.48%
Sector: Electric Utilities

8.Company: Banco do Brasil SA (BDORY)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.66%
Sector: Banking

9.Company: Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais Cemig (CIG)
Current Dividend Yield: 11.40%
Sector: Electric Utilities

10.Company: Cielo SA (CIOXY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.61%
Sector: IT Services

Note: Dividend yields noted are as of May 8, 2013. Data is known to be accurate from sources used.Please use your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Disclosure: Long ITUB, BBD

Are Australian Banks In Bubble Territory?

Australian bank stocks are indeed in bubble territory according to an analyst and an investment industry executive. An article in the Australian Financial Review last week quoted Emilio Gonzalez, chief executive of BT Investment Management as saying that Australian banks may face corrections due to soaring asset prices.

Here is an UBS analyst’s take on Aussie banks:

In a research note titled Welcome to the great bank bubble of 2013 sent on Wednesday, UBS analyst Jonathan Mott said banks were low growth companies, heavily exposed to a housing market downturn and unemployment.

“As with all asset bubbles, they can go higher and for longer than many expect,” Mr Mott said. “As Chuck Prince [former chief executive of Citigroup] famously said ‘As long as the music is playing, you’ve got to get up and dance’. All we can say is buyer beware.”

It was “fundamentally flawed” for investors chasing yield to compare dividends from more risky bank stocks to lower rates on much safer term deposits and government bonds, he said.

The share prices of Australia’s banks have reached a record high at an average of 14.9 times earnings, despite subdued demand for lending.

The market capitalisation of Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Westpac have surpassed $100 billion and the big four are ranked among the world’s top-11 by market capitalisation.

Click to enlarge

Aussie-banks-Bubble

Quantitative easing by central banks around the world, where their bond buying has pushed global interest rates down, have led investors to select alternative assets offering higher yields.

Combined with falling term-deposit rates and the tax advantage of franking credits in Australia, investors have jumped into banks because of their track record of producing excellent earnings, high dividends, sound management and prudent regulatory structure. Bad debts remain benign, housing markets stable and the unemployment rate of 5.6 per cent is relatively low although edging up slowly.

Australia is also leveraged to the fastest growing region in the world, Asia.

Source:  Banks enter bubble zone: analysts, Australian Financial Review

Hat Tip:  The great Aussie bank share price bubble, FT Alphaville

Related ETFs and Stocks:

  • iShares MSCI Australia EFT (EWA)
  • Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ANZBY)
  • Westpac Banking Corp (WBK)
  • National Australia Bank Ltd (NABZY)
  • Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CMWAY)

Disclosure: No Positions