A Look At The Year-to-Date Returns Of Exchange-listed Latin American ADRs

The following table shows the year-to-date returns of Latin American ADRs listed on the US exchanges:

S.No.CompanyTickerStock Price as of Nov 2, 2015Year-T0-Date Change (%)IndustryCountry
1Pampa EnergiaPAM$24.44143.91%ElectricityArgentina
2Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. - VolarisVLRS$17.3091.80%Travel & LeisureMéxico
3EdenorEDN$17.6688.47%ElectricityArgentina
4IRSA PROPIEDADES COMERCIALES S AIRCP$38.7080.00%Real Estate Inv&ServArgentina
5Transportadora de Gas del SurTGS$6.1776.29%Oil & Gas ProducersArgentina
6BBVA Banco FrancesBFR$22.8465.63%BanksArgentina
7Grupo Financiero GaliciaGGAL$25.9363.18%BanksArgentina
8GRUMA - B SharesGMK$60.0044.16%Food ProducersMéxico
9Grupo Aeroportuario del PacificoPAC$90.5243.23%IndustrialTransport.México
10Banco MacroBMA$60.8839.22%BanksArgentina
11Embotelladora Andina - B SharesAKO.B$22.1030.00%BeveragesChile
12Compania Cervecerias UnidasCCU$23.8528.57%BeveragesChile
13Petrobras Argentina S.A.PZE$6.3528.54%Oil & Gas ProducersArgentina
14CresudCRESY$12.9528.34%Food ProducersArgentina
15Grupo Aeroportuario del SuresteASR$154.8917.48%IndustrialTransport.México
16IRSA Inversiones y RepresentacionesIRS$17.9516.79%Real Estate Inv&ServArgentina
17Grupo Aeroportuario (OMA)OMAB$41.8015.02%IndustrialTransport.México
18Fibria CeluloseFBR$13.7813.60%Forestry & PaperBrazil
19Fomento Economico MexicanoFMX$97.7911.09%BeveragesMéxico
20Industrias BachocoIBA$54.9910.24%Food ProducersMéxico
21Telecom ArgentinaTEO$19.892.79%Mobile Telecom.Argentina
22BrasilAgroLND$2.90-2.36%Real Estate Inv&ServBrazil
23Banco Santander ChileBSAC$19.15-2.89%BanksChile
24Nortel InvesoraNTL$19.59-6.67%Mobile Telecom.Argentina
25Banco de ChileBCH$63.70-7.60%BanksChile
26UltraparUGP$17.59-7.76%Gas,H20&MultiutilityBrazil
27Coca-Cola Femsa - L SharesKOF$77.73-10.16%BeveragesMéxico
28Vina Concha y ToroVCO$33.45-11.44%BeveragesChile
29Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras-EletrobrasEBR.B$2.53-11.85%ElectricityBrazil
30BraskemBAK$11.34-12.16%ChemicalsBrazil
31Santander MexicoBSMX$9.05-12.64%Financial ServicesMéxico
32Grupo TelevisaTV$29.68-12.86%MediaMéxico
33CencosudCNCO$6.63-13.78%Food &Drug RetailersChile
34GafisaGFA$1.31-14.94%HouseGoods&HomeConstBrazil
35TenarisTS$25.48-15.66%Indust.Metals&MiningArgentina
36Endesa-Empresa Nacional de ElectricidadEOC$37.66-15.82%ElectricityChile
37Grupo Simec - B SharesSIM$8.31-15.89%Indust.Metals&MiningMéxico
38TerniumTX$14.68-16.78%Indust.Metals&MiningArgentina
39Soc. Quimica y Minera de ChileSQM$19.57-18.05%ChemicalsChile
40EnersisENI$13.12-18.15%ElectricityChile
41YPFYPF$21.60-18.40%Oil & Gas ProducersArgentina
42EmbraerERJ$29.90-18.88%Aerospace & DefenseBrazil
43America MovilAMX$17.76-19.93%Mobile Telecom.México
44AMBEV S.AABEV$4.95-20.42%BeveragesBrazil
45America Movil - Series AAMOV$17.50-20.89%Mobile Telecom.México
46Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A.AVAL$8.12-21.85%Financial ServicesColombia
47Cementos Pacasmayo SAACPAC$6.78-22.34%Construct.&MaterialsPeru
48CorpbancaBCA$13.51-24.02%BanksChile
49Banco Santander BrasilBSBR$3.61-28.09%BanksBrazil
50Bancolombia - PrefCIB$34.15-28.68%BanksColombia
51SABESPSBS$4.44-29.41%Gas,H20&MultiutilityBrazil
52Petroleo Brasileiro-PetrobrasPBR$5.02-31.23%Oil & Gas ProducersBrazil
53BRF S.A.BRFS$15.34-34.30%Food ProducersBrazil
54Compania de Minas BuenaventuraBVN$6.28-34.31%MiningPeru
55CemexCX$6.36-35.10%Construct.&MaterialsMéxico
56Comp. Paranaense de Energia-COPELELP$8.48-35.61%ElectricityBrazil
57CPFL EnergiaCPL$8.10-38.40%ElectricityBrazil
58Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras-EletrobrasEBR$1.30-39.25%ElectricityBrazil
59Companhia Siderurgica Nacional-CSNSID$1.25-39.90%Indust.Metals&MiningBrazil
60Itau UnibancoITUB$7.10-39.98%BanksBrazil
61Telefonica BrasilVIV$10.46-40.84%Fixed Line Telecom.Brazil
62Banco BradescoBBDO$6.31-41.41%BanksBrazil
63EcopetrolEC$9.70-43.34%Oil & Gas ProducersColombia
64ValeVALE$4.53-44.62%Indust.Metals&MiningBrazil
65Banco BradescoBBD$5.53-50.36%BanksBrazil
66TIM ParticipacoesTSU$10.86-51.10%Mobile Telecom.Brazil
67Latam Airlines GroupLFL$5.64-52.92%Travel & LeisureChile
68GerdauGGB$1.45-59.15%Indust.Metals&MiningBrazil
69Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais-CEMIGCIG$1.94-60.97%ElectricityBrazil
70Companhia Brasileira de Distribuicao-CBDCBD$13.64-62.96%Food &Drug RetailersBrazil
71Avianca Holdings S.A.AVH$4.18-64.36%Travel & LeisureColombia
72Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais-CEMIGCIG$1.76-67.10%ElectricityBrazil
73Grana y Montero S.A.A.GRAM$3.96-68.67%Construct.&MaterialsPeru
74ICAICA$1.53-68.90%Construct.&MaterialsMéxico
75OiOIBR$0.85-74.63%Fixed Line Telecom.Brazil
76GolGOL$0.88-84.70%Travel & LeisureBrazil

Source: BNY Mellon

A few observations:

  • Pampa Energia(PAM) of Argentina has shot up by nearly 144% so far this year. All Argentina ADRs are on fire this year due to the most likely change in the country’s leadership.
  • Among the Latin American airlines, Mexico-based Volaris(VLRS) has performed very well.
  • Bancolombia(CIB) has recovered strongly from the lows reached during the September selloff but is still off about 29% year-to-date. The bank is an excellent way to gain exposure to Colombia.
  • Brazilian stocks are some of the worst performers. Former high-fliers such as Petrobras and SABESP are trading in the low single digits.

Disclosure: Long BCH,BSAC,BCA,PBR,ITUB,BBD

How To Profit From The Ongoing European Economic Recovery?

One of the ways to profit from the ongoing European economic recovery is to invest directly in companies that operate in the continent. A recently started interesting ETF provides an option to gain exposure to such companies via an ETF. The WisdomTree Europe Local Recovery Fund (EZR) seeks to profit from the continent’s recovery.

The fund’s description from the provider website:

WisdomTree Europe Local Recovery Fund seeks to track investment results of European companies that are sensitive to economic growth prospects in the eurozone and that derive more than 50% of their revenue from Europe. The Fund seeks to maximize exposure to European companies that may benefit from Europe’s economic recovery and Europeans’ increased buying power.

The fund has just $2.4 million in assets and the expense ratio is 0.48%. It would be interesting to see how this ETF performs in the next few months.

The fund holds stocks in 210 firms. The top ten are listed below:

  1. Total SA (TOT)
  2. BASF SE (BASFY)
  3. Allianz SE (AZSEY)
  4. BNP Paribas (BNPQY)
  5. Axa SA (AXAHY)
  6. Vinci SA (VCISY)
  7. Intesa Sanpaolo SpA (ISNPY)
  8. Inditex SA
  9. Societe Generale (SCGLY)
  10. ENI SpA (E)

Vinci is a great construction and infrastructure maintenance play. But the stock seems to never move higher beyond a range. Hence from an investment point of view this company can be avoided, if one were to invest directly in the firms included in this ETF. French banks BNP Paribas and SocGen haven’t still re-gained their levels reached before the global financial crisis.

In general, the ETF holdings are excellent firms that stand to benefit from the growing European rebound.

The complete list of the 210 stocks in the ETF can be downloaded in Excel here.

Disclosure; Long AXAHY and SCGLY

Global Derivatives Exposure = $630,000,000,000,000

Halloween for 2015 is over. Investors may have been scared by the ghouls, spooky goblins, ghosts and haunted houses. However the real scary part for investors may come sometime in the future. One of the causes of the Global Financial Crisis(GFC) of 2008-09 was derivatives. These scary financial instruments are like hand-held grenades. Careless handling will lead to catastrophic results.

According to one estimate, the notional value of derivative exposure in the global financial system is a mind-boggling $630.0 Trillion.

Click to enlarge

Notional Value of Global Derivatives

From an article in Money Observer:

The notional value of derivatives in the global financial system is around $630 trillion (£410.9 trillion). To put this in comparison, the value of global GDP is $77.3 trillion.

Whilst $630 trillion is a huge number, it does overstate the dangers lurking in the global derivatives market. The notional amount does not reflect the assets at risk in a derivatives contract trade.

According to the BIS, the gross market value of the global OTC derivatives market is $20.9 trillion (close to a third of global GDP).

Source: Five scary charts Freddy Krueger would be proud of, Money Observer

Knowledge is Power: Small-Cap Stocks, Investment Horror, Oil Economics Edition

 

Inside US Capitol, Washington DC

This Chart Shows Crude Oil Is A Very Volatile Commodity

Crude oil jumped 6.3% yesterday to $45.94 a barrel for December delivery on the New York Merc. In the past few weeks oil prices have been volatile. In general, oil is the most volatile commodity in the world. Prices of oil can vary from one day to the next for any number of reasons. A single guy can set a small fire to a pipeline in Nigeria and oil prices can move up or down apparently for this reason.

The following chart shows the gut-wrenching volatility of oil prices from one year to the next:

Click to enlarge

Oil Volataility Chart

Source: US Funds

So the key takeaway is that one should not make their long-term investment decisions based on the movement of oil prices.