How Have Foreign Bank Stocks Performed Year-to-Date 

The equity markets in the have recovered strongly so far this year. The S&P 500 is up about 10% YTD. But not all sectors are performing well. For instance, tech stocks have had a great run but the banking sector is having one of the worst years since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008-2009. Among the banks, the regionals have been hit pretty hard with the KBW Nasdaq Regional Banking Index plunging by about 28% YTD. The regional bank ETF SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) for example is down even more with a decline of 33%. This ETF tries to track the return of the  S&P® Regional Banks Select Industry Index.

Many of the individual banks are down deep in the red. Below are the YTD returns of a few banks:

  • US Bancorp (USB): -32.55%
  • Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB): -23.10%
  • Glacier Bancorp, Inc (GBCI): -42.0%
  • Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN): -28.0%
  • KeyCorp (KEY): -44.0%

Have foreign stocks performed better or held up relatively well compared to the poor performance of US bank stocks?

The following table provides the answer. It shows the year-to-return of foreign banks trading on the US exchanges:

S.No.Bank NameTickerStock Proce as of May 19, 2023 closeYear-to-date Change (%)Country
1HSBCHSBC$38.2522.98%United Kingdom
2Grupo Financiero GaliciaGGAL$11.5319.22%Argentina
3Banco Santander ChileBSAC$18.8018.94%Chile
4Banco Bilbao Vizcaya ArgentariaBBVA$7.0416.81%Spain
5Banco SantanderSAN$3.4215.93%Spain
6Itau UnibancoITUB$5.4313.38%Brazil
7Banco BradescoBBD$3.1812.15%Brazil
8Banco Santander BrasilBSBR$6.0411.32%Brazil
9Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.BBAR$4.3010.51%Argentina
10Itau CorpbancaITCL$3.517.67%Chile
11Banco MacroBMA$17.317.61%Argentina
12UBS Group AGUBS$20.095.96%Switzerland
13Lloyds Banking GroupLYG$2.295.45%United Kingdom
14ICICI BankIBN$23.075.03%India
15Banco de ChileBCH$21.844.27%Chile
16Grupo Supervielle S.A.SUPV$2.254.17%Argentina
17Bank Of MontrealBMO$87.364.04%Canada
18NatWestNWG$6.684.02%United Kingdom
19Mizuho FinancialMFG$3.043.87%Japan
20ING Group N.V.ING$13.013.75%The Netherlands
21Bank Nova Scotia HalifaxBNS$49.263.34%Canada
22Canadian Imperial Bank of CommerceCM$41.572.59%Canada
23Barclays BankBCS$7.922.44%United Kingdom
24Sumitomo Mitsui FinancialSMFG$8.331.12%Japan
25Royal Bank Of CanadaRY$94.200.57%Canada
26Mitsubishi UFJ FinancialMUFG$6.87-0.45%Japan
27Woori Financial Group Inc.WF$26.93-0.94%Korea
28HDFC BankHDB$66.67-2.81%India
29KB Financial GroupKB$37.14-3.54%Korea
30Credicorp Ltd.BAP$132.75-3.89%Peru
31Toronto Dominion BankTD$60.92-5.04%Canada
32Shinhan FinancialSHG$26.18-5.48%Korea
33Intercorp Financial Services Inc.IFS$21.98-6.27%Peru
34Deutsche BankDB$10.58-7.99%Germany
35Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A.AVAL$2.17-11.07%Colombia
36First BanCorp.FBP$11.35-11.74%Puerto Rico
37OFG BancorpOFG$24.23-12.43%Puerto Rico
38Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son LimitedNTB$25.14-16.70%Bermuda
39BancolombiaCIB$23.80-16.85%Colombia
40Credit SuisseCS$0.87-70.72%Switzerland

Some observations:

  • The best performing foreign bank YTS is HSBC (HSBC) and the worst performer is Credit Suisse (CS). With the acquisition by UBS, eventually CS will disappear.
  • The second worst foreign bank stock YTD is Bancolombia (CIB) of Colombia. At current prices the annual dividend yield is a juicy 10.44%.
  • Due to its high exposure to the US markets, TD is the only Canadian bank that is in the negative territory.
  • Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited (NTB) of Bermuda is not well known among investors and may be worth a look.
  • ING Group N.V. (ING) is a long way from its previous peak but has stabilized and continuing earnings improvements and buybacks should help drive the price higher in the future.

Note: The returns noted above are excluding dividends

Source: BNY Mellon & Google Finance

Disclosure: Long BCH, CIB, GBCI, ING, ITCL, ITUB, BBD, BBVA, SAN, BNS, BMO, RY, CM and TD

Why Own Bonds in a Diversified Portfolio

Bonds are an important asset class to own in a diversified portfolio. Bonds offer many benefits such as providing a stable income, relatively better safety with high-quality bonds, preservation of capital, etc. Another important point to note about bonds is that they tend to cushion a portfolio during adverse equity markets. To put it in a different way, traditionally when stocks decline bonds tend to go up and vice versa. So depending on an investor’s long-term goals and risk tolerance, a small amount of bonds can be added to a portfolio consisting of various asset classes.

I came across an article in the journal last month that noted bonds also fell in 2022 when equities plunged. It was the first time this happened. From the piece:

Bonds helped offset some of the pain of the previous market crises, including the bursting of the dot-com bubble in 2000, the global financial crisis of 2008 and the short-lived market panic brought by the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic.

That didn’t happen in 2022. An index that largely holds Treasurys, highly rated corporate bonds and mortgage-backed securities fell 13%, posting its worst year on record, while the S&P 500 declined 18%.

Click to enlarge

Source: The 60-40 Investment Strategy Is Back After Tanking Last Year, WSJ

Related ETFs:

  • SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
  • Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND)
  • iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD)

Disclosure: No positions

The Two Fast-Growing Money Market Funds

Money market funds have become one of the attractive asset classes to own this year. Some of these funds are yielding between 4% to 5%. The extreme volatility in the equity markets and investors’ looking for decent yields are helping these funds gain huge inflows. Though these funds are not FDIC-insured and have risks investors are still pouring billions into them.

With that brief intro, let’s take a quick look at the top two money market funds.

The top two finds based on year-to-date inflows are the Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund (VMFXX) and the Schwab Value Advantage Money Fund-Investor Shares (SWVXX) according to a recent journal article.

1.Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund (VMFXX):

This fund has an asset base of over $240 billion and currently has a 5-day SEC yield of 5.02%. The expense ratio is 0.11%. However the fund has a minimum investment of $3,000.00. Dividends are paid out monthly.

2.Schwab Value Advantage Money Fund-Investor Shares (SWVXX)

SWVXX has total net assets of over $120.0 billion. The expense ratio is a bit high at 0.35%. The current 7-day yield is 4.90%. Similar to the Vanguard fund, this fund also pays dividends monthly.

Source: What Investors Should Know About Money-Market Funds and CDs

Disclosure: Long SWVXX

Why Dividend Growers Are More Important To Total Returns Than Dividend Payers

Dividends are an important part of total returns when investing in equities. Dividends account for large differences in returns between price returns and total returns. In addition to that, dividend growers are more important for the growth in total returns. The following chart shows the stark differences in return between the S&P 500 Total Return Index vs. S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index:

Click to enlarge

Source: Tapping the Power of Global Equity Dividends by Yoichiro Kai, T.Rowe Price

An excerpt from the above piece:

As an example, the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index, which represents over 60 S&P 500 companies with 25 consecutive years of dividend increases, has outperformed the S&P 500 Index by more than 75% since 1989 (Figure 4). By identifying companies with the ability to sustain and grow dividends and taking an active, global approach, we believe we have the potential to drive consistent long‑term returns.

So the key takeaway is that dividends can have a substantial impact on total returns especially over the long run. Hence even small dividend yields matter when picking dividend paying stocks. The above chart vividly shows that companies that grow their dividends consistently will generate much higher returns than the ones that just pay dividends.

Related ETFs:

  • SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
  • iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV)
  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO)
  • SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPLG)
  • iShares Select Dividend ETF (DVY)

Disclosure No positions