Callan Periodic Table of Investment Returns – First Half 2020 : Chart

Callan LLC recently published their Callan Periodic Table of Investment Returns with data updated thru first half of this year. Real Estate was the worst performer until the end of June with a loss of over 21%. The asset class that yielded the best returns was US Fixed Income with a return of over 6%.

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Source: Callan

The key takeaway from this chart is that diversification is the important to success. For instance fixed income was the top performer for the first three months, then it was small caps and emerging market stocks were the best in June.

The Year-To-Date Returns Of Exchange-Listed Foreign Bank ADRs

Foreign bank stocks listed on the US exchanges are down significantly so far this year. In fact, except Deutsche Bank, all these ADRs are in the deep red as shown in the chart and table below. Banco de Chile is the only bank ADR with a a relatively low loss of about 10%. Some of the banks are off by 50% or more. For example Bancolombia (CIB) of Colombia is down by mover 50%.From developed world banks to emerging world banks, all are in the negative territory.

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Year-to-date returns of foreign bank stocks – Table:

S.No.Bank NameTickerYTD % Change (as of July 13,2020)
1Deutsche BankDB25.06%
2Banco de ChileBCH-10.39%
3Mizuho FinancialMFG-20.06%
4Credit SuisseCS-22.30%
5Sumitomo Mitsui FinancialSMFG-23.21%
6Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.BBAR-23.88%
7Banco Santander ChileBSAC-25.53%
8HDFC BankHDB-25.80%
9Westpac BankingWBK-27.09%
10Mitsubishi UFJ FinancialMUFG-27.81%
11Woori Financial Group Inc.WF-28.85%
12KB Financial GroupKB-29.80%
13Grupo Financiero GaliciaGGAL-30.13%
14Shinhan FinancialSHG-34.75%
15Banco Bilbao Vizcaya ArgentariaBBVA-36.74%
16ICICI BankIBN-37.51%
17Barclays BankBCS-37.92%
18HSBCHSBC-38.88%
19Banco SantanderSAN-40.10%
20Banco MacroBMA-40.25%
21Itau UnibancoITUB-45.57%
22BancolombiaCIB-50.14%
23Banco BradescoBBD-50.25%
24Royal Bank of ScotlandRBS-52.02%
25Banco Bradesco - ComBBDO-52.34%
26Itau CorpbancaITCB-54.12%
27Lloyds Banking GroupLYG-54.98%
28Banco Santander BrasilBSBR-56.06%

Source: BNY Mellon

Disclosure: Long many of the banks listed above including CIB

Foreign Developed Stock Market Returns For First Half 2020: Chart

I posted the Emerging Markets Performance for First Half 2020 chart last week. The following chart shows the Foreign Developed Stock Market Returns for the First Half of this year.

The best performing market in the first six months is Denmark followed by New Zealand and The Netherlands. The worst performing markets were Austria, Belgium and the UK in that order.

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Source: Novel Investor

Road Safety in Europe by Country: Infographic

The UK has the highest road safety in Europe followed by Ireland and Denmark. The country with the worst safety record is Romania followed by Bulgaria and Croatia. These rankings are based on the number of fatalities per million of the population in 2018.

Italy has double the number of road fatalities relative to the UK. This is not surprising as many Italians drive like speed demons even in winding roads in the mountains. Despite having no speed limits on the Autobahns Germany has good road safety.

The following infographic shows the road safety in Europe by country:

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Source: Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty

How BIG Are The Big Five Tech Companies?

The top five U.S. tech giants collectively known as FAAMG have had astonishing grown in the past few years. The onset of the Coronovirus pandemic has led to further growth and concentration power for these tech leaders as most people working from home and cooped up at home depend increasingly more on technology to continue their daily lives. The current market cap of the FAAMG stocks show the strength and scope of these companies:

  • Facebook(FB) – $684.0 Billion
  • Amazon(AMZN) – $1.50 Trillion
  • Apple(AAPL) – $1.60 Trillion
  • Microsoft(MSFT) – $1.59 Trillion
  • Alphabet(GOOG) – $1.02 Trillion

As a result of their sky-high growth, these firms have made many of the major equity indices highly concentrated. For example, they account for over 20% of the S&P 500 index.

Listed below are three charts from three different articles that discussed the market power of the FAAMG companies.

1.From an article at Schroder’s:

The rise of big tech

How big are these companies?

Sean Markowicz: “In terms of market weight, big tech has grown immensely over the last few years. Its combined weight in the S&P 500 index of US shares has more than doubled from roughly 8% in 2015. Today, FAMAGs make up 20% of the index in terms of market capitalisation.

“That means these five stocks account for a larger slice of the market than the five largest stocks at the peak of the dot com bubble in 1999 did.”

Source: Refinitiv Datastream and Schroders. Data as at 8 June 2020

Source: Big tech vs the market: what you need to know, David Breet, Schroders

2.Since 2013, the FAAMG’s market share of the S&P 500 has rises year after year as shown in the chart below:

The rich get richer and the poor get poorer:

Source:Stocks and the Matthew effect, Investment Office

3. FAAMG stocks now account for an incredible 36.9% of the Russell 1000 Growth Index:

Just five companies accounting for about 37% of a major growth index is indeed extreme.

Source: Lopsided Equity Rally Highlights Growing Market Risks, Alliance Bernstein

It remains to be seen if growth is infinite for these tech titans. At the end of the day there is only a finite amount of ad dollars to go around and there is a limit to how much visitors can be bombarded with ads. So in some ways the growth is not endless for Alphabet and Facebook which are mainly advertising platforms that pretend to be high tech firms. They just use technology to show ads better than say a billboard on the highway and track users for better targeting.

Disclosure: No Positions