Why International Diversification is Important

Diversification is a simple and easy way to reduce risk. While spreading one’s funds across various asset classes is wise it is also important to avoid investing all or most the funds in one’s home country companies. Most investors including those in the US  are affected by what’s called the “Home Bias”. According to a Vanguard study, just over 80% of American investors’ portfolios are invested in US companies. Recently I came across an interesting article on the importance of diversification. Below is an excerpt from the piece:

It Might be Time to Take a Fresh Look at Your Portfolio

Given the incredible run in the U.S. stock market over the past 12 years, now may be just the time to consider how diversified your portfolio truly is. Taking a fresh look at international developed and emerging markets may be just what your portfolio needs.

Recent Performance Advantage of the U.S. Stock Market

Some may point to the performance advantage the U.S. stock market has experienced over the past several years as justification for this bias. And it is true that U.S. companies have outperformed more recently. In fact, the U.S. market outperformed an index of international developed markets 9 out of 10 years from 2011 to 2020; however, during the 10 years prior (2001 to 2010), the U.S. outperformed in only 3 years. And if we take a long-run view over the past 50 years, the U.S. has outperformed exactly half of the time. Thus, from a performance perspective, history suggests a need for global diversification as well. But this performance argument is potentially flawed regardless. Again, diversification is more about ensuring you have an optimal investment portfolio. By not taking advantage of international diversification, investors are not optimally controlling for the risk within their portfolios.

The U.S. Stock Market has become Top-Heavy

A more recent trend in U.S. markets may highlight further need for international diversification. Due to the outsized performance of the “FAANG” stocks (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, and Google) in recent years, the U.S. stock market is historically top-heavy. This suggests that an investment portfolio dominated by U.S. stocks will be overly sensitive to a handful of large U.S. technology companies. A globally diverse portfolio can provide the necessary diversification to ease this sensitivity.

SourceJust How Diversified is your Portfolio?, Scottsdale Wealth Planning

Indeed the S&P 500 is heavily concentrated as shown in the following chart:

Source: Take the concentration out of the S&P 500 with RSP, Invesco

From the above article:

As a market capitalization-weighted index, the S&P 500 typically has a heavy concentration in a few names, and as its top five holdings  as of Dec. 14, 2020 — Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG/GOOGL), and Facebook (FB) —have zoomed ever higher in 2020, they have come to dominate the Index’s performance. While the S&P 500 ostensibly measures 500 companies, the five largest companies have grown to account for nearly 22.0%3 of its weighting, a significant rise from 16.8% at the end of 2019.

Note: As the S&P 500 has grown ever more top-heavy, many investors in products tied to the Index have found themselves facing historic levels of concentration risk, the likes of which passive investors have not seen since 1970 — half a century ago3

Related ETF:

  • SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

Disclosure: No Positions

Five Latin American Stocks To Consider

Latin American equity markets offer some of the best emerging market equity opportunities after Emerging Asian markets. Economies in the region are mainly driven by natural resources or agricultural commodities. With a thriving middle class and relatively closer proximity to North America, investors can find plenty of unique companies. For instance, one of the sectors to consider is the the banking sector. Another is the oil industry that offers relatively attractive stocks. Though many Latin countries were severely impacted by Covid-19 and some are still struggling contain the virus, from the vaccination standpoint Chile is leading the continent. According to NY Times data, Chile is the fourth most vaccinated country in the world after the U.K. 26% of the population has been vaccinated with at least one dose. Brazil’s healthcare system is under immense pressure due to soaring Covid cases and deaths but it should eventually subside just like in so many other countries including the US.

From an investment perspective, Chile and Mexico equities are already performing very well so far this year. Chile’s IPSA index is up over 17% and Mexico’s IPC has increased by 8%. Mexico has benefitted from reopening of the manufacturing and potential growth of the tourism sectors. Soaring copper prices have led to the Chilean economy’s strong growth.

With that brief overview, the following are five Latin American stocks investors can consider for further research and analysis:

1.Company: Bancolombia SA . (CIB)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.42%
Sector: Banking
Country: Colombia

2.Company: Ecopetrol SA(EC)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.74%
Sector: Oil
Country: Colombia

Ecopetrol has grown by only 2.8% year-to-date. The firm has put forth its proposal for the dividend distribution in the Annual Shareholder Meeting to be held on March 26th.

3.Company: Petrobras (PBR)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.32%
Sector: Oil
Country: Brazil

PBR declined heavily recently after President Bolsonaro replaced the market-friendly CEO with a military general with industry experience. Despite the political risk, PBR is attractive relative to other major oil firms since the stock has crashed while global crude oil prices have jumped by over 50%.

4.Company: Azul (AZUL)
Current Dividend Yield: No Dividend paid
Sector: Airline
Country: Brazil

5.Company: Credicorp Ltd (BAP)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.97%
Sector: Banking
Country: Peru

Notes:

1.Dividend yields noted above are as of Mar 12, 2021. Data is known to be accurate from sources used. Please use your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

2.Dividend Withholding Taxes will reduce dividend yields shown above.

3.In addition, ADR fees may also apply.

Disclosure: Long EC, PBR

The 2021 Top 20 US Banks

The S&P 500 is up around 5% year-to-date. But the benchmark index for the US banking sector, KBW Bank Index has shot up nearly 24% already this year. Bank stocks are hot again after many months of average performance. With the latest stimulus and the upcoming recovery in economy banks are in a sweet spot.

With that said, each year Bank Director magazine analyzes banks in the country and publishes a report ranking the best banks. The 2021 ranking of the 20 Top Performing Banks are shown in the table below:

 

Click to enlarge

Source: 2021 Ranking Banking: Performance Powerhouses, Bank Director

The ranking listed the best banks in a many categories such as retail strategy, revenue strategy, etc. The above list shows the overall best performers. These banks were shown based on the following criteria:

For each category, Bank Director sourced quantitative data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, company filings and other publicly available information. All told, more than 150 data points factored into our analysis, with the data spanning a five-year time period, from December 2014 to December 2019 — a date selected to avoid the muddiness of the pandemic environment. We also built case studies to better understand each bank’s performance, from its reputation as an employer to its technology strategy.

An algorithm was developed for each category; data points were ranked, with the lower score indicating the better performance. We then averaged the category scores to determine the overall winner. Total shareholder return was only used to identify the top 20 performance powerhouses and didn’t factor further into the ranking.

For investors looking to gain exposure to the sector, the above list offers a good starting point. The complete report is also worth a read.

Disclosure: Long GBCI

The Top 10 Countries With Covid-19 Deaths Over Time: Animated Chart

The Coronavirus pandemic that started last year has led to the deaths of over 2.6 million worldwide so far according to data by The New York Times. In the US, 528, 692 people have died so far with total cases exceeding 29.2 million. The sad thing is though the virus originated in China, more people have died in other countries than in China. In the years and decades and centuries ahead Wuhan will forever be remembered as the infamous city that started it all. With that said, the following is an animated graphic showing the top 10 countries with the highest Covid-19 deaths since the start of the pandemic.


 

Source: Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty

The Top Seven Skincare Companies in the World

The Top Seven Skincare Companies in the World are shown in the graphic below. France-based L’Oréal S.A. is the world’s top skincare firm with total revenues of about $35.0 billion in 2019. The US companies in the ranking are Procter & Gamble Co (PG), Estée Lauder (EL) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ).

Click to enlarge

Source: Market Research Reports

Disclosure: No Positions