Knowledge is Power: UK Economy Is Doomed Edition

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Jim Rogers1. A legendary investor on why the UK economy is doomed He’s said it before, but Jim Rogers this week fleshed out his concerns for the British economy.

2.Overall investors have mainly been focusing on dividend cuts in 2009. I believe that most stocks that pay out dividends are cyclical in nature. Thus, they do not have the specific competitive advantages, which provide for a long and sustainable annual dividend increases over time. Dividend Aristocrats keep raising their dividends

3. The economic slowdown will have a much bigger impact on Germany than previously thought. Experts say the economy will contract by up to 7 percent, and push unemployment up to 4.75 million by the end of 2010. Economic Gloom

4. Tata says landmark ‘comparable to Moonshot’ and believes world’s cheapest car could sell a million a year. Tata Nano: World’s cheapest car is India’s answer for cash-strapped drivers

5.Does the Treasury’s toxic asset plan come at the cost of recapitalising banks? Successful bank rescue still far away

Top Latin American Mid-Cap Banks 2008

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The following is the Top 20 Mid-Cap Banks in Latin America from a study by Latin Finance and Management&Excellence. These most sustainable Latin American Mid-Cap Banks are for 2008. The data for 2009 is not yet out. The banks listed here are from Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Peru, Venezuela and Uruguay. They were evaluated on 330 different factors.

None of the banks shown below trade in the US markets. However they may be listed in the local exchanges of the respective countries.

Top 20 Latin American Mid-Cap Banks 2008:

Top 20 Latin American Mid-Cap Banks 2008

Source: Management&Excellence

Global Trade To Decline 9% in 2009

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The WTO sees a 9% global trade decline in 2009 as recession strikes. In a press release today, the WTO said:

“The collapse in global demand brought on by the biggest economic downturn in decades will drive exports down by roughly 9% in volume terms in 2009, the biggest such contraction since the Second World War, WTO economists forecast today (25 March 2009). “Trade can be a potent tool in lifting the world from these economic doldrums. In London G20 leaders will have a unique opportunity to unite in moving from pledges to action and refrain from any further protectionist measure which will render global recovery efforts less effective,” said Director-General Pascal Lamy.” (emphasis added)

For more details click here.

Also today, the Canadian oil producer and marketer, Petro-Canada (PCZ) was acquired by Suncor Energy Inc (SU) of Canada for US$15.5 billion. SU paid a premium of 25% for PCZ based on the 30-day weighted average of the share price. As a result, Petro-Canada shares jumped over 25 percent to close at $29.29. Petro-Canada gas stations are found all over Canada. More here.

Another Canadian oil marketer is Imperial Oil (IMO) which owns the Esso brand of gas stations.

Top Five Global Oil Service Companies

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The world’s most sustainable oil service companies list was released by the consulting firm Management and Excellence (M&E) together in partnership with Oil and Gas Journal Research Center. This is an annual study and this year’s list will published later this year.Based in Madrid, Spain M&E analyzes companies and ranks them “in the areas of ethics, sustainability, corporate governance, transparency and corporate social responsibility” with a special on Latin America and Spain.

Though the following are rankings for 2008, these companies are some of the best in the industry and it is highly likely that some of them will be in the top for 2009 as well. The first three companies listed below were in the top five rankings in 2007 also. These top firms were selected based on  the “M&E Facts Only method, measuring companies’ compliance with recognized standards in sustainability, corporate governance, social responsibility and ethics customized to the oil industry.”

Oil service companies provide advanced products and services to help their clients in the oil industry drill, evaluate, produce and maintain oil and natural gas wells. They also provide other valuable services such as consulting, engineering, etc. to the oil majors. Hence their performance is closely tied to the ups and downs of the oil industry.

The World’s Most Sustainable and Ethical Oil Service Companies for 2008 are (by ranking order):

1. Schlumberger Ltd(SLB) is a Houston,Texas based oil service provider with 100,000 employees. SLB is down 48% in the past 52 weeks and the stock has an yield of 2.02%. Due to the rise in demand for crude oil, over the last 5 years revenues increased at an annual rate of 22%.

2.Halliburton Company(HAL) currently pays a dividend of 2.14%. Compared to Schlumberger, the annual revenue growth has been a little lighter at 19.7%.On March 10th, the company announced an issue of $2 Billion in Senior Notes. After reaching a high of $55 in 2008,  HAL closed at $18.06 today.

3.Holding the number three spot in the list is Houston,TX based Baker Hughes Inc.(BHI). With a market cap of $10.6B the stock has an yield of 1.93%. The company is better at converting its revenues to profits on a net and operating basis compared to its peers. As of this week, Baker Hughes has 1,346 rigs in operation in North America.

4.Cameron International Corp(CAM) is a smaller oil service provider with a revenue of $5.8B last year. CAM does not pay a regular dividend and the current market cap is $5.4B. Last month, the company warned of a weakness in its 2009 profit numbers.

5.The Switzerland-based Weatherford International Ltd (WFT) ranked number five in M&E’s list. Weatherford “operates in approximately 100 countries, which are located in nearly all of the oil and natural gas producing regions in the world.” Total revenues was $9.6B last year. WFT pays no regular dividends.

Knowledge is Power: Timothy Geithner Saves The World? Edition

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1. The Obama administration unveiled its plan to remove toxic assets from the books of the nation’s banks, betting that it can revive the U.S. financial system without resorting to outright nationalization. Treasury Announces $1 Trillion Public-Private Plan to Buy Banks’ Bad Debt

From the Blog World:

Barry Riholtz: Public-Private Investment Program

TARP Part II

Calculated Risk: Some Positive Comments on the Geithner Toxic Plan

Naked  Capitalism: Guest Post: Why Does Failure Merit Reward?

Infectious Greed: Is Geithner a Fool With a Plan?

Mishs Global Economic Analysis: Geithner’s Galling (and Dangerous) Plan For Bad Bank Assets

2. The sheer, staggering stupidity of using “unconventional measures” is that they don’t work; if they worked, they would be conventional. The US Federal Reserve finds this hard to figure out. Which is why we are truly doomed!!!!. Unconventional stupidity

3.The global downturn has hit Eastern Europe with particular vengeance. Countries that profited more than many others from globalization and were previously capitalism’s rising stars are now seeing demand for exports collapse, along with their currencies. They are bracing for a hard landing. Eastern Europe’s Economic Crash

4. Two million people are unemployed in Britain, the worst figures in a generation. This is a tragedy for the people who are suffering. Each loss of a job has its own consequences, on the unemployed themselves, their partners, their children, and their parents.Trust bankers? You’d be safer on the Titanic

5.LONDON : While the global aviation industry is retreating and scaling back amid a downturn in air traffic demand, the long-haul low-cost carrier AirAsia X is bucking the trend by continuing its aggressive expansion.AirAsia X continues to expand its wings

6. Photo: Polar Bear

Polar Bears

Polar bears may be in trouble. As ice around the North Pole melts, the seal hunting season becomes shorter, particularly for those polar bears who live further south.

Via: www.spiegel.de