Knowledge is Power: Debt,Recession,Depression Edition

BoE: We’ll print more money to help growth

Emerging Markets Provide Refuge for Equity Cult: Chart of the Day 

US is ‘hiding true amount of debt’

Warren Buffett: ‘We’re still in a recession’

Did France cause the Great Depression?

Ibbotson Finds Liquidity Rules

Gold and emerging-market ETFs still shine

9 Stocks that Have Consistently Raised Dividends for 25 Years or More

Goldman Sachs: 10 U.S. Stocks for Dividend Growth

According to a research note by Goldman Sachs, the S&P 500 gained 255% in price appreciation in the last 20 years. When dividend reinvestment is considered, the S&P 500’s total return jumps to 439.3%. That amounts to a difference of an astonishing 184.3% in returns.

Goldman noted:

“Amid the slowing economic environment and historically high cash balances in corporate America … we believe that investors should continue to invest in companies whose dividend payouts will drive shareholder returns.”

Hence Goldman Sachs searched for companies matching the following conditions:

  • “Dividend yield (based on current stock price and projected 2011 dividend) must be greater than 10-year Treasury yield of 2.77 per cent;
  • Company must not have cut its dividend in 2010;
  • Goldman analysts must expect company to increase dividend in 2011;
  • Because strong cash flow is necessary to sustain and increase dividends, free cash flow yield must be greater than 5 per cent;
  • Net debt-to-equity ratio must be less than 1;
  • Goldman must have a “buy” rating on the stock.”

The search returned the stocks noted below:

[TABLE=555]

Note: FCF = Free Cash Flow

Source: The Globe and Mail

In addition to the above nine equities, medical equipment maker Baxter International (BAX) also made it to the list. But the dividend data is not included in the list.Analog Devices(ADI),  KLA-Tencor(KLAC) and Linear Technology (LLTC) are semiconductor firms that used to be hi-fliers during the dot com mania.

Historical Monthly S&P 500 Volatility Chart

In a recent article I wrote that the average stock holding period in the NYSE fell to around 7 months in 2007. In addition to this very low holding period, investors today must endure tremendous volatility in the markets. The chart below shows the S&P 500 volatility has changed over the past 33+ years:

Click to Enlarge



Source: Volatility – The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly by Rob Brown, PhD, CFA, Benchmark Plus Management, LLC.

Since the Black Monday of 1987, the volatility measure has exceeded the value of 100 seven times.

Forbes: Asia’s Fabulous 50 Companies

Forbes magazine has published the sixth annual list of the best big publicly listed companies in the Asia-Pacific region.

From the magazine’s report:

“How do companies pass muster? We started with 936 that had at least $3 billion in revenue or market capitalization. We looked at the five-year record for revenue, operating earnings and return on capital. Then we checked the most recent results, share-price movements and the outlook. Judgment calls must be made, given the differences in transparency, accounting and conditions among countries. It’s a valuable exercise that calls attention to great management and entrepreneurial skill.”

Asia’s Fab 50:

[TABLE=553]

Some observations:

  • Chinese and Indian firm dominate the Fab 50 with a total of 32 top performers confirming the growing significance of these emerging economies.
  • Australian conglomerate Wesfarmers(OTC:WFAFF) is the biggest company in this ranking with total sales of $43 billion in its last fiscal year.
  • None of the companies from Malaysia or the Philippines are represented.
  • Thai coal miner Banpu, India’s third largest private-sector Axis Bank, conglomerate ITC etc. are some of the 18 new firms that appear in this year’s rankings.
  • India’s Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories(RDY), HDFC Bank (HDB), Infosys Technologies(INFY) trade on the US markets as ADRs  and are consistent performers in their respective fields.
  • It is interesting to note that in the banking sector, other than banks from India and Indonesia none of Asia’s banks made it to the list.

Interbrand: The Best Global Brands 2010

The global brand management consultancy Interbrand recently published the Best 100 Global Brands for 2010. Beverage giant Coca Cola(KO) continued to maintain the top spot followed by IBM(IBM) and Microsoft(MSFT).

The Best Global Brands 2010:

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Most of these top brands listed above belong to European and American companies. Some of the notable brands include Burberry of UK, Corona Extra of Mexico, Danone (OTC: DANOY) of France, Zara of Spain, Ikea and H&M of Sweden and Nokia (NOK) of Finland.