Why the U.S. Unemployment Rate Remains Stubbornly High?

In an earlier article I wrote about how U.S. corporate profits are rising with no job growth. The unemployment rate continues to remain high at 9.8% in November with about 15.1 Americans unemployed according to BLS data.

An article in Salon.com discussed about this conundrum facing the U.S. From the article titled “Where are the jobs? Overseas, of course“:

Corporate profits are up. Stock prices are up. So why isn’t anyone hiring?

Actually, many American companies are — just maybe not in your town. They’re hiring overseas, where sales are surging and the pipeline of orders is fat.

More than half of the 15,000 people that Caterpillar Inc. has hired this year were outside the U.S. UPS is also hiring at a faster clip overseas. For both companies, sales in international markets are growing at least twice as fast as domestically.

The trend helps explain why unemployment remains high in the United States, edging up to 9.8 percent last month, even though companies are performing well: All but 4 percent of the top 500 U.S. corporations reported profits this year, and the stock market is close to its highest point since the 2008 financial meltdown.

But the jobs are going elsewhere. The Economic Policy Institute, a Washington think tank, says American companies have created 1.4 million jobs overseas this year, compared with less than 1 million in the U.S. The additional 1.4 million jobs would have lowered the U.S. unemployment rate to 8.9 percent, says Robert Scott, the institute’s senior international economist.

“There’s a huge difference between what is good for American companies versus what is good for the American economy,” says Scott. (emphasis added)

In most U.S. multinational firms, their domestic payrolls are shrinking while the number of their overseas employees is rising fast.  The article further added:

Take the example of DuPont, which wowed the world in 1938 with nylon stockings. Known as one of the most innovative American companies of the 20th century, DuPont now sells less than a third of its products in the U.S. In the first nine months of this year, sales to the Asia-Pacific region grew 50 percent, triple the U.S. rate. Its stock is up 47 percent this year.

DuPont’s work force reflects the shift in its growth: In a presentation on emerging markets, the company said its number of employees in the U.S. shrank by 9 percent between January 2005 and October 2009. In the same period, its work force grew 54 percent in the Asia-Pacific countries.

Due to growing demand for its products in Asia, Coca Cola is investing $2.0 billion in China. In Inner Mongolia the company plans to create 2,000 jobs with a $240 million investment for three bottling plants there.

It must be noted however that most of the one million or so jobs created in 2010 are not in the high-paying sectors but in the service industries such as retail, fast-food, etc. These jobs do not pay decent salaries and benefits that Americans need to maintain their standard of living.

The 10 Biggest Banks in Latin America 2010

The Global Finance magazine recently published the list of biggest banks in emerging markets.  The table below lists the ten biggest banks in Latin America for 2010. These banks were ranked based on their total assets as of September, 2010. The data was provided by Bankersalmanc.com.

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Itau Unibanco(ITUB) and Banco Bradesco (BBD) are two of the largest private sector banks in Brazil. Both Itau and Bradesco pay a tiny monthly dividend. Banco do Brasil SA (BDORY), the largest state-run bank, trades on the OTC markets.

Disclosure: Long BBD, ITUB

The Best Banks of India 2010

The BusinessWorld magazine recently named “The Best Banks in India” for 2010.  The winners were selected based on a survey by conducted by the magazine with PricewaterhouseCoopers. Presenting the awards the Finance Minister pointed out:

The core capital (as measured by Tier I capital) in Indian banks, made up about 70 per cent of the total capital as of end-March 2010. In fact, Core CRAR ratio of scheduled commercial banks at end-March 2010 stood at 9.4 per cent and 10.1 per cent under Basel I and II frameworks, respectively, which is much higher than the Reserve Bank’s stipulation of 6 per cent under the Basel II framework. 

The Best Banks in various categories are:

  • Best large bank: HDFC Bank (HDB)
  • Best mid-size bank: Andhra Bank
  • Best small bank: Karur Vysya Bank, South Indian Bank
  • Fastest-growing large bank: Axis Bank
  • Fastest-growing mid-size bank: Yes Bank
  • Fastest-growing small bank: Development Bank of Singapore
  • Most socially responsible bank: State Bank of India
  • Most tech-friendly bank: ICICI Bank (IBN)

ICICI Bank Ltd (IBN) has a dividend yield of 1.02% and the P/E is over 27. HDFC Bank’s (HDB) P/E is over 34 and the dividend yield is 0.46%. Investors in both these banks were rewarded last year with great returns. According to S&P research, a $10K investment in HDFC would be worth over $32,000 compared with just $18,000 in ICICI with dividends reinvested.

To download the complete list of Inda’s best banks and fastest-growing banks 2010 in PDF format, click here and here.

Disclosure: No Positions