Public Sector Banks’ Market Share in Banking Remains High in Emerging Countries

State-owned banks play a dominant role in the banking industry in many emerging markets such as Brazil, China, India, etc.Unlike private sector and foreign banks, state-owned banks are highly influenced by local politicians and the government.Hence it is not unusual for these banks to lend liberally to projects such as infrastructure development, housing, etc. that are supported by the  government.In addition, in the name of offering banking services state-owned banks also operate in rural and undeveloped areas which are not serviced by private and foreign banks.

In the developed world, the banking industry is run by the private sector.State-owned banks are virtually unheard of in most developed countries. In the US, the only bank owned by the government is the Bank of North Dakota in the state of North Dakota. Despite being run as profit-making private enterprises, developed world banks are no better than state-owned emerging market banks in many aspects.U.S. banks together with Wall Street caused the global financial crisis and the ensuing crisis forced the shutdown of more than 400 banks.The too-big-to-fail banks have to be bailed out in order to prevent their collapse and further risks to the economy.These banks undertook reckless lending, and followed other risky strategies despite being regulated by multiple government agencies and following some of the “best practices” in the industry.Canadian banks are the exception in the developed world due to the strict regulations enforced by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI).

In the rest of the western world, regulators not only failed to do their jobs but in many cases actually enabled the financial crises.In addition to the global financial crisis, developed banks continue to surprise investors, depositors  and regulators alike with new losses or irregularities. The most recent one is the Libor rate manipulation scandal – courtesy of the British Banking industry. Compared to the developed world banks, banks in the emerging markets remained healthy throughout the global financial crisis and continue to remain strong with high capital adequacy ratios and low NPA levels. Brazilian banks, for example, maintain high capital adequacy ratios (CAR) among major Emerging markets.

The following charts shows that Brazilian state-owned banks have been increasing credit growth than private and foreign banks and the division of ownership of banking assets among public, private and foreign banks in select emerging markets:

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In China, Russia and India, state-owned banks account for over 50% ownership of banking assets while Mexico does not have banks operated by the government.

Source: Brazilian banking sector – a view from 30,000 feet, Deutsche Bank Research

Five state-owned emerging market banks are listed below for further research:

1.Bank: Banco Do Brasil (BDORY)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.40%
Country: Brazil

2.Bank:Bank of China (BACHY)
Current Dividend Yield: 12.35%
Country:China

3.Bank:China Construction Bank Corporation (CICHY)
Current Dividend Yield:  5.59%
Country: China

4.Bank:Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China Ltd (IDCBY)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.54%
Country:

5.Bank: Sberbank Rossii OAO (SBRCY)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.28%
Country: Russia

Note: Dividends noted are as of August 2, 2012

Disclosure: No Positions

Comparing Australian and US Property Prices

The property market in countries like Australia and Canada continue to remain strong despite the global economy mired in recession. Australian housing prices have increased tremendously in recent years. One of the reasons for this growth attributed by experts and others is that demand remains strong due to overseas investors buying up properties. Despite the astonishing rise in property prices over the years Australians seem to be in denial that the housing market is in bubble territory. Interestingly Americans thought the same way about the housing market a few years ago before the bubble burst.

I came across this interesting long-term chart comparing the Australian and US property prices:

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Source: The Absolute Return Letter June 2012, Absolute Return Partners LLP

Related ETFs:

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund (EWA)

Disclosure: No Positions

15 Transnational Companies With High Operating Income From Emerging Countries

Transnational Companies (TNCs) with large exposure to emerging markets offer a simple and easy way for investors to benefit from the growth in those markets. These companies are usually large cap, well  established companies and unlike their emerging market peers most investors are already familiar with them.  Some of the issues with emerging market firms such as lack of transparency in accounting, liquidity in equity trading, access to information, etc. can also be avoided by investing via TNCs.

From the UNCTAD World Investment Report 2011 report:

Corporate profits, which were slashed by the crisis, have rebounded sharply for many of the largest TNCs in the world (section A). The swift economic recovery of the largest developing economies played an important role in restoring these firms to income growth. In some cases, income from developing and transition economies has grown to account for a significant share of TNCs’ operating income. This trend spans industries, with TNCs as varied as Coca-Cola (United States), Holcim (Switzerland), and Toyota Motors (Japan) deriving more than one-third of their operating income from developing economies (figure I.23).

15 TNCs with a high percentage of their operating income in 2010 from developing and transition economies is show below:

Click to enlarge

Source: UNCTAD World Investment Report 2011, UNCTAD

The 15 firms are shown below with their tickers on the US markets and current dividend yields:

1.Company: Anglo American PLC (AAUKY)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.29%
Sector: Metal Mining
Country: UK

2.Company: Anheuser Busch Inbev SA (BUD)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.22%
Sector:Beverages (Alcoholic)
Country: Belgium

3.Company:GlaxoSmithKline PLC (GSK)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.96%
Sector:Major Drugs
Country: UK

4.Company: The Coca-Cola Co (KO)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.72%
Sector:Beverages (Nonalcoholic)
Country: USA

5.Company: Toyota Motor Corp (TM)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.65%
Sector:Auto & Truck Manufacturers
Country: Japan

6.Company: Unilever NV (UN)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.86%
Sector:Food Processing
Country: The Netherlands

6.Company: Unilever PLC (UL)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.80%
Sector:Food Processing
Country: UK

7.Company: SABMiller PLC (SBMRY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.44%
Sector:Beverages (Alcoholic)
Country: UK

8.Company: Nestle SA (NSRGY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.62%
Sector:Beverages (Alcoholic)
Country: Switzerland

9.Company: Barrick Gold Corp (ABX)
Current Dividend Yield:2.11%
Sector: Gold & Silver Mining
Country: Canada

10.Company: Holcim Ltd (HCMLY)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.09%
Sector:Construction – Raw Materials
Country: Switzerland

11.Company: British American Tobacco PLC (BTI)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.05%
Sector:Tobacco
Country: UK

12.Company: Nissan Motor Co Ltd (NSANY)
Current Dividend Yield: N/A
Sector:Auto & Truck Manufacturers
Country: Japan

13.Company: BASF SE (BASFY)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.83%
Sector:Chemical Manufacturing
Country: Germany

14.Company: Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC)
Current Dividend Yield: N/A
Sector:Auto & Truck Manufacturers
Country: Japan

!5.Company: Bayer AG (BAYRY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.22%
Sector: Major Drugs
Country: Germany

Note: Dividend yields noted are as of June 22, 2012

From an investment standpoint, despite the current European crisis the firms from the UK and Europe listed above are excellent picks. Due to the nature of the industry, investors can avoid auto makers and accumulate consumer goods makers such as Unilever (UN, UL) and Nestle (NSRGY) in a phased manner at different entry levels.

Disclosure: No Positions

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