Composition of China’s Growth and Imports

The following chart shows the contributors to China’s growth and the composition of its imports over the years:

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China-GDP-Composition

Source: World Economic Outlook,Oct 2012,  The IMF

Investment expenditures accounted for about half of China’s GDP in the first decade of 2000 as China invested heavily in infrastructure development. As China builds up its infrastructure and the urbanization process continues investment will continue to a key driver of GDP growth.

China’s machinery imports have been declining while the import of metals and minerals have been steadily rising. This shows that the country is increasingly dependent on the growth of domestic valued-added high-end manufacturing. This shift in China’s import has a profound impact on the major exporters to China.

Related ETF:

iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index Fund (FXI)

Disclosure: No Positions

Five Stocks To Ignore

Actions-process-stopThousands of companies trade on the US exchanges. However only some of them are worth investing at any given time. In fact, some of these companies should never be listed in the first place. But they do trade for some reason. Hence for investors willing to invest their hard-earned money in the stock market, the toughest part is to identifying the stocks they want to invest in and the ones they want to avoid. In an earlier post I listed five stocks to consider for potential investment.

 

 

Here are five stocks that I think investors may want to avoid:

1.Company: Gardner Denver Inc (GDI)
Current Dividend Yield: 0.29%
Sector: Misc. Capital Goods

Rationale: This mid-cap company is in a messy situation as it tries to sell itself to SPX Corp (SPW) or seek the help of Private Equity firms.Already attorneys smelling blood with violations of fiduciary duty by the GDI management. So better to stay away from this stock.

2.Company: Herbalife Ltd (HLF)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.00%
Sector: Personal & Household Prods.

Rationale: This Amway-type company is in the midst of an epic battle between two wealthy hedge fund managers – Daniel S. Loeb and William Ackman – with one shorting it and the other supporting it. The best thing for ordinary investors to do is simply enjoy the drama and avoid the stock like a plague.

3.Company: DISH Network Corp (DISH)
Current Dividend Yield: No dividends paid
Sector: Broadcasting & Cable TV

Rationale: This satellite TV provider is the meanest company in America according to a story in Bloomberg BusinessWeek. And the company is run purely for the benefit of its owner Charlie Ergen, who holds the most voting power.

4.Company: Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc (BBW)
Current Dividend Yield: No dividends paid
Sector: Retail (Specialty)

Rationale: This company and its business model is a fad.
5.Company: Weight Watchers International Inc (WTW)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.18%
Sector: Personal Services

Rationale: This $3.3 billion company runs a questionable business model and no one really knows if it helps people lose weight. All that is clear is this company has a huge following and aggressively pushes its products on unsuspecting women across the world. Big corporations support to peddle its products on their premises and endorsement by celebrities adds more disgrace to this fad.

Note: Dividend yields noted are as of Jan 11, 2013

Disclosure: No Positions

Knowledge is Power: Autos, Barter, Country Risk Edition

BMW enjoys record annual car sales (The BBC)

Beetter than Buying – Barter Economy Matures from Niche to Trend (Der Speigel)

The problem with stability (Canadian Business)

Canadian housing may be most overvalued in the world, says The Economist (Canadian Business)

Great Canadian real estate crash of 2013 (MaCleans)

Germany is not profiting from the eurozone (The Guardian)

USA: Guns & minds (RT)

Western European car market: Light at the end of the tunnel (DB Research)

Country risk: The safest and riskiest European banking sectors (Euromoney)

American Industry Is on the Move (CFR)

Click to enlarge

Manchester-to-Leeds-Canal

 

The Leeds and Liverpool Canal, UK

Five Stocks To Consider

Here are five randomly selected stocks to consider. Most of these firms have performed well in recent and are good candidates for investing in those specific sectors:

1.Company: Emerson Electric Co (EMR)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.03%
Sector: Scientific & Technical Instruments

2.Company: Bank of Ozarks Inc(OZRK)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.74%
Sector: Regional Banking

3.Company: GATX Corp (GMT)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.67%
Sector: Misc. Transportation

4.Company: Airgas Inc (ARG)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.71%
Sector: Chemical Manufacturing

5.Company: Franklin Resources Inc (BEN)
Current Dividend Yield: 0.88%
Sector: Investment Services

Note: Dividend yields noted are as of Jan 9, 2013

Disclosure: No Positions

The World’s Largest In-Service Jet Fleets by Country 2011

The World’s Largest In-service Jet Fleets at the end of 2011 is shown below:

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Worlds-Largest-Jet-Fleets-by-Country-2011

 

 

Source: Current Market Outlook 2012-3031, Boeing

With over 6,000 jets, the U.S. has the largest jet fleet (with over 30 seats)  followed by China. There are reasons for the high number of jets in-service in the U.S.  some of which include the vast distances between cities, high population, lack of efficient alternative transportation options for travel, huge state subsidies showered upon the pathetic airline industry, etc. The difference between the U.S. and other countries is striking as well with all the other countries having less than 1,000 jets in service.