On The Dramatic Plunge of Mexican Airport Operator Stocks

Mexican airport operators have been one of the best performers until recently. On Oct 5th however they plunged dramatically when the Mexican government abruptly announced changes to the concession agreements which would reduce their revenues. The companies themselves have not released the specific details on how this change would impact them. Investors were not taking any chances and dumped the stocks leading to heavy losses. Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte SAB de CV(OMAB) declined over 25% on the local market. Peers Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SAB de CV (PAC) and Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB de CV (ASR) also fell heavily. The ADRs on these companies plunged even more than the local market. The YTD return chart shows the fall on Thursday:

Click to enlarge

Source: Google Finance

The 5-year price returns of the stocks are shown in the following chart:

Source: Google Finance

Though the stocks recovered slightly on Friday, it remains to be seen how they fare the rest of the year and beyond. Any way one looks at this development, it is bad news for the companies. Abrupt changes in state policies are one of the risks investors face in emerging markets. This is a classic example.

Referenced stocks:

1.Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte SAB de CV(OMAB)

52-Week High: $100.21

52-Week Low: $50.23

Closing Price on 10/6/23: $65.14

2.Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SAB de CV (PAC)

52-Week High: $ 200.85

52-Week Low: $ 108.15

Closing Price on 10/6/23: $ 132.21

3.Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB de CV (ASR)

52-Week High: $ 314.48

52-Week Low: $ 165.00

Closing Price on 10/6/23: $ 210.16

Related:

Disclosure: No positions

Iron Ore Deposits in Australia Map

Iron ore is one of the most important minerals in the world. Recently I learned that Australia ranks as the number one country for iron ore resources ahead of Brazil and Russia. According to one estimate, Australia has 29% of the world’s economic resource of iron followed and Brazil and Russia have 18% and 14% respectively. The top destination for Australian iron ore exports is China. So if the Chinese economy is in contraction mode Australian exports would be negatively impacted.

The following map shows where the iron ore deposits lie in the country. Most of the deposits are located in Western Australia:

Click to enlarge

Data source: Geoscience Australia, Australian Government

Source: Australian Mineral Resources, Market Index