Knowledge is Power: Investment Strategy, Siberian Hermit, Down Under Edition

Canada vs. the U.S.: Whose retirement grass is greener? (Financial Post). Related to the UK, see 74% don’t know Isa allowance limits (Money Observer)

10 things you didn’t know about Eurovision (Deutsche Welle)

A tale of three sectors (Allianz’s Unconstrained Thinking)

Why households stay away from the stock market  in India (The Hindu Business Line)

The East India Company: The original corporate raiders (The Guardian). This is a long article.

FTSE investor? You’re in great position to benefit from new European QE (MoneyWeek)

‘Worldly life is frightening:’ Famous Siberian hermit prefers taiga to civilization (RT)

 (FT beyondbrics)

Searching for Yield Down Under (The Blog, Blackrock) See also ‘Selfie’ Shtick Focuses on Dividends (The WSJ)

Cross-Listed International Stocks: Another Investing Alternative (Charles Schwab)

Two Key Elements to a Better Investment Strategy, (McLean & Partners)

Punta Cana Beach, Dominican Republic

Punta Cana Beach, Dominican Republic

The Top European Oil Services and Drilling Companies

Crude prices plunged dramatically in the past few month from over $100 a barrel to about $60 a barrel for Brent crude. The decline in oil prices also led to the collapse in stock prices of drillers, oil-sector service providers, MLPs, etc. However in the past few weeks oil prices have stabilized and may slowly recover although they may not reach previous levels anytime soon.

According to a report by Barclays published in January and quoted in a news report, at some point investors may want to consider the European drillers and service providers. From the news story:

Of course, things will not remain this bad forever. Indeed, Barclays can already see light at the end of the tunnel.

“Day by day the picture becomes clearer and we see reasons not to be overly pessimistic – capital discipline in oil is not a new concept, backlogs in [oilfield services] are robust, US$ strength should help, and input prices for projects are falling,” it says.

“More importantly, our analysis shows that relative valuations already factor in scenarios as worrying as 1999 and 2009, but as history indicates, the apocalyptic forecasts at the start of a new oil price period tend to be extreme, and, as oil prices recover, so do earnings estimates. Assuming a more robust 2H15F oil price environment, we see light at the end of the tunnel and remain Positive on a one year view. Today may not be the time to buy the European OFS sector, but as oil prices find a new equilibrium and negative earnings revisions abate, it should soon be time for investors to do their homework.”

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European oil services companies

Source: Barclays

Favouring companies with backlog-driven visibility, Barclays is particularly fond of companies with strong Middle East exposure and existing order book. Picking from the polar market caps, they favour SBM Offshore,Petrofac (PFC), GMS and Maire Tecnimont.

Source: When to buy the oil services sector, Interactive Investor

Investors willing to hold for five years or more can consider nibbling some of these firms at current levels.

Some of the above firms trading on the US markets include Petroleum Geo-Services ASA (PGSVY), CGG (CGG), Technip (TKPPY) and Subsea 7 SA (SUBCY).

Late last year France-based CGG soared after rival Technip made an offer for acquisition. However the deal fell apart and Technip withdrew the offer.

Disclosure: Long TKPPY

State-Owned Firms Dominate in Some Emerging Equity Markets

In many emerging markets, State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) account for a huge portion of the country’s economy. These giant firms are majority owned by the state and employ millions of workers. These publicly-listed companies dominate the local equity markets in terms of market capitalization.

Since they are owned by the government, these companies are high political interference in their operations. For example, top positions in the firms may be given to cronies of influential politicians.

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State-owned Companies Market Caps in Emerging Markets

Source: Xi-conomics – “A Bold And Sustainable State-Owned Enterprise Reform”, Pinebridge Investments

Some of the publicly-listed SOEs tend to be inefficient and some are even unprofitable.Despite lack of profits SOEs continue to be kept alive by the states for a variety of reasons such as using them as a conduit to loot public funds, keeping workers employed in order to secure their votes in elections, etc.

In China, SOEs accounted for a staggering 72% of the MSCI China market cap in November 2014. None of the other emerging markets had such a high concentration of SOEs in their domestic equity markets. China listed its first SOE on the Hong Kong Exchange in 1993. Two examples of Chinese SOEs are China National Offshore Oil Corporation or CNOOC (CEO) and Petrochina(PTR). With a market cap of over $212 billion PetroChina is huge compared to other major global players in the industry.

Brazilian oil giant Petrobras (PBR) is an example of a Brazilian SOE.Unlike Petrochina or CNOOC, Petrobras has been a victim of many of the problems I noted above with respect to SOEs. Corruption, fraud and other activities in the companies has forced investors to flee the stock. Currently once high-flying PBR goes for under $7.00 a share.

All of the major Russian oil firms such as Lukoil(LUKOY), Rosneft(OJSCY), Gazprom(OGZPY) are owned by the government. Similarly Petronas, the global oil major is the jewel of the Malaysian government.

Disclosure: Long PBR

fountain-petronas.jpg

Petronas Towers, KL, Malaysia

Five International Dividend Stocks to Consider for Long Term Invesment

U.S. stocks have handily beat foreign stocks in the past five years as the graphic shows below. So why should one invest in foreign stocks?

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Foreign vs US Stock Returns

Source: Four Reasons to Boost Your Foreign-Stock Exposure, Feb 20, 2015, The Wall Street Journal

Some of the reasons to invest in foreign stocks include diversification, potential to earn higher returns, dividend yields, etc. One important reason why going broad makes sense is the market capitalization of U.S. stocks. From the above Journal article:

U.S. stocks now account for more than half of global stock-market capitalization.“Obviously, the U.S. is not half of the global economy,” says William Bernstein, author of the book “The Investor’s Manifesto” and an investment adviser. “That just doesn’t make sense.”

At the end of January, 2015 the market capitalization of all stocks traded on the NYSE and NASDAQ stood at US $19 Trillion and US $6.0 Trillion respectively according to the World Federation of Exchanges. For comparison purposes, in January 2014 the global equity market map was US $ 64.0 Trillion. Since then global market caps have declined since the collapse in crude oil prices have caused oil stocks to crash. So with a total market of $25.0 Trillion U.S. stocks are indeed more than half of the global equity market capitalization. Obviously the U.S. economy does not account half of the global economy. U.S. stocks simply command a premium over foreign stocks and hence the U.S. market is valued highly.As foreign companies compete against U.S. firms fiercely in the global marketplace and economic growth continues in many countries abroad it is wise to take advantage of opportunities presented by overseas firms. Income investors can consider the following five foreign stocks that pay attractive dividends:

1.Company: Vodafone Group PLC (VOD)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.26%
Sector: Wireless Telecom
Country: UK

2.Company: Edp Energias De Portugal SA (EDPFY)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.38%
Sector: Electric Utilities
Country: Portugal

3.Company: DBS Group Holdings Ltd(DBSDY)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.70%
Sector: Banking
Country: Singapore

4.Company: Westpac Banking Corp (WBK)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.36%
Sector:Banking
Country: Australia

5.Company:Telenor ASA (TELNY)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.82%
Sector: Telecom
Country: Norway

Note: Dividend yields noted above are as of Feb 27, 2015. Data is known to be accurate from sources used.Please use your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Disclosure: No Positions

With So Many ETFs Available Should You Still Invest in Individual Foreign Stocks ?

The U.S. ETF industry has exploded in size in the past few years. As of July, 2014 over 1,300 ETFs are domiciled in the U.S. markets and the net assets of these ETFs exceeded a staggering $1.8 Trillion according to Investment Company Institute. ETF providers have sliced and diced the various sectors, countries, regions, etc. in various ways to create a multitude of funds. The ETF alphabetical soup keeps on expending with no end in sight as the demand for these products continue to soar.

With respect to ETFs for individual countries, in the past there was usually a single ETF from iShares. Today an investor have the option to go deeper than the country level using ETFs. For example, one can gain exposure to German firms with the  iShares MSCI Germany ETF(EWG). While EWG is mostly composed of large-cap firms, a potential investor looking to access small cap firms in Germany can use the Shares MSCI Germany Small-Cap (EWGS) that targets that sector. Similarly iShares has the broad-based Brazil ETF(EWZ) and its small cap cousin iShares MSCI Brazil Small-Cap (EWZS). Other ETF companies also have similar funds targeting specific sectors of a market.

Instead of a single country, an investor can also access a whole region using a single ETF. For example, the SPDR EURO STOXX 50 ETF (FEZ) gives exposure to the 50 large cap firms from countries in the Euro area.

It is easily possible to cover the whole international equity market universe using ETFs. So does investing in individual foreign stock makes sense any more?. The answer to this question is absolutely yes. Though ETFs have several advantages there are plenty of reasons to still hold individual stocks in a portfolio as opposed to simply building a portfolio full of ETFs. The following are some of the reasons why investors should still invest in individual companies:

  1. Some ETFs can be highly concentrated by having most of their assets in just a few firms since ETFs usually track an index. This is risky and an investor can avoid this risk by going with individual firms.
  2. By investing in individual stocks that pay dividends one can earn the full dividends paid after the deduction of any withholding taxes.However with ETFs the dividends will be reduced a little since the ETF provider charges a fee for the management of the fund.
  3. Investing directly in stocks eliminates the fees (or expense ratio) charged by fund companies. Even if the fee is just 0.48% it still adds over the long term. By buying stocks directly the full investment amount goes to work for the investor.
  4. By giving the money to a fund provider, one loses the freedom to choose and invest in any company or industry they like or vice versa. For instance, many Asian ETFs may have huge allocation to Japan even though Japanese stocks are notorious for going nowhere. An investor can ignore Japanese stocks if they choose to by investing in individual stocks excluding Japan.
  5. ETFs are good for trading but not necessarily suitable for long-term holding. This is because these funds by definition meant for trading and are marketed that way. Due to fees, some lack of liquidity and other reasons ETFs are not the ideal vehicle for long-term investment.
  6. By holding stocks an investor can receive all of the dividends paid as a qualified dividend if they held the asset for more than a year. But with ETFs most the dividends may be termed as ordinary dividends since the assets are held for shorter periods. The tax consequences adversely impacts the holder of an ETF as opposed to an individual stock investor.

ETFs are great tools for certain situations such as trying to access a market that is very difficult to access via individual stocks. For instance, the Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (VNM) is a simply way to invest in Vietnamese firms. Since none of the companies trade on the US markets this ETF provides an opportunity to access the Vietnam equity market. However in general ETFs cannot be replacement for individual stocks. The ideal way to use ETFs is to use them to access a hard-to-access market or fill any gaps in a diversified portfolio.

Disclosure: No Positions