Emerging Markets Performance For First Half 2020: Chart

The single country index returns chart for emerging markets was recently updated by Novel Investor for the first half of this year. The best performing marker was China with a return of 3.6% and the worst market was Colombia with a loss around 45%. Chinese equities have held especially well this year as China was the first country to be ravaged by the novel Coronavirus and subsequently emerged first. Moreover the economy has held up better than in other countries and the relatively loss of lives and infections has led to Chinese stocks performing better than other emerging markets. The next best performing markets were Taiwan and South Korea. The semiconductor industry has soared so far this year due to the rising dominance of tech companies. So it is not surprising that Taiwan is the 2nd best emerging market.

Colombia was the worst performer because of its heavy dependence on Ecopetrol(EC), one of the world’s top oil producers. As the price of crude oil collapse earlier this year Ecopetrol and Colombia in general was adversely impacted. In addition to Ecopetrol, the largest bank by assets Bancolombia (CIB) also fell heavily. Other countries such as Russia and Brazil which are also concentrated by the energy industry have also done poorly so far.

The following chart shows the returns of emerging markets thru first half of 2020:

Click to enlarge

Note: The returns noted above are based on MSCI country index returns.

Source: Novel Investor

Disclosure: Long EC

 

Quick Post: Two Foreign Competitors of Amazon

Amazon(AMZN) is the world’s largest e-commerce company with a market capitalization of over $1.40 Trillion. The stock price has jumped from under $500 in 2017 to a recent 52-week of $2,955. While Amazon dominates the US market it is not a major player in many other countries. In this quick post, lets take a look at two competitors: Sea Ltd (SE) and Mercadolibre Inc(MELI).

Sea Ltd(SE):

Singapore-based Sea Ltd is the largest internet-based retailer in South East Asia. Below is a brief profile of the firm:

Sea Limited is an Internet platform provider. The Company has developed an integrated platform consisting of digital entertainment, e-commerce, and digital financial services. The Company operates three businesses Garena, Shopee, and SeaMoney. The Company’s digital entertainment business, Garena, is a global game developer and publisher with a presence in Southeast Asia, Taiwan and Latin America. Garena provides access to mobile and personal computer online games. Shopee provides users with a shopping environment that is supported by integrated payment, logistics, fulfillment, and other value-added services. SeaMoney business is a digital financial services provider. SeaMoney offers e-wallet services, payment processing, credit related digital financial offerings, and other financial products.

NYSE-listed SE reached a 52-week high of $119.23 on July 2nd.Currently it has market cap of over $49.0 billion.

1-Year return of Sea Ltd:

Click to enlarge

Source: Google Finance

Mercadolibre Inc(MELI):

Argentina-based MELI is the largest e-commerce retailer in Latin America easily beating Amazon. NASDAQ-listed MELI is a highly volatile stock. Similar to SE, MELI also has a market of around $48 billion. A brief profile:

MercadoLibre, Inc. is an e-commerce company. The Company enables commerce through its marketplace platform in Latin America, which is designed to provide users with a portfolio of services to facilitate commercial transactions. Its geographic segments are Brazil, Argentina, Mexico Venezuela and Other Countries (which includes Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Panama, Peru, Portugal, Guatemala, Bolivia, Paraguay, Uruguay and the United States of America). It also operates online commerce platforms in the Dominican Republic, Honduras, Nicaragua, Salvador, Panama, Bolivia, Guatemala, Paraguay and Portugal. It offers an ecosystem of six integrated e-commerce services: the MercadoLibre Marketplace, the MercadoLibre Classifieds Service, the MercadoPago payments solution, the MercadoLibre advertising program, the MercadoShops online Webstores solution and the MercadoEnvios shipping service.

1-Year return of MELI:

Source: Google Finance

Performance of AMZN, MELI and SE over the past 2 years:

 

Source: Yahoo Finance

Investors looking at gain exposure to the fast growing e-commerce sector abroad can consider MELI and SE. However the prices have soared already and it is wise wait for pullbacks.

Disclosure: No Positions

China’s Economic Miracle From 1949 To 2019: Infographic

China has come a long way since the early part of the 20th century. From a rural “backward” country China has transformed its economy in the 70 years since 1949 to become the world’s second largest economy. While other communist countries collapsed and converted to democracy, China followed a different approach called “Market Socialism”. In this form of government, there is only one party that runs the state and things like democracy are frowned upon. In China’s case it is the communist party (CCP) that keeps a tight lid on power and crushes any form of opposition to it. However China threw open its economy to market forces basically turning to capitalist principles. Hence the term “Market Socialism”. This unique form of government has led to the dramatic economic growth over the past few decades.

The following infographic shows some of the major achievements of China from 1949 to 2019:

Click to enlarge

Source: China Daily

Not All The Best Stocks Are In The U.S.

One of the myth that is common among investors is that ALL the best stocks in the world are in the U.S. Nothing could be further from the truth. While it is correct that overall US stocks have performed very well in the past few years outperforming their foreign peers this does not mean the best performing stocks are only in the US. In fact, some of the top performing stocks at a global level can be found outside of this country.

The reason why many best performing stocks are abroad is because the total number of stocks in the world excluding the US is a lot higher than the domestic companies currently trading in the US market. So with a larger universe the opportunities to find top stocks is higher.It should be noted that the country is home some of the fastest growing, top performing and world-class companies such as Netflix(NFLX), Amazon(AMZN), etc. However many of these giants are highly valued or in some ways overvalued leading to a rich valuation for the overall market vs. other developed markets.

According to an article at the Capital Group, 75% of the top stocks since 2011 have been outside the U.S. From the article:

In fact, looking at it on a company-by-company basis, it’s the opposite: The stocks with the best annual returns have been overwhelmingly located in non-U.S. markets.

That company-by-company trend is even more pronounced in the year-to-date period through May 31. The list of investable companies with the best year-to-date returns is dominated by Chinese firms. That’s not surprising, given China was the first country to get hit by the COVID-19 outbreak and among the first to emerge from lockdown.

While the YTD period is a very short time frame, the trend has generally played out over longer periods as well. Why? It’s all about opportunity set. There are roughly three times as many foreign stocks as domestic. So why fish in a smaller pond when there are great companies all over the world? It’s important to have the flexibility to choose among the best companies, no matter where they are located.

Source: Midyear Outlook: International markets on the comeback trail, Capital Group

There plenty of other interesting and informative facts in the article. So you may want to check it out.

Disclosure: No Positions

Apple is Worth More Than The Australian Stock Market

The current market capitalization of Apple(AAPL) is $1.53 Trillion in US Dollars. This is equivalent to approximately $2.16 Trillion Australian Dollars.

The entire market capitalization of the Australian domestic market capitalization is ~A$1.9 Trillion.

Source: Market Index

The below chart shows the long-term growth of Apple(AAPL):

Click to enlarge

Source: Yahoo Finance

Disclosure: No Positions