2009 Performance Review: Foreign Bank Stocks

The 2009 performance numbers of foreign bank stocks traded in the US markets are listed below in three sections.

a. Foreign Bank ADRs

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The best foreign bank ADR was Banco Macro of Argentina with a return of 175%. The worst performer was Llyods Bank of UK which lost 56%. Another British bank Royal Bank of  Scotland also was a poor performer with a loss of 38%. Brazilian banks Itau Unibanco and Banco Bradesco more than doubled last year.

b. Canadian Inter-Listed Banks

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Among the five Canadian banks, Bank of Montreal was the top performing stock with a return of 116%. Canada’s most profitable bank Royal Bank of Canada returned 86%. Overall all the Canadian bank stocks rebounded nicely in 2009.

c. Select Foreign Bank ADRs Traded on the OTC

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Commerzbank of Germany was the performing stock with a loss of 13%. Societe Generale of France beat BNP Paribas easily. All the three Australian banks – Westpac, National Australia Bank and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group – had great runs last year. Erste Bank received one of the most favorable bailouts from the Austrian government.DBS and United Overseas Bank of Singapore jumped over 50%.

Five Foreign Airline Stocks With Strong Growth Potential

On December 29, 2009 The Wall Street Journal carried an article titled “Brazilian Airline TAM Banks on Growth From New Fliers” that discussed the growth potential of TAM and the airline industry in Brazil.

TAM SA, the leading  Brazilian airline expects  the domestic market to grow by 12% next year due to the continued growth of the Brazilian economy. The airline is implementing an innovative solution to attract first time-fliers by partnering with banks where customers can put down a low down payment and buy a ticket. The balance of the ticket cost is to be paid in monthly installments at the bank. This strategy of convenient payment option for purchasing tickets was originally developed by TAM’s competitor GOL four years ago. Since the majority of Brazilians still travel long distances by bus, TAM’s latest strategy may increase its market share and earnings in the coming years. Gol’s easy payment option has so far attracted some 1.8 million members.

TAM has also formed a new partnership agreement with Chile’s LAN airline to cross-sell tickets in each other’s domestic flights. Due to the strong performance of the Chilean economy and other Latin American countries, the LAN also may have higher growth in the future.

Latin American and China’s airline stocks have performed well this year. Next year may be another profitable year for airlines in emerging markets if the overall economy continues to grow. Current estimates for 2010 project that the economic growth in emerging markets will be higher than developed markets.

Five Emerging Market Airline Stocks with YTD performance as of Dec 31,2009 noon ET:

1. TAM (TAM)
Brazil
YTD Change: 172%

2.Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes (GOL)
Brazil
YTD Change: 255%

3. Lan Airlines (LFL)
Chile
YTD Change: 109%

4.China Southern Airlines (ZNH)
China
YTD Change: 82%

5.China Eastern Airlines (CEA)
China
YTD Change: 132%

10 Global Large Cap Steel Stocks

China is the world’s largest importer and consumer of iron ore in the world. Iron ore is used to make steel. Hence China is also the largest producer of steel. As emerging market economies like China, India, Brazil and others invest heavily in their infrastructure the demand for steel would increase.

From a Bloomberg report yesterday: “The cash price for iron ore delivered to China, the world’s biggest buyer, rose to the highest this year after India raised taxes on its exports.

The price of 62 percent iron-content ore delivered to Tianjin port increased 2.9 percent to $112.10 a metric ton yesterday, according to e-mailed prices from The Steel Index. The price has more than doubled from its 2009 low on March 27.”

The ETFX Russell Global Steel Large Cap Fund from ETFSecurities tracks the performance of the Russell Global Steel Large Cap Index. This index includes 59 companies from 21 countries.

The Top 10 Holdings in the ETFX Russell Global Steel Large Cap Fund are:

1. POSCO (PKX)
South Korea

2. ArcelorMittal(MT)
Luxemourg

3.Nucor Steel (NUE)
USA

4.Nippon Steel Ltd
Japan

5. JFE Holdings Ltd
Japan

6. Companhia Siderurgica Nacional SA (SID)
Brazil

7.China Steel Corp
China

8.Gerdau (GGB)
Brazil

9.Sumitomo Metal Industries Ltd
Japan

10. US Steel Corp
USA