Equity Performance: Small Caps Easily Beat Large Caps

In my December 2009 article A Lost Decade for U.S. Stocks, I mentioned that the S&P 500 lost 23% from Dec 31, 1999 through Dec. 14, 2009.

A recent article in the Journal titled “Small Caps Loom Large” notes that the small cap stocks in the U.S. have rallied strongly since the decade that began Jan 1, 2000 when large caps have lost ground.

Some key points from the article:

  • The S&P 600 Index, a small-stock index, gained nearly 100% during the period, producing an annualized return of 7.1%. In the same period, S&P 500 has lost almost 2% per year for a total loss of about 18%
  • The Russell 2000, another small cap index also shows a similar pattern
  • The S&P 600 is trading at 2010 P/E of less than 22 compared to S&P 500’s P/E of 15
  • Small caps benefit more quickly when the economy recovers

Chart – Small Caps vs. Large Caps :

Click to Enlarge

Small-vs-Large-Cap-Stocks

U.S. Small Cap ETFs:
iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Index Fund (IJR)
iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund (IWM)
iShares Morningstar Small Core Index Fund (JKJ)
SPDR DJ Wilshire Small Cap ETF (DSC)
Vanguard Small-Cap ETF (VB)
Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF (SCHA)

International Small-Cap ETFs:
iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap Index Fund (SCZ)
International Small-Cap Fund (GWX)
FTSE Developed Ex-US Small Cap ETF (IFSM)
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-U.S. Small Cap ETF (VSS)
SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Small Cap (EWX)

Source: Seeking Alpha, ETF Trends

As individual small cap stocks can be very volatile and may have low daily trading volumes, it is easier and wise to invest in them with ETFs.

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China’s Demand For Coal Continues To Grow

An article in the Wall Street Journal today discusses about China’s voracious demand for  coal. A couple of important points from this article:

  • In March coal imports jumped 165% from March 2009
  • As the country’s power generation capacity is projected to increase by 10% this year, the demand for thermal coal would rise
  • In the first quarter coal imports jumped by 226% from a year earlier

The top five coal producing countries are: China, USA, India, Australia and South Africa. Most of the coal produced is used in the country of production. For example, the US uses most of the coal mined domestically since coal is the main source of fuel for power generation in the country.

The five largest coal users are China, USA, India, Japan and Russia. Asia alone accounts for 56% of global coal consumption. In addition to being used as a source for power generation, coal is also used in cement making and the steel industry. (Source: World Coal Institute).

Some of the major U.S. coal producing companies are: Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU), Consol Energy Inc. (CNX),  Alpha Natural Resources Inc. (ANR), Arch Coal Inc. (ACI), Walter Energy (WLT) and Massey Energy Co. (MEE). Peabody energy is the world’s largest coal producer. Coal stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange can be found here. Some of the coal ETFs available are Market Vectors-Coal ETF (KOL) and PowerShares Global Coal Portfolio ETF (PKOL).

The Top Eight Resource-Rich Countries

The following graph shows the eight richest countries by value of their natural resource reserves according to research by Citigroup. South Africa tops the list with its non-energy natural resource reserves valued at $2.5 Trillion. The developed countries in this ranking are the U.S., Canada and Australia.

Top-8-Resource-Rich-Countries

Some of these markets have become expensive after the huge run up since the March lows of 2009. For example, the South African ALSI Index is up 55% since the lows reached last year. Accordingly the P/E ratio has jumped from 9x earnings at the start of 2009 to over 17x times earnings now. This is well above the long-term average of 11.5 times earnings.

The country-specific ETFs for the above countries are:

  • iShares MSCI South Africa Index Fund (EZA)
  • iShares MSCI Russia Capped Investable Market Index Fund (RTS)
  • iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund (EWA)
  • iShares MSCI Canada Index Fund (EWC)
  • iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund (EZA)
  • iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index Fund (FXI)
  • iShares MSCI Chile Investable Market Index Fund (ECH)
  • iShares S&P 500 Index Fund (IVV)

Note: I have used the S&P 500 as the proxy for the boarder US market.

Five Latin American Stocks Paying More Than 6% Dividends

Most emerging market companies pay very low dividends or don’t pay any dividends at all. However there are stocks which pay above average yields. The following five Latin American stocks have over 5% dividend yields as of market close today.It must be noted that dividend payments from emerging market companies can be highly volatile. Tax consequences for foreign dividend income have to be considered as well before jumping into these stocks.

1. Company: Alto Palermo (APSA)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.92%
Country: Argentina
Sector: Real Estate Operations

2. Company: YPF SA (YPF)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.37%
Country: Argentina
Sector: Oil & Gas – Integrated

3. Company: CorpBanca SA (BCA)
Current Dividend Yield: 8.26%
Country: Chile
Sector: Banking

4. Company: Banco de Chile (BCH)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.40%
Country: Chile
Sector: Banking

5. Company: Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones Provida SA (PVD)
Current Dividend Yield: 7.10%
Country: Chile
Sector:Investment Services

Note: Data is known to be accurate at the time of posting. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.