Study: Cash-Rich Companies Deliver Lower Returns

Many U.S. companies hold billions of cash and cash equivalents on their balance sheets. A report in The Wall Street Journal in June of last year noted that non-financial companies hoarded an astonishing $1.84 trillion in cash and other liquid assets as of first quarter, 2010. Some of these companies have put their cash to use since then in the form of higher dividend payouts, share buybacks, acquisitions, etc. But most firms are still hoarding tons of cash and not deploying them in any meaningful way or passing them on to shareholders.

Hi-tech companies are the worst when it comes to retaining shareholder’s equity and then wasting them on some useless ideas or acquisitions. For example, Microsoft currently holds billions in cash and has a dividend yield of just 2.48%. Microsoft is not well known for coming up with innovative products. So ideally the company should be returning excess cash to shareholders as it cannot make a higher return on the shareholder’s equity by reinvesting them in operations or R&D. Instead the company is known for over-paying on acquisitions. In May this year, Microsoft paid an outrageous $8.5 billion to acquire internet telephone company Skype. Some of the other cash-rich tech firms include Cisco Systems (CSCO), Intel (INTC), Apple (APPL), Google(GOOG), Oracle (ORCL) and IBM (IBM).

Some investors believe in the theory that one should invest in cash-rich companies because excess cash acts a cushion, these companies can raise dividends, it shows that these companies are profitable, etc. However a recent study by Fortuna Advisors LLC, a value-based strategic advisory firm, has found that companies that hoard cash beyond a certain limit actually deliver lower returns to shareholders.

From Is Excess Cash a Problem? in CFO magazine:

Investors are growing restless, and in some cases downright furious, about what they see as the “inefficient balance sheets” of managements who are building large cash balances. They often demand fat share repurchases to disgorge the cash cushions that they claim erode management’s accountability to the capital markets and reduce the company’s return on capital.

Cash balances are, to be sure, clearly on the rise. We examined the largest nonfinancial U.S.-domiciled companies, eliminating those without adequate accounting and share-price data for the last 10 years. At the end of 2010 those 885 companies held almost $750 billion in cash and equivalents — nearly four times the level of 10 years earlier. This represents a doubling of the ratio of cash to assets, from 3.7% to 7.3%, over that period. Although most of the companies now hold less than 15% of their assets in cash, some hold as much as 40% or more.

Do such large cash balances have a negative impact on expected share price performance, as investors claim?  To answer this, we defined a group of “cash hoarders” as companies with over 15% of their total assets in cash and cash equivalents on average over the last 10 years. In this group are some very successful companies, such as Apple, Amazon.com, and Celgene.

Given such successes, is the public outcry of investors warranted?  Do companies that hold large cash balances deliver lower total shareholder return (TSR)?  Our research of the period from 2001 to 2010 shows that the cash hoarders deliver median TSR about 4.6% lower per year in comparison with the companies that hold less cash. Holding cash doesn’t seem to affect TSR much until it exceeds 10% of assets, but then it seems to have a fairly strong negative effect once cash rises above 15% of assets. (emphasis added)

Hat Tip: The Globe and Mail

So companies that are unable to deliver a higher rate of return by deploying excess cash must return them to shareholders and not squander them.

Disclosure: No positions

Download: S&P Dividend Aristrocrats Lists 2011

The S&P Dividend Aristocrats indices constitute stocks that have increased dividends for many consecutive years. For example, the S&P 500® Dividend Aristocrats measures the performance of large-cap blue chip companies in the S&P 500 that have followed a policy of increasing dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. So investors looking to add dividend stocks to their portfolios can use these indices as a starting point.

Download S&P Dividend Aristocrats indices in excel:

1. SP 500 Dividend Aristocrats List-2011

2. S&P High Yield Dividend Aristocrats-2011

3. S&P Pan Asia Dividend Aristocrats-2011

4. S&P Europe 350 Dividend Aristocrats-2011

5. S&P TSX Canadian Dividend Aristocrats-2011

Foreign Utilities Trading on the OTC Markets

Some of the foreign electric utilities trading on the OTC markets as sponsored ADRs are listed below with their current dividend yields:

1.Company:AES Tiete (AESAY)
Current Dividend Yield: 10.14%
Country: Brazil

2.Company:Centrais Elet. de Santa Catarina-Celesc  (CEDWY)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.67%
Country: Brazil

3.Company:CLP Holdings  (CLPHY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.47%
Country: Hong Kong

4.Company:Comp. de Transmissao-Paulista (CTPZY)
Current Dividend Yield: 11.42%
Country: Brazil

5.Company:Comp. Energetica de Sao Paulo (CSQSY)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.36%
Country: Brazil

6.Company:Comp. Paranaense de Energia-COPEL (ELPVY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.92%
Country: Brazil

7.Company:Energias de Portugal  (EDPFY)
Current Dividend Yield: 7.44%
Country: Portugal

8.Company:Iberdrola  (IBDRY)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.12%
Country: Spain

9.Company:ISA (IESFY)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.60%
Country: Colombia

10.Company:Light SA (LGSXY)
Current Dividend Yield: 12.54%
Country: Brazil

11.Company:Scottish & Southern Energy (SSEZY)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.44%
Country: UK

12.Company:VERBUND (OEZVY)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.23%
Country: Austria

Disclosure: No positions

EuroMoney: There is No Credit Bubble in Brazil

Brazilian stocks have been hit hard in recent months as investors have become increasingly worried about many economic factors including inflation, over-heating of the economy, commodity price volatility, buildup of a credit bubble, etc. Some of the reasons for this fear are well-founded as confirmed by the following data:

  • Growth of credit in the last five years has almost doubled from 24% of GDP in 2004 to 46.5% in January, 2011.
  • The 90-day delinquency ratio rose to 5.1% of total credit according to Central Bank figures.
  • The average debt service to income ratio reached 21.5% at the end of 2010.

But despite all the above reasons, Euromoney magazine notes in an article that there is no risk of a credit bubble in Brazil. Locals also believe that their banking system is in a much better shape than most banks in the developed world.

The following are some of the reasons why credit is not a bubble in Brazil:

  • At under half the size of GDP, credit is still a small proportion when compared to developed countries and is also lower than other countries such as Thailand, the Czech Republic and South Africa.
  • Brazil is still largely a cash-based economy and it is difficult for most Brazilians to access credit.
  • Consumer credit accounts for over 70% of total credit and mortgages account for just 4% of the GDP. Most consumer loans are fixed rates loans protecting consumers from interest rate hikes.
  • The average tenor of consumer loans is under two years. Hence banks are protected from future voltatility.
  • A large portion of the increase in credit growth has been among higher income A, B and C-rated borrowers who have more experience with credit and therefore present  a lower risk of default.
  • The Central Bank recently increased the monthly minimum payments required on credit card balances to 15%. This is very high compared to the U.S. where credit card companies can charge as low as just 1.0% of the total balance for minimum payments.

Investors looking to gain exposure to the Brazilian financial sector can buy into the following major banks trading on the US markets as ADRs:

1.Bank:Banco Bradesco SA (BBD)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.48%

2.Bank:Banco do Brasil SA (BDORY)
Current Dividend Yield: 6.50%

3.Bank:Itau Unibanco Holding SA (ITUB)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.61%

4.Bank:Banco Santander Brasil SA (BSBR)
Current Dividend Yield: 7.68%

Note: Dividend yields noted are as of Aug 26, 2011

Another simple and easy to invest in the Brazilian financial sector is via the Global X Brazil Financials ETF(BRAF). The ETF has an asset base of about $7.2 million and an expense ratio of 0.77%. In addition to the above four banks, the fund’s portfolio holdings include many other financials.

Disclosure: Long BBD, ITUB