Two Ways To Invest in Foreign Financials Without Going Abroad

One way to invest in foreign financial companies is via their American Depository Receipts if they are listed on the US markets.Recently I came the KBW Global Financials (ex-u.s.) Index created by investment bank Keefe, Bruyette & Woods. The components of the index include some of the major global financials that US investors can access easily thru ADRs.

Definition of the KBW Global Financials (ex-u.s.) Index:

The Index is currently comprised primarily of American depository receipts. The Index is a modified market capitalization weighted index that seeks to reflect the performance of approximately 60 non-U.S. financial companies that are principally engaged in the business of providing financial services and products, including banking, insurance and diversified financial services.

The components of this index at the end of February are listed below with their current dividend yields:

S.No.Index ComponentTickerDividend yield as of Mar 1, 2013
1ACE LimitedACE2.29%
2AegonAEG4.62%
3Aspen Insurance Holdings LimitedAHL1.89%
4Alterra Capital Holdings LimitedALTE2.08%
5Aviva PLCAV7.65%
6Allianz SEAZSEY4.35%
7Brookfield Asset Management IncBAM1.56%
8Banco BradescoBBD2.91%
9Banco Bilbao Vizcaya ArgentariBBVA5.64%
10CorpbancaBCA6.90%
11Banco de ChileBCH3.62%
12Barclays Capital, IncBCS2.24%
13BBVA Banco Frances SABFR0.00%
14Banco Macro SABMA0.00%
15Bank of Montreal Group of Cos.BMO4.62%
16Bank of Nova ScotiaBNS3.84%
17Banco Santander-ChileBSAC3.92%
18Banco Santander Brasil SABSBR4.75%
19BanColombia SACIB2.49%
20Canadian Imperial BankCM4.53%
21Credit Suisse GroupCS2.99%
22Deutsche Bank SecuritiesDB2.13%
23Gafisa ADSGFA0.00%
24Grupo Financiero Galicia SAGGAL0.00%
25HSBC Holdings PLCHBC3.28%
26HDFC Bank Ltd. ADSHDB0.61%
27Desarrolladora HomexHXM0.00%
28Icici BankIBN1.37%
29ING Groep NVING0.00%
30Bank of IrelandIRE0.00%
31Inversiones y Representaciones S.A. (IRSA)IRS10.35%
32US Itau Unibanco Holding SAITUB3.23%
33Orix USA CorpIX1.00%
34Kookmin BankKB1.78%
35China Life InsuranceLFC1.22%
36Lloyds TSB GroupLYG0.00%
37Manulife FinancialMFC3.49%
38Mizuho Financial GroupMFG3.33%
39Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd.MRH1.89%
40Mitsubishi UFJ Financial GroupMTU2.62%
41Nomura HoldingsNMR0.82%
42PartnerRe Ltd.PRE2.87%
43Prudential PLCPUK2.73%
44A.F.P. Provida SAPVD8.02%
45Royal Bank of Scotland GroupRBS0.00%
46Royal Bank of CanadaRY3.95%
47Shinhan FinancialSHG1.70%
48Sun Life Financial ServicesSLF5.09%
49Sumitomo Mitsui Financial GroupSMFG3.03%
50Banco SantanderSAN11.58%
51Toronto-Dominion BankTD3.81%
52UBS AGUBS0.70%
53Westpac Banking CorpWBK4.38%
54Woori Finance Holdings Co., Ltd.WF1.81%
55XL Group plcXL1.94%

 

Source: KBW

One cannot invest directly in the index. However the PowerShares KBW International Financial Portfolio ETF (KBWX) is based on the KBW Global Financials (ex-u.s.) Index. This ETF has a small asset base of just over $2.4 million and the 12-month yield is 5.15%. The fund was launched in late 2010 and in one year the fund is up by about 27% which is close to the  return of the KBW benchmark index.

Note: Dividend yields noted are as of Mar  1, 2013

Disclosure: Long many companies noted in the table above.

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Cafe Insel on Mur river, Graz, Austria

Photo Courtesy: Pixdaus

The Top Holders of Gold

Many Central Banks were the sellers of gold from 2002 to 2009 during which time gold prices rose steadily.As they sold, private investors have been the net accumulators of gold many via the ETF route. As a result, currently ETFs hold more than 2,500 metric tons of the stuff approaching the holdings of the mighty IMF. The top holders of gold are shown in the chart below:

Click to enlarge

Top-Gold-Holders

Source: Why Gold’s Lustre Will Fade (In Focus) (Feb 21 2013). CIBC World Markets

It is indeed interesting to see how much gold ETFs have become popular with the investing public.

SPDR® Gold Shares (GLD) is the largest gold ETF in the world. It was listed first on the NYSE in November 2004. According to the provider’s site:

SPDR® Gold Shares is the largest physically backed gold exchange traded fund (ETF) in the world. SPDR® Gold Shares also trade on the Singapore Stock Exchange as well as the Tokyo Stock Exchange and the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong.

As of today, the trust holds 1,53.88 tons of gold worth over an astonishing $63.0 billion.Here is the long-term return of this ETF:

GLD-ETF

Source: Yahoo Finance

Disclosure: No Positions

Are Mid-Caps Better Than Small and Large-Caps?

Mid-cap stocks have outperformed small and large-caps since 2008 and even from 1993. This is interesting since some think small caps would outperform the other two types. Mid-caps can defined as stocks from market capitalization of $1.0 billion or more.Some consider companies with market capitalizations of $3.0 billion or more as mid-caps. There is no one definition of this.

The following chart shows the performance of mid-caps against small and large-caps since 1993 thru 2012:

Click to enlarge

Mid-Small-Large-Cap-Returns-Since-1993

Source: T.Rowe Price Report, Issue No 118, Winter 2013 , T.Rowe Price

Clearly mid-cap companies are performing extremely well as shown by the wide gap between them and the other two types of stocks. So investors can consider adding some mid-cap exposure to their portfolios.

How to invest in mid-cap stocks?

Investing directly in individual companies in this space is tricky as there are hundreds of companies to choose from.Besides it is very easy to go wrong as one has to be depend purely on price growth than dividends for most of the total returns.This is because most mid-caps pay a small or no dividends. The best way to invest in these companies is via an ETF.

Some of the ETFs that focus on the mid-cap companies are listed below:

  1. S&P MidCap 400 SPDR ETF (MDY)
  2. iShares Russell Midcap Index Fund (IWR)
  3. iShares S&P MidCap 400 Index Fund (IJH)
  4. iShares Russell Midcap Growth Index Fund (IWP)
  5. Powershares Dynamic Mid Cap Growth Portfolio Fund (PWJ)
  6. Powershares Dynamic Mid Cap Portfolio Fund (PJG)
  7. Schwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF (SCHM)
  8. SPDR Dow Jones Wilshire Mid Cap ETF (EMM)
  9. SPDR S&P 400 Mid Cap Growth ETF (MDYG)
  10. Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF (VO)
  11. Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth ETF (VOT)
  12. Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 ETF (IVOO)
  13. Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Growth ETF (IVOG)

Disclosure: No Positions

Correlation Between Tax Rates And Stock Returns

Effective January 1st of this year the rates on many different types of taxes increased as part of the fiscal cliff deal. However the most of these increases affect only high earners. The majority of the working population are not impacted by most these increases especially taxes related to investments such as capital gains and dividends. In anticipation of higher tax rates in 2013, many companies paid out special dividends or moved the dividend pay dates from first quarter 2013 to late 2012. These payouts primarily benefited insiders and big investors.

However were the actions of such companies justified? Should company highly-paid executives panic like pimple-faced high-school teenagers every time there is a possibility of a tax increase? Or put another way, is there a strong correlation between tax rates and equity returns?

Research shows that the correlation between tax rates and stock returns is very low. While in the short-term there may be a strong correlation, the correlation is pretty much insignificant  in the long-term.

From a research report by T.Rowe Price:

While some analysts warn that equity prices, and particularly relatively riskier assets such as small-cap stocks, may be pressured by the boost in the capital gains rate, T. Rowe Price managers say that the past three decades of market history suggest that tax rate changes have had relatively modest effects on equity valua­tions and dividend policies.

Moreover, investors are encouraged not to focus on any short-term effects as markets adjust over time. In the long run, stock prices are more driven by such fundamental factors as earnings, interest rates, and economic growth than tax changes.

Sudhir Nanda, head of T. Rowe Price’s quantitative equity research, says that since 1980 there have been eight changes in the top tax rate on dividends (including the pre-2003 changes when dividends were taxed at the same rate as ordinary income) and four changes to the top long-term capital gains rate. The overall impact of these changes on equity returns and valuations appears to have been modest.

Click to enlarge

Tax-rates-and-Stock-Returns

In fact, the S&P 500 soared 27.7% in the 12 months following the 1990 increase in the maximum dividend tax rate (from 28% to 31%), and it gained 5.3% in the 12 months after the 1993 dividend hike (from 31.0% to 39.6%), according to Strategas.

Mr. Nanda also notes that it is “inher­ently difficult” to measure the impact of tax rate changes as markets react to many different factors, such as the 1990s tech­nology bubble and the recovery from the 2000–2002 and 2007–2009 bear markets. Indeed, the capital gains rate in August 1981 was reduced from 28% to 20%, yet the S&P 500 declined 14% in the follow­ing six months amid double-digit interest rates and a double-dip recession.

Source: T.Rowe Price Report, Issue No 118, Winter 2013 , T.Rowe Price

Related ETFs:

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG)
SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY)
iShares Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend ETF (DVY)
PowerShares Dividend Achievers ETF (PFM)

Disclosure: No Positions