Happy Birthday – Medicaid !

Medicaid, the state-funded health insurance program for poor Americans turned 50 on July 30, 2015. The program provided care for some 80 million poor people in 2014.

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Medicaid-Timeline

Source: The CommonWealth Fund

Before this program came into effect in 1965, poor Americans depended on charities for healthcare or simply ignored medical care when they fell sick. As the population has soared in the past few decades and millions are now enrolled in those program, the benefits of Medicaid cannot be understated. The program is especially important in the U.S where healthcare costs are the highest in the world. It is not uncommon for people to pay hundreds or even thousands of dollars for going to hospital with a simple thing like stomach pain. Here is an example of a case where a guy bitten by a rattle snake got the shock of his life when he received this bill for over $153,000 for the treatment he received there. Obviously this hospital bill shock must have shocked this guy more than the actual shock he got from the rattle snake !.

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rattle snake bite bill

Source: Man who took ‘rattlesnake selfie’ gets $153K medical bill. Today, NBC News

Related:

On a related note, I came across a story of an incredible Russian female doctor dedicating her life treating poor villagers in a village in Russia. It would be a neat exercise to receive this doctor’s views on this $153K bill the poor fellow in the U.S. received for a rattlesnake bite…..

Bloomberg: The World’s Strongest Banks 2015

Bloomberg Markets recently published the list of the world’s strongest banks for 2015. Hong Kong-based Hang Seng Bank(HSNGY) topped the ranking for the second year in a row.

The banks were selected based on many factors. From the article:

To identify the world’s strongest banks, we used the Equity Screening (EQS) function on the Bloomberg Professional service to obtain a list of public and private banks with total assets of $100 billion or more as of June 1. The banks were evaluated in five categories. The ratio of a bank’s Tier 1 capital to its risk-weighted assets accounted for 40 percent of each bank’s overall score. The ratio of nonperforming assets to total assets got a weighting of 20 percent, as did the ratio of reserves for loan losses to nonperforming assets. The ratio of deposits to funding accounted for 15 percent of the score. And the efficiency ratio, which compares costs with revenues, received a 5 percent weighting.

Banks were ranked on each criterion, and the ranking positions were weighted and combined to determine the banks’ overall scores. Lenders that reported a loss in net income were excluded. All data are for the banks’ latest fiscal year, which in most cases ended on Dec. 31, 2014. (Norinchukin Bank and a few Indian banks have a March-ending fiscal year; their ranking was based on data for the year ended on March 31, 2014.) Only banks that provided Bloomberg with data in all five categories were considered. In total, 114 banks were ranked; 13 of them are private.

The strength of Asian banks among global banks is illustrated by their dominance in this list. Of the top 10, five are from Asia. In addition to Hang Sang, Asian banks in the top ten include Norinchikin Bank of Japan, DBS Group Holdings Ltd (DBSDY), United Overseas Bank Limited (UOVEY) and Overseas Chinese Banking of Singapore. It is interesting to note that Singapore’s top three banks are in the world’s strongest banks list.

Three Swedish banks appear among the top five in the regional leaders category for Europe. These banks are Svenska Handelsbanken AB (SVNLY), Swedbank AB (SWDBY) and SEB.

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Worlds Strongest Banks

 

Source: Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Repeats as World’s Strongest Bank, Bloomberg Markets, July 29, 2015

Disclosure: Long SWDBY

The Ten Largest US Electric Utilities By Market Value

The Utility Sector is traditionally preferred for steady income and growth. The sector has lagged so far this year due to many factors including the potential impact due to higher interest rates. Currently the Dow Utility index has a P/E ratio of 16.32 compared to over 22 a year ago. The dividend yield for the index is 3.69% relative to the 2% for the S&P 500.

The decline in utility stock prices year-to-date presents an opportunity for investors willing to wait out the short-term volatility and focus on the long-term. Among the utility industry electric utilities offer many options. One way to identify electric utilities for potential investment is to research and go with the largest companies.

The ten largest US electric utilities based on market value are listed below with their current dividend yields for consideration:

1.Company: Duke Energy Corporation (DUK)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.44%

2.Company: NextEra Energy Inc (NEE)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.01%

3.Company: Dominion Resources, Inc. (D)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.78%

4.Company: Southern Company (SO)
Current Dividend Yield: 5.06%

5.Company: Exelon Corporation (EXC)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.01%

6.Company: American Electric Power Co. (AEP)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.88%

7.Company: PG&E Corporation (PCG)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.61%

8.Company: PPL Corporation (PPL)
Current Dividend Yield: 4.85%

9.Company: Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. (PEG)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.92%

10.Company: Edison International (EIX)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.90%

Source: Statista

Note: Dividend yields noted above are as of July 24, 2015. Data is known to be accurate from sources used.Please use your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Disclosure: Long NEE

Too Much Financial Activity And Its Consequences

Financial activity by banks and other financial institutions have increased exponentially in the past few decades according to a report by OECD. The authors of the report note that while increased credit is good for growth in the short-term it actually leads to slower growth in the long-term.

From an article previewing the report:

Over the past half-century credit by banks and other financial institutions to households and businesses in OECD countries has grown three times as fast as economic activity. Stock market capitalisation has tripled relative to GDP over the past 40 years, but today the value of stock markets still only equals 65% of GDP, just over half that of financial sector credit.

The OECD economists looked at how this growth in the financial sector affects growth in the rest of the economy. Initially, an expanding financial sector is beneficial, but it eventually reaches its ideal weight, and apart from contributing to inequality, “further increases in its size usually slow long-term growth”. This conclusion holds even when you consider a range of other factors including country specificities, the business cycle, and even financial crises. In general, more credit to the private sector slows growth in most OECD countries, while more stock market financing boosts growth. Bank loans slow economic growth more than bonds. Credit is a stronger drag on growth when it goes to households rather than businesses.

Source:  Too much money is bad for you, June 2015,  OECD

The following graphs show the tremendous growth in financial activity in OECD countries:

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Too Much Financial Activity-OECD Chart

Source: Finance and Inclusive Growth by Boris Cournède, Oliver Denk and Peter Hoeller, June 2015, OECD

From the above research paper:

The analysis will therefore also use two direct measures of financial activity: the volume of credit provided by financial intermediaries to the non-financial private sector and stock market capitalisation.2 The volume of credit provided by banks and other financial institutions to non-financial firms and households, henceforth referred to as “intermediated credit”, measures a key output that financial intermediaries generate for the real economy. Stock market capitalisation also provides a gauge of the important service that the financial sector provides by facilitating the equity funding of businesses. Similarly to the value added of finance, intermediated credit and stock market capitalisation have both been on upward trends:

• Credit by banks and other intermediaries has risen strongly in nearly all OECD countries since the 1960s, on average more than tripling relative to GDP (Figure 1, Panel B). Several financial crises during the 1990s interrupted the upward trend in the Nordic countries, Mexico and some Asian countries, though in most cases only briefly. Credit-to-GDP ratios have also come down since the onset of the global financial crisis as lending activity has shrunk and write-downs have been taken on past loans (Bouis et al., 2013). In many OECD countries, the growth in credit
intermediation has outpaced the growth in financial sector value added. This difference relates to lower net interest margins, which may reflect possible increases in productivity as well as likely reductions in screening efforts and credit quality (Keys et al., 2010).

• The amount of stock market financing has expanded considerably in OECD countries over the past four decades (Figure 1, Panel C). The expansion has been accompanied by very large bubbles in Japan in the late 1980s and globally in the late 1990s.

The key fascinating takeaway from this report is that high stock market financing and unrestrained credit availability is not a sound policy for economic growth.