The FP500: Canada’s Most Profitable Companies

FP magazine recently published its ranking of top 500 Canadian companies based on revenue. The #1 rank went to George Weston Ltd. with 2015 revenues of over $46 billion followed by Royal Bank of Canada(RY) and auto parts maker Magna International Inc (MGA).

The following graphic shows the top five most profitable companies and other lists:

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Top profotable firms-canada

The graphic below shows the most indebted firms:

Canada Most Indebted frims

 

Source: THE FP500 – The premier ranking of Corporate Canada, Financial Post

Four of the top five profit making firms are banking institutions.

The complete list of the FP 500 firms and other fascinating details can be found here.

Disclosure: Long RY, MGA

On The Difference In Returns Between S&P 500 Price and Total Return Index

The S&P 500 Index that is benchmark of US equities is a price index – meaning dividends are not included in the return calculations. Since this index is the most popular and reported by the media all the time, investors may use this index to compare their portfolio performance. This is not the correct way to benchmark one’s portfolio return against an index. Assuming an investor reinvests dividends the better way to measure the performance of US stocks is to use the S&P 500 Total Return Index which includes dividends reinvested.

Of the 500 companies in the index, 425 paid dividends at the end of 2015, So when these dividends are reinvested the return will be higher over the long-term due to the effect of compounding. The difference between the S&P 500 Price Index and Total Return can be substantial over many years such as 5 years as shown in the chart below:

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SP 500 Price vs Total Returns

 

In the past 5 years, the price index returned 65% compared to the total return index return of about 84%. That is a gap of 19%.

Over 10 years the difference in returns is even higher.

SP 500 Price vs Total Returns-10 years

Source: Yahoo Finance

Here is another chart showing the returns from 1988 thru mid 2013:

SP 500 Price vs Total Returns Long-Term

Source: Inside the S&P 500: Dividends Reinvested, S&P Indexology Blog

Related ETF:

  • SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Unfortunately there is no ETF that tracks the S&P 500 Total Return Index.

Disclosure: No Positions

Debt to GDP Ratio of Select Countries

Debt levels have increased globally since the financial crisis of 2008-09. Both government and private debt have soared after the crisis. The following chart shows the Debt to GDP Ratio of select countries:

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Debt to GDP in select Countries

Source:  The Absolute Return Letter June 2016, Absolute Return Partners

Japan has the highest debt with the debt-to-GDP ratio well above the 400% mark. The US figure is also high at over 300%.

Franklin Templeton: European Financials Are On Sale Now

European financials are under-performing so far this year. Banking stocks in particular have declined heavily due to a multitude of factors including fears of UK exiting from the EU.

Unlike the swift recovery of US banks, European banks never full regained their glory since the peak of the global financial crisis. Years of poor returns due to one crisis after another has left a poor taste for European banks among global investors. In short, European financials are rightfully being treated as rotten fish by investors.

Despite the negative sentiment, however, light may be at the end of the tunnel. According to a report by Franklin Templeton Investments, European financials are selling at a deep discount and offer attractive opportunities now.

From the report:

Investors appear to have completely lost confidence in European banks, and they have shown their disdain so far this year in the same way they have since the 2008-2009 financial crisis: When they hear a shred of negative economic news, they sell off the banking sector. Bank stocks have dropped 20% year-to-date,1 compared with European equities overall, which have slid a comparatively modest 4% during the same time frame.2

european-banks-price-to-book-ratio

The malaise has dragged down the banking sector’s price-to-book (p/b) ratio3 toward lows it reached during the financial and European sovereign crises. And at 0.7, the sector’s p/b ratio is less than half its long-term average of 1.6.4 In our view, the banking sector is trading at extremely attractive levels, and we believe select banking and financial franchises have become excessively discounted, particularly taking into account what we consider bright spots on the horizon, which include a pickup in loan activity and increased dividend payouts.

What has stoked investor worries so far this year? The list features what we call the “triple whammy”: energy-company weakness, regulatory concerns and, perhaps most worrisome, negative interest rates.

Notes:

1. Source: STOXX Ltd., as of May 16, 2016. European banking stocks are represented by the STOXX Europe 600 Banks Index. Indexes are unmanaged, and one cannot invest directly in an index. They do not reflect any fees, expenses or sales charges. Past performance is not an indicator or a guarantee of future performance.

2. Source: STOXX Ltd., as of May 16, 2016. The overall European equity market is represented by the STOXX Europe 600 Index. Indexes are unmanaged, and one cannot invest directly in an index. They do not reflect any fees, expenses or sales charges. Past performance is not an indicator or a guarantee of future performance.

3. The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is calculated by dividing the current closing price of a stock by its book value for the most recent quarter-end. For an individual company, the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is the current share price divided by a company’s book value (or net worth) per share. For an index, the P/B ratio is the weighted average of the price/book ratios of all the stocks in the index.

4. Sources: FactSet, MSCI, as of March 31, 2016. European banking stocks are represented by the MSCI European Banks Index. For additional data provider information, see www.franklintempletondatasources.com.

Source: Can European Banks Rebound from the “Triple Whammy”? by Cindy Sweeting and Peter Wilmshurst, Franklin Templeton, May 31, 2016

The STOXX® Europe 600 Banks Index which is the proxy for banks in Europe is down by 17% in the past 5 years in US dollar terms.

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Euro Stoxx bank Index 5 Years Return

Source: STOXX

Among the constituents of this index, investors can consider ING Groep NV (ING), UBS AG (UBS),Nordea Bank AB (NRBAY), BNP Paribas SA (BNPQY) and Swedbank AB (SWDBY)

From a related article by Jason Zweig at WSJ:

Europe and emerging markets joined the U.S. this past week in rallying 2% to 3% as oil prices stabilized and investors became more comfortable with a possible interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve next month. But stocks remain much cheaper overseas than in the U.S.

Consider price to book value, a measure of corporate net worth. Since 1970, according to data from MSCI, the average price to book value of European stocks has been about 25% below that of U.S. stocks. As of April 30, it is 40% lower. The dividend yield on European stocks, historically about one-third higher than in the U.S., is 69% higher.

Source: Hold Your Nose and Buy Europe, Jason Zweig

Disclosure: ING and SWDBY

On The US Trade With TPP Countries

The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a trade agreement among 12 Pacific Rim countries. Like other trade deals in the past, this new agreement aims eliminate hundreds of taxes and tariffs between member countries and make trade easier and efficient effectively benefiting all members.

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TPP Countries Map

The US will be the largest trade partner within the TPP countries.

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US-Total-Trade-with-TPP-Countries

TPP countries account have a combined GDP of about $28 Trillion or about 40 percent of the world GDP. They also account for one-fourth of total global exports. So the numbers related to TPP are huge.

Since some countries such as the US runs trade deficits with countries like Vietnam and Japan. From an employment perspective,  TPP can generate well-paying middle-class jobs for American workers since US exports to other TPP partners will grow. Higher imports from TPP countries will also benefit consumers in the US.

Sources: