A Look at the Returns of Railroad Stocks Year-to-Date

The S&P 500 is up by 16.45% YTD on price basis. Many sectors have performed extremely well this year. Let’s take a look at the returns of the Class I railroad stocks in this post. The best performing railroad so this year is Norfolk Southern(NSC) which has soared by about 25% based on just price appreciation. This amazing growth came on the heels of its merger proposal with competitor Union Pacific(UNP). The deal has still get all the approvals by the relevant regulators. The worst performing railroad is Canadian National Railway Co (CNI) with a loss of 5.50% YTD.

The following chart shows the YTD price returns of major railroads:

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Source: Google Finance

Note: Returns noted are as of Nov end, 2025.

Related Stocks:

  1. Canadian National Railway Co (CNI)
  2. Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd(CP)
  3. CSX Corp (CSX)
  4. Union Pacific(UNP)
  5. Norfolk Southern Corp(NSC)

Disclosure: Long CSX, CNI, NSC and UNP

When Dividend Grows Stock Price Follows: An Example

One of the simplest ways to build wealth in equity investing is to invest in dividend stocks especially dividend payers that grow the dividend rate each year consistently. Dividends provide a stable income stream and the power of compounding with reinvestment usually leads to astonishing returns over many years. I have written many times about the importance of dividend growers in a well-diversified portfolio in the past. Some of those articles are listed below:

When the Dividend Grows the Stock Price Follows: A Case Study

On The Astonishing Power of Dividend Growers: Three Case Studies

Why Dividend Growers Are More Important To Total Returns Than Dividend Payers

Multiple Expansion or Dividend Growth: Which is the Main Driver of Long-Term Equity Returns ?

On The Importance Of Dividend Growth To Long-Term Returns

In the first post above, I quoted the example of Procter & Gamble (PG) as an excellent dividend grower. P&G’s annual dividend growth rate was 8.5% and the annual stock price growth rate was 10.5% from 1980 to 2020.

I recently came across an article that showcased the dividend growth strategy with another example. The Jen Nurick and Josh Veltman of DivGro discussed the strategy with hardware retailer Lowe’s Companies(LOW) as an example. From the article:

While rates of change in dividends and share prices have been shown to ultimately synchronise, they traverse distinct paths with inherently obverse emotional experiences. The fast-rising dividend-growth staircase provides the opposite of an amygdala hijack. It offers microdosed anticipation: regular boosts of positive data points that fortify investor mindsets and prime us for long-term success. Plus, unlike other metrics, which may be massaged, dividends are paid in cash and are extremely telling; cut or increased, consistent or sporadic, fast or slow growing, they open a window into a company’s health span. If volatile prices can engender our fight-or-flight response, think of rapidly rising, consecutive dividend-growth updates as brain fertilisers, arming investors with enough emotional scaffolding to stay the course and enjoy the benefits of compounding.


This approach has roots at MIT, where Professor Myron Gordon and his team demonstrated that over time and at points in time, where the dividend goes, share price follows. For example, if one can identify a company that will raise its dividend annually at 13% for the long arc of time, one should expect its share price to appreciate at an approximately commensurable rate.

Source: The ultimate investing hack: dividend growth stocks by Jen Nurick, Josh Veltman at DivGro via FirstLinks

The above-linked article is worth a read.

Investors interested in dividend growth stocks can use the examples of P&G and Lowe’s Companies to identify additional potential candidates for investment.

Disclosure: No positions

The Top 10 Companies in the World by Market Cap

Nvidia (NVDA) recently became the world’s valuable company by market capitalization beating tech giant Microsoft(MSFT). Of the top 10 companies in the world by market cap, 8 are American as the table below shows. The only two companies from outside of the US in this list are Taiwanese semiconductor giant Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM) and Saudi oil major Saudi Aramco.

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Source: Companiesmarketcap.com

Another interesting point to note is that except Saudi Aramco and Berkshire Hathaway the rest of the companies are in the tech sector.It remains to be seen if the AI wave will further propel these stocks to even higher market caps.

Disclosure: No positions

Bitcoin is Now the Seventh Largest Asset in the World

Bitcoin has had an incredible in the past few years. Last month the crypto asset crossed $111,000 and was briefly the fifth largest asset in the world. Currently Bitcoin is trading at $104,171. This put Bitcoin as the seventh largest asset globally as shown in the table below. Gold is the number asset at over $22 Trillion. Tech giants Microsoft(MSFT), Apple(AAPL), Nvidia(NVDA), Amazon(AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOGL) are ahead of Bitcoin.

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Source: Companies Market Cap, Hat Tip Charles-Henry Monchau at Syz Group

Bitcoin price return year-to-date:

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Bitcoin price 5-Year Return:

Bitcoin’s return of over 977% in the past 5 years is astonishing indeed !

Source: Google Finance

Disclosure: No positions

US Average Effective Tariff Rate is Now Highest Since 1909: Chart

The US average effective tariff rate has reached the highest level since 1909 with the raft new tariffs announced by President Trump according to Yale Budget Lab. According to their estimates, the rate has reached 22.5%. Frank Holmes at U.S. Global Investors notes 1909 is the year President Howard Taft proposed the idea of an income tax to Congress !

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Source: America’s Tariff Rate Hits the Highest Level Since 1909—And That’s Before Retaliation, U.S. Global Investors

The US Tariff rate was much higher back in 1800s and up to early 1900s. However back then concepts like globalization were not a thing. So it is not wise to compare current rates to the rates in those years.

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Source: Where We Stand: The Fiscal, Economic, and Distributional Effects of All U.S. Tariffs Enacted in 2025 Through April 2, The Budget Lab, Yale University

While China has quickly retaliated, it remains to be seen how other countries take action to deal with the tariffs announced by the US.

Update (4/5/25):

1.Trump’s Average Tariff Rate would be highest since 1937:

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Source: Trump Tariffs: The Economic Impact of the Trump Trade War, Tax Foundation

2.From an earlier post in 2019:

3.Trump’s Reciprocal Tariff Rates 2025:

Source: via Thinking out loud, Syz Private Banking