A Review of S&P Current Country Ratings

The three big rating agencies Standard and Poors (S&P), Fitch and Moody’s have been been under fire lately for their role as one of the main enabler of the credit crisis. Many of the derivative products such as the MBS were assigned the AAA rating by these agencies when in fact the underlying mortgages for those securities were sub-prime. Some have suggested that these agencies be regulated and their methodology of rating securities be made open to the public.

Despite all these issues, the big three have survived in tact and continue to wield tremendous power with their ratings of various products including sovereign debt. For example, last month S&P downgraded its outlook on UK from stable to negative for the first time since 1978. It must be noted however S&P did not downgrade UK’s debt which still stands at AAA. As a result of the downgrade, the British pound fell to $1.5514 from $1.5817.

In this post, lets take a look at the current ratings for many countries. The highest rating (best) is AAA and the worst is C. Investment-grade ratings are AAA, AA, A and BBB. All ratings below BBB are non-investment grade(junk). Source: Wikipedia

The countries which have the coveted triple-A rating are:

USA, Australia, New Zealand, Austria, Denmark,Germany, Finland, France, Isle of Man, Principality of Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Norway, The Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, the UK , Canada and Singapore.

As we can see from above, all these countries are in Europe or North America with the exception of Singapore, Australia and NZ. Even with huge deficits of the US, S&P still gives it the AAA rating. Pimco’s Bill Gross recently stated that the US will ultimately loose its AAA rating. However Moody’s reaffirmed USA’s AAA rating after Gross’s statement. On a similar note, Moody’s and Fitch did not downgrade the outlook for UK when S&P downgraded it last month.It remains to be seen if the USA and UK will continue to maintain their AAA ratings.

Ratings of select countries:

[TABLE=151]

Source: S&P

Among the BRIC countries, S&P assigns equal rating to both Brazil and Russia. India gets BBB-. However China has the higher A+ rating. War-torn Pakistan gets one of the worst possible ratings with CCC+.

Knowledge is Power: Bank Profits Getting Fat? Edition

1.Europe’s largest economy is expected to shrink by 6.2 percent in 2009 according to the Bundesbank, Germany’s central bank.Bundesbank: German economy will stagnate through 2010

2.With the panic subsiding fast, Brazil’s equity markets have staged an astonishing turnaround allowing canny investment banks to find their feet in the country again. Writer John Rumsey – Back on song

3.Big banks in the U.S. say they’re on the mend. The five largest were profitable in the first quarter, rebounding from record losses for the industry in the fourth quarter. Share prices have jumped, with the KBW Bank Index doubling since March 6. Bank Profits Get Fatter With Accounting Rules Masking Looming Loan Losses

4.Apple’s stock rises and falls with the faintest rumors about Steve Jobs’s health. But how much influence do CEOs really have? Do CEOs Matter?

5.Why should Chinese and Indians come to the US today? Their local capital markets are outperforming the US market; venture capital is available for startups; their local banks are in better shape. If the rule of law in the US is no better than China, just what do immigrants expect to find in America? – What’s left to offer?

Photo: Cologne, Germany (Dom im Hintergrund der Hohenzollernbrücke bei Nacht)

Cologne

Eleven Industrials of the S&P ADR Index

The S&P; ADR Index is up 14.19% on a total return basis as of June 4,2009.

Definition of the Index:

“S&P; ADR Index is designed to track the S&P; 700 which is the non-U.S. component of the S&P; Global 1200. Ideal for U.S. based investors looking for international exposure, this index only includes securities that can be traded and settled in the U.S. It is made up of those companies from the S&P; 700 that offer either Level II or Level III American Depository Receipts (ADRs), global shares, or ordinary shares in the case of Canadian equities.”

There are eleven industrials components in this index. The following is a brief overview of them:

1.ABB Ltd ADR (ABB)
Switzerland

2. Canadian Nlt Railway (CNI)
Canada

3.Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd (CP)
Canada

4.Empresa Brasileira de Aeronau(ERJ)
Brazil

5. Koninklijke Philips Electronics (PHG)
The Netherlands

6.Kubota Corp ADR (KUB)
Japan

7.Lan Airlines SA(LAN)
Chile

8.Mitsui & Co ADR(MITSY)
Japan

9.Ryanair Hldgs ADR (RYAAY)
Ireland

10.Siemens AG ADR (SI)
Germany

11.Tomkins ADR (TKS)
Great Britain

The two Canadian railroads CNI and CP are heavily dependent on US trade. Hence they will not have growth until the US economy improves. US consumes significant amount of commodities and other goods from Canada and these railroads help move those to the US markets.

Phillips (PHG) has a great brand name in emerging markets and the company is highly innovative. The company makes products that are highly in demand in poorer countries. Also the company is a leader in medical electronics competing against GE and other big players.

Ryan Air and LAN Chile will not rebound until the airline industry improves. With the economy still in doldrums in many countries and air travel reduced, these airlines will have earnings pressure for the rest of the year.

Siemens and ABB are market leaders in their respective fields. However they are impacted by the sluggish demand for their products in the infrastructure industry. The billions of bailout funds to be invested in the US have not yet kicked in and hence these companies haven’t seen their business boom yet. However both are long-term growth plays.

The Top Ten Articles In This Site

The all time top ten articles in my site as per Feedburner click stats are as follows:

  1. Foreign Utilities List with Current Yields
  2. The Best Banks of the World 2008
  3. Top 500 US Stocks
  4. Top Healthcare Stocks for Bear Markets
  5. Top Ten Global Personal Care Products Makers
  6. Largest Companies Traded on the New York Stock Exchange
  7. Top Seven Global HealthCare Stocks
  8. Do Dividends Matter ?
  9. A Comparison of OECD Countries
  10. Eight Consumer Staples ADR Stocks

Regular posting will resume tomorrow.

Knowledge is Power: Bovespa Rebound Edition

1.The European Union is split over how best to apply the lessons of the global downturn to the regulation of financial markets. Countries like Germany want tighter controls on risky deals and exotic securities, but the UK, Ireland and parts of Eastern Europe are fighting for free markets. UK, Ireland Resist Push for More Financial Regulation

 

2.June 3 (Bloomberg) — The last time Brazil elected a president with a radical past, investors panicked and started bailing out of markets. The year was 2002; the nation’s currency plummeted 60 percent, and its borrowing costs tripled to 24 percent. Bovespa Rebound in Brazil’s Recession Market Makes Lula `My Man’ for Obama

3.Now that U.S. President Barack Obama has accepted Chinese President Hu Jintao’s offer to visit China later this year, there is a huge opportunity for the two countries—both top emitters of greenhouse gases—to collaborate on reducing energy consumption.Building a Greener China

4. The international environment facing Africa has turned decisively negative. GDP in the OECD countries is expected to contract by 4.3 per cent in 2009 and to be virtually flat in 2010. Growth in emerging economies is also expected to slow dramatically.Africa Economic Outlook

5.An SEC rule change has created hundreds of new products for US investors to choose from, but not everyone is happy about being involved. Unsponsored DRs multiply with newfound ease