A Review of World’s Top Chemical Companies 2009

The American Chemical Society’s Chemical and Engineering News (C&EN) and ICIS Chemical Business magazine published their global top chemical companies list recently. Lets review some of stocks from this list in this post. The rankings are based on the full-year 2008 results.

According to C&EN, sales for the Top 50 companies rose by 9.6% in 2008 to $892B as the price of oil soared to about $150 per barrel. The industry had strong first three quarters with the fourth quarter among the worst the industry has ever seen. Some of the chemical companies that disappeared last year due to merger include ICI of UK, Lyondell Chemical, Germany’s Hoechst and France-based Rhone-Poulenc.

The Global Top 50 Chemical Companies

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Top-50-Global-Chemical-Companies

Source: Chemical and Engineering News (C&EN)

Chemical giant BASF (OTC:BASFY) of Germany is the world’s top chemical maker in both the lists. With total sales of $70.5B, BASF topped the ranking for the sixth year in a row. Profits declined by about 40% to $3.9B. Most of the profits came from its Wintershall oil and gas exploration business instead of its chemical business. In the last quarter BASF’s net income fell by 69% to $349M and it warned that sales and earnings are expected to fall for the full year.”After a steep plunge, we are now climbing gradually out of the trough. The recovery will be slow and uneven,” Chairman Jurgen Hambrecht said in a statement.

“In the past three months our business has stabilized at a low level,” Hambrecht said. “Positive impulses are coming from Asia, especially from China, and from parts of South America. Europe and North America remain weak.” (Source: MarketWatch)

Dow Chemical (DOW) of U.S. ranked at number two in C&EN’s list and third in ICIS’s rankings. Total sales was $58B for a 7.5% increase than 2007. But profits plunged a by 44.1% to $2.2B. This shows that despite raising prices by two times last year Dow’s profit was hit pretty hard. In 3rd quarter, 2009 the Midland, MI-based biggest U.S. chemical company reported a profit of $711, a jump of 66% due to asset sales and steep cost-cuts. From its March lows of $5.89 Dow’s stock price has advanced by over 75%.

BASF and DOW continued their acquisition strategy in 2008 with the purchase of Swiss speciality chemical maker Ciba by BASF and Rohm and Haas by Dow Chemical. Due to these purchases both the giant’s earnings must improve next year.

The Global Top 100 Chemical Companies

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ICIS-Top-100-Global-Chemical-Companies

Source: ICIS Chemical Business

Some of other German companies included in the lists are Bayer (OTC: BAYRY), Linde (OTC: LNAGF), Evonik and Lanxess. U.S. companies listed include ExxonMobil (XOM), DuPont(DD), PPG Industries (PPG), Chevron Phillips (CVX), Praxair(PX), Huntsman(HUN), Air Products(APD) and Mosiac(MOS).

Among the emerging market chemical companies, the top ranked were PetroChina(PTR) , Sinpoec(SHI) of China, Reliance Industries of India, Braskem(BAK) of Brazil and Sasol (SSL) of South Africa.

Among the fertilizer companies listed in the rankings include Yara(OTC: YARIY) of Norway, PotashCorp(POT) of Saskatchewan(Canada), Mosaic of US and Israel Chemicals of Israel(OTC:ISCHY).

U.S. Ranks 9th in Global Prosperity Rankings 2009

The London-based think tank Legatum Institute has published “The 2009 Legatum Prosperity Index“. The U.S. is ranked at number 9 in this list.

The Top 10 Countries in the Prosperity Index are listed below:

Global-Prosperity-Index-2009-Top-10

The Legatum Prosperity Index is unique because it “is the world’s only global assessment of wealth and wellbeing; unlike other studies that rank countries by actual levels of wealth, life satisfaction or development, the Prosperity Index produces rankings based upon the very foundations of prosperity – those factors that help drive economic growth and produce happy citizens over the long term.”

Finland took the top spot followed by Switzerland, Sweden, Denmark and Norway.Compared to the U.S., these top 5 countries rank higher in Health, Safety& Security, Governance and Social Capital.

The U.S. was ranked at overall ranking of 1 in 2007 in a three-way tie that included Sweden and Norway. In 2009, the US has fallen behind to ninth rank. Despite the current economic slowdown, USA is the best country in the world for Entrepreneurship and Innovation.

Health is one category that US performs poorly. In the top 10 listing, it has the worst number for health. Globally US ranks 27th. The report notes “Dissatisfaction
with their overall health is dragging down Americans’ sense of well-being, affecting their
determination to get ahead and their faith in their healthcare system.”

Despite the billions of dollars spent on security at the federal and state levels, US ranks 19th in the safety and security. This is not surprising since the current economic problems are leading more Americans to commit crimes. As the gap between the haves and have-nots widens and more gated-communities spring up across the country, security and safety in many communities may get worse. The report also cited the high per capita murder in this country relative to other developed countries. For example, Finland ranks number 1 in this category followed by Norway.

Commenting on the report, Will Inboden wrote in Foreign Policy wrote:

“The distinction between domestic and foreign policy is very thin — America’s education system, health-care system, domestic economy, and even family and community strength, are inseparably linked to its international posture and power. In other words, yes, the prevailing debate about health care is in part a foreign-policy issue.”

This argument completely misses the mark. One country’s education system and health-care system are not related to foreign-policy.The broken education system in this country and the convoluted healthcare system has nothing to do with America’s foreign policy or power.Some might argue that the main problem with our government policies is that we do not have our priorities right. We ignore many of our domestic issues and instead focus our resources, time, money and energy on foreign issues that most Americans could not care. Would you agree?

A Review of Sovereign Wealth Funds

Sovereign Wealth Funds(SWFs) have become powerful players in the global markets in recent years due to the amount of funds they control. A recent Reuters article mentioned that Norway’s Sovereign Wealth Fund owns 1% of all global stocks. The following is a summary of important points from “Assessment and Outlook for Sovereign Wealth Funds”, Focus, Banque De France. I have also used other sources when required.

The oldest sovereign fund, The Kuwait Investment Authority, dates back to the 1950s while the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and the Singaporean fund, Temasek Holdings, were set up in the 1970s

What are Soverign Funds?

According to IMF:

“Sovereign wealth funds are defined as special purpose investment funds or arrangements, owned by the general government. Created by the general government for macroeconomic purposes, SWFs hold, manage, or administer assets to achieve financial objectives, and employ a set of investment strategies which include investing in foreign financial assets. The SWFs are commonly established out of balance of payments surpluses, official foreign currency operations, the proceeds of privatisations, fiscal surpluses, and/or receipts resulting from commodity exports.”

SWFs are of two types:

Commodity funds (or stabilisation funds) manage the guaranteed revenue of commodity-exporting countries oil, gas, precious metals, etc.).

Non-commodity funds manage the resources derived from current account and financial account surpluses or budget revenues.

The size of sovereign funds grew spectacularly over the pas few years upto 2008 due to the rise in commodity prices (mainly oil and gas) and the conjunction of macro-economic factors and foreign exchange policies for non-commodity funds.From about $500 B at the start 1990 the asset size of the 10 largest funds increased to over $3T by early 2008.

The Ten Largest SWFs:

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Top-10-Sovereign-Funds

The annual growth rate of SWFs could reach 10% to 20% between 2008 and 2012, with outstanding amounts between $5T and $10 T.

Ten of the Largest and Most Liquid Chinese Stocks

To identify the most liquid Chinese stocks traded in the Hong Kong Exchange we can use the iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25. This tracks the FTSE/Xinhua China 25 index and offers exposure to 25 of the largest and most liquid Chinese stocks. The index is market capitalization index subject to a 10% weighting cap.

The Top 10 Holdings in iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 are:

China Construction Bank (OTC: CICHF.pk)
China Mobile Ltd (CHL)
Ind & Comm Bk Of China
China Life Insurance Co (LFC)
Bank Of China Ltd (OTC: BACHY.pk)
CNOOC Ltd (CEO)
China Merchants Bank (OTC: CIHKF.pk)
Bank Of Communications Co
China Shenhua Energy Co
BOC Hong Kong Holdings Ltd

Note: Data as of June 30, 2009

Based in Hong Kong, China Mobile Ltd (CHL) has a huge subscriber base. At the end of May this yea, the company had 488M subscribers. The current dividend yield is 3.7% and the average annual earnings growth is about 22%. The beta is 0.9.

China Life Insurance Co (LFC) offers individual life insurance, group life insurance, accident insurance and health insurance product. Total policies in effect as of December 31,2008 was 102M. The beta is 1.4 and last year’s total revenue was about $27B.

CNOOC Ltd (CEO) is China’s largest offshore oil producer. CNOOC said yesterday “revenue for the third quarter fell 23% from a year earlier as lower realized oil prices offset higher output. The company said in a filing to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Thursday revenue during the quarter totaled 23.8 billion yuan ($3.5 billion). It said output was equal to 647,382 barrels of oil or equivalent, a drop of 18.4% from a year earlier, while average realized prices throughout the quarter was $67.83 per barrel, a drop of 36.6% on year.”

Interactive Map: China’s Oil Empire

China-Oil-Map-Empire

Source: China’s Economic Observer

Click on the map to see China’s big oil companies’ (CNOOC, CNPC, and Sinopec) interests across the globe.