Knowledge is Power: Double-dip, Eurozone, Safety Net Edition

The US housing horror story is about to get even worse

In graphics: Eurozone in crisis

Six dividend-stock myths

Nobel Economist Krugman Slams German Austerity

Double-dip recession unlikely, Europe worries overblown: Economist

Ten Signs There’s No Adult in This Economic Room: William Pesek 

High-Quality Stocks Poised for Gains

Carrigan: BP may be cheap, but investors should beware

‘Fig leaf’ reform bill let’s US banks off lightly

Falling through the safety net

rocky-mountains-Canada

Rocky Mountains, Canada

Top 10 Components of the S&P Global Agribusiness Index

The S&P Global Agribusiness Index is composed of 24 of the largest publicly-traded global agribusiness companies. The companies in this index include a diversified mix of Producers, Distributors & Processors and Equipment & Materials Suppliers in this sector.

The Top 10 Constituents of this index are:

1. Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM )
Current Dividend Yield: 2.21%
USA

2. Potash Corp. (POT)
Current Dividend Yield:  0.41%
Canada

3. Wilmar International(OTC: WILMY)
Current Dividend Yield:  1.63%
Singapore

4. Monsanto Co(MON)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.12%
USA

5. Associated British Foods (OTC: ASBFY)
Current Dividend Yield: 3.03%
U.K.

6. BRF – Brasil Foods SA (BRFS)
Current Dividend Yield: N/A
Brazil

7. Deere & Co(DE)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.99%
USA

8. Syngenta AG(SYT)
Current Dividend Yield: 2.27%
Switzerland

9. Mosaic Co(MOS)
Current Dividend Yield: 0.46%
USA

10. Bunge Ltd(BG)
Current Dividend Yield: 1.59%
USA

Lower Corporate Tax Payments Do Not Necessarily Benefit Shareholders

Japan’s corporate income tax rate of 40% is the highest among major developed countries according to the OECD. Surprisingly the U.S. has the next highest rate at 39%.

2010 Corporate Income Taxes of Select Countries:

Global-Corporate-Tax-Rates-Comparison

Source: Kan Seeks Cuts in Japan’s 40% Corporate Tax Rate, The Wall Street Journal

The corporate rates in the Asian countries of Singapore and South Korea is much lower than the U.S. at 17% and 24% respectively.

The journal articled noted that “different rules on depreciation and other areas make the total tax burden generally lighter in the U.S., experts say.”

Experts are correct in this case. Most major U.S. corporations do not pay the top marginal rate of 39% in income taxes to Uncle Sam. In fact a few of them pay no taxes. General Electric (GE) is the most interesting example of a U.S. company when it comes to avoiding taxes. GE generated $10.3 in pretax income in 2009, but paid no taxes to the US government. In fact, it recorded a tax benefit of $1.1B for last year.GE’s tax return is the largest the IRS deals with each year running at almost 24,000 pages if printed out.

From an article in Forbes magazine titled  “In Pictures: What The 25 Top U.S. Companies Pay In Taxes“, the top five tax paying companies were:

Wal-Mart – 2009 Tax Rate: 34.2%
Exxon Mobil – 2009 Tax Rate: 47.0%
Chevron – 2009 Tax Rate: 43.0%
Chevron – 2009 Tax Rate:  N/A
ConocoPhillips – 2009 Tax Rate: 51%

Some companies also evade taxes legally by establishing foreign subsidiaries and using a strategy called “Transfer Pricing”. Tax economist Martin Sullivan believes that companies are keeping some $28 billion a year out of the clutches of the U.S. Treasury using this method.

Another article in BusinessWeek last year discussed tax payments by U.S. companies. From the article:

“FPL Group (FPL), owner of Florida Power & Light, understands the value of alternative energy. By setting up everything from 1,500 acres of solar electric systems in California to wind farms across the U.S., the Juno Beach (Fla.) utility has avoided the need to build 12 new power plants. And those investments create another green benefit: tax breaks. Over the past four years, FPL has paid just $88 million in taxes on earnings of nearly $7 billion. FPL spokeswoman Jackie Anderson says the company is merely taking advantage of incentives to develop renewable resources.”

What do U.S. companies do with excess cash ?

They simply hoard them at least in the current economy. According to a report in The Wall Street Journal earlier this month, U.S. “nonfinancial companies had socked away $1.84 trillion in cash and other liquid assets as of the end of March, up 26% from a year earlier and the largest-ever increase in records going back to 1952. Cash made up about 7% of all company assets, including factories and financial investments, the highest level since 1963.”

Companies also do not pay the excess cash as higher dividend payouts to shareholders. In fact the dividend yield of the S&P 500 Index, which includes the largest 500 American companies, is about 2%.

A research study by Credit Suisse showed that U.S. companies had high dividend payouts from 1871 to 1945. The focus of companies during this period was on the payout ratio. After 1945 companies started to focus on managing the amount of dividends paid and they were also slow to increase dividends when earnings increased, thus reducing the payout ratio. The dividend payout ratio declined from about 70% till 1945 to about 50% from 1946 thru 2005.

US-Historical-Dividend-Payout-Chart

Source: Credit Suisse, Quantitative Research -High Yield, Low Payout,  August 2006

Hence it can be argued that many American companies with huge cash-piles can raise dividends but they chose not to. Instead these companies hope to use the cash for future expansion either by investing in new equipments, factories, etc (or) grow by acquiring other companies. In the past few decades, management of companies have also paid themselves lavishly before paying or raising dividends to shareholders. Even during the global financial crisis, some financial firms that were bailed out by Uncle Sam paid their executives huge bonuses and compensation from profits before resuming suspended dividend payments to shareholders.

The World’s Top Diamond-Producing Countries

diamond.jpgThe country of Botswana in Africa is the biggest producer of diamond in the world by value. The second and third top producers are Russia and Canada respectively. It is interesting to note that Canada is the third largest producer of diamonds.

The Top Diamond-Producing Countries:

Top-Diamond-Producers

Source: The ‘Blood Diamond’ Resurfaces, The Wall Street Journal

An estimated 65% of the world’s diamonds come from African countries according to Diamond Facts site.

Some of the Top Diamond Mining Companies are:

  • De Beers
  • Rio Tinto (RTP)
  • Alrosa
  • Harry Winston Diamond
  • BHP Billiton (BHP, BBL)
  • Petra Diamonds
  • Gem Diamonds

Also checkout:

The Top Five Gold Producing Countries

The List of Diamond Mining Stocks by Country

The List of Global Tier 1 Gold Mining Companies

What Countries Produce Gem Diamonds? – Diamond Production Map (Geology.com)

Diamond (Wikipedia)

DIAMOND PRODUCING COUNTRIES IN AFRICA FACT SHEET  (World Diamond Council)

The Rising Dividend Strategy Applied To Canadian Bank Stocks

Some investors prefer dividend-paying stocks for long-term investment as opposed to those that pay no dividends. I believe it is better to pick not just dividend paying stocks but stocks that consistently pay dividends and also increase dividends year after after. One strategy that investors can use to identify such high quality stocks is called the Rising Dividend Strategy. In simple terms, it means that increasing dividends will ultimately will lead to higher stock prices. Or put another way, consistently increasing dividends will be followed by rising stock prices.

Statistically, in the long run price growth is highly correlated to dividend growth. To test this strategy I analyzed the five large Canadian bank stocks. This analysis proves that the rising dividend strategy is an effective idea to select wining stocks.While it is ideal to use data over many years, it must be noted that most of the Canadian banks were listed in the US markets only in the 90s. Hence data used is relatively for a smaller number of years.

1. Royal Bank of Canada (RY)

Click to Enlarge

Royal-bank-of-Canada-Dividend-Growth-Price-Rise

In 1996, the stock price of Royal Bank closed at $4.53 and the dividend amount paid was $01.7 for an yield of 3.75%. Over the years as the chart above shows Royal Bank consistently increased the dividend payments except in 2009 where it decreased due to the global credit crisis.The stock price also tracked the dividend growth going from $4.53 in 1996 to $53.06 at the end of last year. The price plunged to $28.05 in 2008 but sharply recovered in 2009 as dividends were not slashed drastically. Clearly the graph shows that long-term  investors of Royal Bank of Canada have been rewarded both with dividend growth and share price appreciation.

2. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM)

Click to Enlarge

Canadian-Imperial-Bank-of-Commerce-Dividend-Share-Price-Growth

CIBC started trading on the US markets on 11/13/1997. The year-end price was $15.69 and the dividend yield was 1.34%. Unlike Royal bank of Canada, CIBC did not have a smoother dividend growth as the chart shows. However still an investment of $10,000 on 11/13/2007  with dividends reinvested would be worth $40,352.42 as of yesterday for a return of 303.52% according to the CIBC investor relations site.

3. The Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)

Click to Enlarge

Bank-of-Nova-Scotia-Dividend-Share-Price-Growth

Just eight years of data is available for Bank of Nova Scotia’s US-listed stock. The stock price closed at $12.48 at the end of 2002. The last year’s closing price was $46.29. In eight years, dividends was reduced in only two.

4. Bank of Montreal (BMO)

Click to Enlarge

Bank-of-Montreal-Dividend-Share-Price-Growth

Bank of Montreal has increased dividends consistently from 1994 thru 2008. The year-end dividend yield in 1994 was 4.49%. At the current price per share of $61.37, the yield is 4.44%.

5. Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

Click to Enlarge

TD-Bank-Dividend-Share-Price-Growth

Since 1996, TD Bank has also increased dividends for most of the years. After closing at $33.27 in 2008 the price sharply rebounded in 2009 and closed the year at $61.64. The average dividend yield in the last 14 years is 4.73%. Except for 2006, TD Bank’s dividend yield was at least 3% each year.

Note: Data used is known to be accurate from sources used. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Disclosure: Long all five stocks mentioned above.